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Monday, February 28, 2005
GOP Group With Administration Ties Subpoenaed
The ongoing scandal involving corrupt GOP lobbyist Jack Abramoff and numerous members of the Republican Party seems to be just that: ongoing. This weekend, The National Journal reported on the allegedly illegal interactions between the lobbyist and House Majority Leader Tom DeLay. Today, The Hill's Josephine Hearn reports that a shadow GOP organization with ties to the administration is being investigated by the Department of Justice.
An interagency criminal task force investigating former lobbyist Jack Abramoff has subpoenaed a Republican group founded by Interior Secretary Gale Norton and now run by her former aides, sources with knowledge of the investigation say.The complicity of DeLay and perhaps the White House in Abramoff's shady dealings is unconscionable. Clinton's small misdemeanors and even Nixon's poor cover-up of a botched robbery can't even compare with the systematic flaunting of rules by the current administration.
The subpoena was issued to the Council of Republicans for Environmental Advocacy (CREA), a nonprofit group created in 1997 by Norton and Grover Norquist, president of Americans for Tax Reform, and long denounced by environmental organizations as a front group for industry interests.
[...]
CREA was one of several groups that received contributions from tribes represented by Abramoff. The Coushatta tribe of Louisiana gave $50,000 in 2001 and $100,000 in 2002, according to published reports. The Texas Tigua gave $25,000 in 2002.
Lobbyists with knowledge of Abramoff’s dealings with CREA said that the tribes did not give to CREA in an effort to support its environmental mission. Rather, they said Abramoff directed donations to CREA in return for the help of Federici, CREA’s president and formerly an aide to Norton during her 1996 Senate bid, in the tribes’ lobbying of the Interior Department.
Federici contacted top officials in the Interior Department, including former Deputy Secretary Steve Griles, on behalf of several of Abramoff’s tribes, at times drawing on one-page talking-points memos provided by Abramoff, the lobbyists said.
“It was a you-scratch-my-back, I’ll-scratch-yours situation,” one source with knowledge of the arrangement said. “CREA was seen as being close to Interior.” According to IRS filings, the manager of Norton’s Senate race, former Colorado state representative Jeanne Adkins, is CREA’s treasurer.
Dems Narrow Number of Seats to Defend
Last election, House Democrats labeled 19 seats as requiring significant DCCC funds to defend. In a move that will free up precious funds for attacking GOP seats, the Dems have narrowed the number of seats receiving this extra funding to nine. The Hill's Hans Nichols reports:
Emanuel’s higher vulnerability standards also indicate that the DCCC, under his direction, will implement a more calibrated strategy toward channeling member-to-member donations and will not ask lawmakers to part with campaign cash simply to pad skittish incumbents’ margins of victory.Emanuel is entirely correct in strategizing a strong offense in order to defend his ranks. House Republicans are running scared right now on Social Security and the only way for the Democrats to gain traction from this is to devote resources to qualified challengers, not just incumbents.
The DCCC declined to confirm the names on the list, but numerous sources throughout the caucus, including aides for lawmakers who have been told of their Frontline status, said that Reps. Melissa Bean (Ill.), Leonard Boswell (Iowa), Chet Edwards (Texas), Stephanie Herseth (S.D.), Brian Higgins (N.Y.), Jim Matheson (Utah), Charlie Melancon (La.), Dennis Moore (Kan.), and John Salazar (Colo.) were informed last week that they will receive direct donations from their fellow incumbents, in addition to other campaign assistance.
[...]
This year’s shortened list could still grow by two or three lawmakers, several caucus sources said, pending redistricting in Georgia, where two marginal Democrats — freshman Rep. John Barrow and second-term Rep. Jim Marshall — will likely see their districts become more Republican.
Reps. Marshall, Tim Bishop (N.Y.), Lincoln Davis (Tenn.), Tim Holden (Pa.), Darleen Hooley (Ore.), Paul Kanjorksi (Pa.), Rick Larsen (Wash.), Mike Michaud (Maine) and Earl Pomeroy (N.D.) received the Frontline designation last cycle but were not included on Emanuel’s initial list. It was unclear if last cycle’s beneficiaries had been formally notified that they would not be included in this year’s program.
The pared-down list also reflects the Democrats’ confidence that several of their members who had been considered vulnerable are in fact safely ensconced in their districts, even if some of them have failed to throttle past the 55 percent ceiling. In previous cycles, the 55 percent high-water mark almost always guaranteed that an incumbent House Democrat would receive a crush of contributions from the chamber’s safer members.
Off to See Citizen Kane
One of the best parts of taking a film history course is getting to see the classics like Citizen Kane once again. If this Orson Welles classic is one of your favorites, make sure to check out RKO 281, a fine film about the making of Citizen Kane starring Liev Schreiber as Welles.
Texas-style Redistricting Hits Georgia
Firmly in control of the state legislature and governorship, Georgia Republicans have pulled off a mid-census redistricting bill a la Tom DeLay. Roll Call's Lauren W. Whittington has the scoop [subscription only]:
Republicans in the Georgia Legislature have reached consensus on new Congressional boundaries, moving a proposed map forward that would shore up Rep. Phil Gingrey's (R) swing district and potentially complicate the re-election efforts of Democratic Reps. John Barrow and Jim Marshall.The GOP has appeared to back down to a degree by not fundamentally disenfranchising most Democrats in the state. Nevertheless, as long as the Republicans are willing to cheat the system by redistricting between censuses, the Democrats will have no choice but to do the same in states like Illinois, New Mexico and Louisiana. It won't be a pretty picture, but it might be inevitable at this point given these GOP actions.
The state House and Senate redistricting committees passed the same version of a new Congressional map Friday, bringing an end to a week of behind-the-scenes wrangling over how to reconcile the chambers' two competing plans.
[...]
State Democrats privately expressed relief after seeing the compromise map Friday, as they admitted that the redrawing of lines could have hit them much harder politically.
"It could be worse," said a Georgia Democratic operative. "My guess is if everybody ran for re-election, we'd end up with the exact same delegation we've got right now."
Still, Democrats are likely to mount legal challenges if the new lines are approved.
Dems Hit Hard on Social Security
The Democrats might have the momentum on Social Security right now, but without continuing the fight, they will surely lose their momentum. As CQ Today's Midday Update (free email service) reports, the Dems are doing just that: fighting.
A liberal interest group began running television ads Monday criticizing Rep. Jim McCrery of Louisiana, House Republicans' self-described "point man" on a Social Security overhaul, while House Democrats released a report that they said documents the use of the Social Security Administration to promote President Bush's proposal for the program. A group of Senate Democrats, meanwhile, planned a news conference tomorrow to "share the community reaction" to the proposal voiced over the recess.It has been a tough four years for Democrats, but blocking Social Security privatization could be the key to their resurgence.
The moves indicate that Democrats and their allies plan to keep up a steady pressure on Republicans, who are returning to the Capitol from a recess during which they heard much criticism of Bush's plan from their constituents and little support. The president, meanwhile, plans to return to the road Friday to sell his proposal for personal investment accounts created through a diversion of payroll taxes.
CQ's Crawford: House Republicans Could Defect
George W. Bush has been extremely successful at getting his way with Congress, perhaps legislating more effectively than any President since Lyndon Johnson. There could be dire consequences to this strongarming, however, as CQ Weekly's Craig Crawford notes in his column this week.
If Carper, Lieberman, or any other Senate Dem caves on this issue, a primary challenge will not just be acceptable, it will be necessary.
This is how a top Republican lawmaker sums up President Bush’s attitude toward Congress: “Come let us reason together — and do it my way.” He meant to be critical, but the observation also shows how Bush gets things done — in Congress, and in the world at large.House Republicans don't want a vote on privatization? They just want it to go away? Why, then, would any Democrat be willing to deal on Social Security? It makes no sense, whatsoever.
[...]
[H]is “my way or the highway” leadership style is wearing thin for the second term, especially among conservative Republicans. On Social Security, budget deficits and immigration policy, many could publicly break ranks with him.
[...]
Some Republicans who are friendly to Bush’s [Social Security] plan, but not to the idea of making wealthier taxpayers contribute more, now privately hope it goes away without a vote. They fear that the president will go too far to win the Democratic votes he’ll need to thwart a Senate filibuster.
“If we get investment accounts by increasing taxes on our base voters, forget about it,” one GOP staffer said.
If Carper, Lieberman, or any other Senate Dem caves on this issue, a primary challenge will not just be acceptable, it will be necessary.
GOP Rep. to Challenge Bush on Stem Cells
Cultural conservatives may have believed they won the battle over Stem Cell research on November 2, 2004 with the victory of their champion George W. Bush, but at least Republican Congressman is poised to continue the fight. Amy Fagan of The Washington Times (which I am loath to cite) has the scoop:
A Republican congressman will try to repeal President Bush's policy on embryonic stem-cell research when the House Energy and Commerce committee considers a bill to reauthorize the National Institutes of Health budget.The Democrats can't fight the President on Stem Cell research alone and stand any chance of winning; they simply do not have the requisite votes. With the help of Republicans like Bass, though, there is a chance -- however small -- that real change can occur.
Rep. Charles Bass, New Hampshire Republican, will offer a proposal to repeal the policy Mr. Bush outlined in an August 2001 speech.
[...]
Supporters of the bill say embryonic stem-cell research holds the key to breakthrough cures and that the government should invest as much as possible in it. Their effort to roll back Mr. Bush's policy appears to have momentum, but conservative forces are gearing up to fight it.
"We will be up on the Hill stopping Mr. Bass' bill," said Connie Mackey, vice president for governmental relations at the Family Research Council. "We are preparing what we can to stop him in that effort."
Bonus Quote of the Day
"We've had more mudslides than the Bush twins on spring break."Link.
-- Bill Maher, on the weather in California, on HBO's Real Time
Quote of the Day
"He's not as easy to watch as [Peter] Jennings or [Tom] Brokaw."Link.
-- Mike Wallace, of 60 Minutes fame, on Dan Rather
Oy
From Reuters:
A suicide bomber detonated a car near police recruits and a crowded market south of Baghdad Monday, killing 115 people and wounding 148 in the single bloodiest attack in Iraq since the fall of Saddam Hussein.With all of my heart, I hope things begin to improve in Iraq. Elections are not the panacea for the systematic problems in the country, and many of these issues will only be addressed when an international effort commences.
The bomber blew the car up next to a line of recruits waiting at a health center to take an eye test so they could join the Iraqi police force in the town of Hilla, 100 km (62 miles) south of the capital, witnesses said.
Sunday, February 27, 2005
Bush Approval at 46%
This isn't where Bush thought he'd be at this point in his second term.
The same survey found the President's job approval rating falling to 46% after hovering around 49% to 50% since the November election.Check out the link for more details.
[...]
Pollster John Zogby: "The President has had wonderful opportunities in the past four months to build a majority coalition, but he has not done so. Even with elections in Iraq and democracy spreading in Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Lebanon and Palestine—all consistent with the President's goals in his inaugural—the President's numbers have plummeted.
"The good news for Mr. Bush is that the Democrats have no majority coalition either. Even though they receive good marks for healthcare and jobs, where is their alternative plan? They even outscore the President on foreign policy. What foreign policy? We are right back where we have been for the past two years: an evenly-divided nation and neither side hugging the center to get a majority. This isn't gridlock and stalemate, this is the politics of checkmate. The only winners in this poll are the third parties—who would get more votes today than on November 2.
"As for the War in Iraq, our polling just before the war in March 2003 showed support would plummet with the loss of hundreds of American lives and thousands of Iraqi civilian casualties."
DeLay Associate Goes to Trial
Tom DeLay might not be in trouble yet, but a number of his key associates might be soon. As The New York Times' Philip Shenon reports, justice might finally prevail in the case of the men who helped DeLay steal aseven House seats this year.
A civil trial scheduled to open here on Monday involving allegations of illegal campaign contributions to Republican members of the Texas House is likely to attract almost as much attention in the halls of Congress as it will on the floor of the State Legislature.The heat is being turned up on Tom DeLay and it's great to see him squirm.
The reason is the House majority leader, Tom DeLay, the Texas Republican who is among the most powerful men on Capitol Hill and his party's most potent fund-raiser in Congress. While not named as a defendant in the civil trial or placed on the witness list, Mr. DeLay is still likely to find himself a focus of attention in the Travis County courthouse, with Congressional Democrats looking for any sign that his legal troubles back home could be widening.
[...]
The trial in Travis County, which includes most of the state capital, Austin, was prompted by a lawsuit brought by defeated Democratic candidates who charged that political operatives of Mr. DeLay used illegal fund-raising tactics to engineer a Republican takeover of the Legislature. The takeover benefited Mr. DeLay and his colleagues in Washington by enabling Texas Republicans to redraw Congressional districts, solidifying Republican control of the House.
Two of Mr. DeLay's major political operatives in Washington and another political ally in Texas were indicted last year in the grand jury investigation, accused of participating in what local prosecutors described as a scheme to make illegal corporate donations to Republican candidates for the Legislature.
If it Matters to Oregonians...
... it's in The Washington Post. Well, not always. But the Post does have a front page article in Monday's paper on the decline of Oregon's once stringent land usage laws. In "Anti-Sprawl Laws, Property Rights Collide in Oregon", Blaine Harden writes:
The property-rights law, which was approved overwhelmingly by voters last fall and is known as Measure 37, is on the brink of wrecking Oregon's best-in-the-nation record of reining in sprawl, according to state officials and national planning experts. They say the new law illustrates a nationwide paradox in public opinion: While voters tend to favor protection of farmland and open space, they vote down these protections if they perceive them as restrictions on personal rights.Right wingers shrouding their support of anti-government measures under the banner of "the litle people." That's something new.
[...]
Measure 37 was sold to voters last year as a matter of fairness. On ubiquitous radio ads, the frail, woebegone voice of Dorothy English, who bought land in 1953, explained how land-use laws had blocked her from dividing up her 40 acres for her children. "I'm 91 years old, my husband is dead and I don't know how much longer I can fight," she said. The ballot measure won with 61 percent of the vote.
State financial records, though, show that small family farmers contributed virtually nothing to the Family Farm Preservation political action committee that bankrolled Measure 37. Most of the money came from timber companies and real estate interests that stand to profit if, as many here expect, large tracts of forests and farmland are unlocked for development.
This mirrors a national pattern, according to Jacobs, at the University of Wisconsin. He says that property rights campaigns are often sold to voters as compensation for struggling small landholders, while the support money comes from large companies seeking ways around regulations that limit resource extraction and property development.
Yet Another Poll
This news, from Donkey Rising, via MyDD:
A newly-released poll for National Public Radio gives Democratic congressional candidates an early lead in the 2006 congressional campaign. The poll, conducted by Public Opinion Strategies and Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research 2/15-17 indicated that 42 percent of repondents would vote for the Democratic candidate and 36 percent would vote for the Republican candidate in their district, "if the election for Congress were held today."Such polls are largely meaningless as Americans don't vote for parties but rather for individual politicians. What's more, standing at 42 percent is not standing at 50 percent. That having been said, I'd rather be up 6 than down 6 at this point in the game.
The 6 point Democratic advantage was in line with a GQRR poll conducted in January that gave the Dems a 5 point advantage in '06. A December Ipsos-Public Affairs poll gave the Dems a 7 point advantage in response to the question "And if the election for congress were held today, would you want to see the Republicans or Democrats win control of Congress?"
Will the Big Kulongoski Run?
It's always interesting to see the mau-mauing done by politicians who are clearly running for reelection but nevertheless want to appear undecided on the matter. Prime example: Oregon's governor Ted Kulongoski. The AP's Charles E. Beggs has the story:
Gov. Ted Kulongoski is planning on running for a second term, a key adviser, Peter Bragdon, said.It's relatively clear Governor Kulongoski will seek another term even though he "has not yet said whether he's going to run." He'll be tough to knock off either in a primary or a general election because although he hasn't passed any landmark bills, he also hasn't done much to offend the electorate. It won't be a cakewalk, but it shouldn't be the toughest race in the nation either.
There have been rumors that the Democrat might choose against running for re-election in 2006 because he has not said with certainty that he will. But all the signs point to Kulongoski as a candidate.
He has formed a political committee called Kulongoski for Governor 2006 that's raising money for a campaign.
It's overseen by Bragdon, who was Kulongoski's chief of staff until mid-2004.
Bragdon said Kulongoski was making re-election plans as early as last summer, when Bragdon left the governor's office to return to private business.
"When I walked out the door, he asked me to take the lead in pulling together his operation" for a campaign, Bragdon said.
Kulongoski has recruited a campaign manager -- Paige Richardson, director of John Kerry's presidential campaign in Oregon last year. She managed the campaign of Bev Stein, who ran for governor against Kulongoski in the 2002 Democratic primary.
Kulongoski has not yet said whether he's going to run.
Quote of the Day
"Republicans at their town halls are getting treated like off-pitch singers on the Gong Show and the Democrats should cut a phase-out deal that gives the president what until a couple months ago was supposed to be all that he wanted (i.e., 2 percent of payroll)?"Link.
-- Joshua Micah Marshall of Talking Points Memo, on the battle over Social Security
Saturday, February 26, 2005
Article of the Week
This week's must-read article belongs to Richard W. Stevenson of The New York Times. In "For Bush, a Long Embrace of Social Security Plan" Steveson explains that the President's desire to privatize Social Security is nothing new. Here are the key grafs:
Mr. Bush had long been intrigued by the idea of allowing workers to put part of their Social Security taxes into stocks and bonds. One Tuesday in the summer of 1978, in the heat of his unsuccessful race for a House seat from West Texas, Mr. Bush went to Midland Country Club to give a campaign speech to local real estate agents and discussed the issue in terms not much different from those he uses now.This is the type of information you can get over at Josh Marshall's Talking Points Memo, but it's great to see it in the pages of The Times. Make sure to check it out to get an understanding of Bush's fascination with privatizing America's signature program.
Social Security "will be bust in 10 years unless there are some changes," he said, according to an account published the next day in The Midland Reporter-Telegram. "The ideal solution would be for Social Security to be made sound and people given the chance to invest the money the way they feel."
Two decades later, Mr. Bush's desire to change Social Security intersected with the promotion of private accounts by well-financed interest groups and conservative research organizations, which viewed the concept as innovative if ideologically explosive. What was once a fringe proposal has been propelled to the forefront of the national agenda in one of the biggest gambles of Mr. Bush's political career, and in one of the most concerted challenges since the New Deal to liberal assumptions about the relationship of individuals, the government and the market.
GOP Governors Push Back on Medicaid Cuts
Although the President and the Republican Congress seem poised to raid Medicaid funding, GOP Governors around the nation are not standing for it. The New York Times' Robert Pear reports:
Alarmed by soaring Medicaid costs, the nation's governors say they are enchanted with some of President Bush's proposals to restructure the program, but they adamantly oppose budget cuts sought by the White House and Republican leaders of Congress.Republicans standing up to the President? Perhaps it won't be so easy for the President and the Republican Congress to bilk money from the nation's poor after all...
[...]
Republican governors, like Democrats, reject President Bush's proposals to cut back federal contributions to Medicaid, which is financed jointly by the federal government and the states, at a cost exceeding $300 billion a year.
"Simply cutting the Medicaid budget is unacceptable," said Gov. Mike Huckabee of Arkansas, a Republican who is vice chairman of the governors association. [emphasis added]
Who's Running for President in 2008?
The Washington Post's Dana Milbank takes a gander at possible contenders out of the nation's 50 governors:
RepublicansGovernor's have tended to do well in Presidential races, winning every contest since 1976, with the exception of 1988. It might be wise, then, for either party to nominate a governor in 2008.
Arnold Schwarzenegger (Calif): Needs constitutional amendment -- quickly.
Mitt Romney (Mass.): Prettier than John Edwards.
George E. Pataki (N.Y.) : He'll have to outfox Rudy.
Jeb Bush (Fla.): Many hope he'll break his promise not to run.
Haley Barbour (Miss.): Deep ties to Washington steakhouse of dubious value.
Mike Huckabee (Ark.): Recent weight loss increases speculation.
Mark Sanford (S.C.): Can't run if his friend John McCain does.
Bill Owens (Colo.): Embarrassed by Democratic victories in his state in '04.
Democrats
Tom Vilsack (Iowa): Early favorite to win the Iowa caucuses.
Mark R. Warner (Va.): A southern Democrat.
Phil Bredesen (Tenn.): Could do better in his state than Al Gore did.
Bill Richardson (N.M.): Dogged by his Energy Department tenure.
Jennifer M. Granholm (Mich.): Waiting for the Schwarzenegger amendment to pass.
Janet Napolitano (Ariz.): Her home state may be too red for Democrats to win.
Rod Blagojevich (Ill.): His home state may be too blue to matter.
Oregon's Budget Situation a Little Less Sticky
In almost every Oregon budget in the last 15 years the state legislature has been forced to make cuts which eventually prove deadly to state social services. This year the decisions might not be quite as tough as previously expected, however. The Oregonian's James Mayer has the story from Salem.
Oregon lawmakers basked in waves of welcome news Friday.There are still tough decisions to be made, and the state will still be close to a billion dollars short of maintaining current spending levels, but with this added revenue the cuts might not hurt quite as much.
First, a new revenue estimate promised $202 million more for the state budget. And they dodged a $113 million bullet when the Oregon Supreme Court ruled that the Legislature's decision four years ago to keep a portion of the income-tax kicker rebate was legal.
"All of a sudden, we have more money on the table than we ever dreamed of," said Senate President Peter Courtney, D-Salem. "I can at last hope again."
Oy
And the situation in Iraq continues to deterioate...
I certainly hope and pray the situation in Iraq will improve, though I'm skeptical it will.
A major oil fire raged Saturday after insurgents blew up a pipeline in the north of the country. The family of an anchorwoman for a U.S.-funded state television station — a mother of four who was repeatedly shot in the head — found her body dumped on a street in the northern city of Mosul.Link.
Insurgents, meanwhile, killed two civilians in a roadside bombing west of Baghdad, a suicide car bomber killed an Iraqi national guardsman and injured 7 people southwest of the capital and the U.S. military announced the death Friday an American soldier killed in a massive security sweep in the Sunni Triangle.
As part of the offensive, residents in Ramadi, the Sunni-dominated city 70 miles west of Baghdad, reported clashes between insurgents and American forces, but the military provided no details. U.S. troops have been conducting an offensive in the region for nearly a week.
I certainly hope and pray the situation in Iraq will improve, though I'm skeptical it will.
Saturday Afternoon Fun
I'm spending a little time catching up on Frank Capra. At this hour, Mr. Smith Goes to Washington, a real classic if you ask me. Later on, it will be It Happened One Night, another Capra gem.
Quote of the Day
"The Social Security trust fund really does exist."Link.
-- David Espo, Special Correspondent to the AP covering Social Security.
Schweitzer Gets it Right in Dems' Weekly Address
It's not often that the weekly address by either party is meaningful to many Americans, but today's Democratic speech by Montana Governor Brian Schweitzer should hit home to many Americans. The AP has the story:
The Bush administration cites public safety in trying to block admission of cheaper prescription drugs from Canada, but has agreed to expand imports of Canadian beef and cattle despite cases of mad cow disease, Montana's Democratic governor complained Saturday.I agree with Gary Hart that much of the Democratic Party's strength in the coming years will come from the west. Schweitzer -- and his state Montana -- embody this. In his 2000 Senate bid, Schweitzer was relatively unknown but got 48% against an incumbent; this year, he won the governorship by four points. If he can use his popularity to boost the Democratic Senatorial candidate this year, there's a very good chance that incumbent Republican Conrad Burns will be defeated.
"President Bush was recently here in Montana and we had just one question for him," Gov. Brian Schweitzer said in his party's weekly radio address. "Why allow bad beef to enter the U.S. from Canada and not allow safe medicine?"
Schweitzer, who was elected in November as the state's first Democratic governor in 16 years, has been a staunch proponent of allowing drug imports from Canada, saying they could dramatically cut costs for senior citizens and others on fixed incomes.
[...]
During an earlier, unsuccessful campaign for a Senate seat, Schweitzer became known for chartering buses to take older people to Canada to buy their prescription drugs.
He said he often gave those on board clipboards and asked them to make note of the number of Canadian trucks headed into the United States carrying cattle, hogs and lumber.
"Yet prescription drugs made in the U.S., shipped to Canada, aren't allowed back across the border. This makes no sense," Schweitzer said.
Friday, February 25, 2005
Who's On This Sunday Morning?
For everyone who wants their politics on Meet The Press instead of The Oscars this Sunday [from The Post]...
FOX NEWS SUNDAY: Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.); Cardinal Francis George of Chicago; and Ray Flynn, former U.S. ambassador to the Vatican.Is McCain on every week?
THIS WEEK (ABC): Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger (R-Calif.) and Democratic strategist Donna Brazile.
FACE THE NATION (CBS): Sens. John E. Sununu (R-N.H.) and Jon S. Corzine (D-N.J.); and former national security adviser Zbigniew Brzezinski.
MEET THE PRESS (NBC): Sens. Rick Santorum (R-Pa.) and Joseph R. Biden Jr. (D-Del.).
LATE EDITION (CNN): Sens. Arlen Specter (R-Pa.) and Lindsey O. Graham (R-S.C.); Rep. Jane Harman (D-Calif.); German Ambassador Wolfgang Ischinger; French Ambassador Jean-David Levitte; British Ambassador David Manning; Brzezinski; and former defense secretary William S. Cohen.
Will the FCC Actually do its Job?
FCC Chairman Michael Powell has shown a unique knack for shirking the real responsibilities of the agency in favor of imposing a conservative agenda on the media. At the prodding of an enterprising lawyer and a tough reporter for The New York Times, though, Powell has been forced into action to uphold the basic tenets of United States communications law. The Times' Stephen Labaton has the story:
The Federal Communications Commission, in an abrupt about-face, has decided to reconsider a staff decision that allowed a prominent Oklahoma politician convicted of perjury and obstruction of justice to sell a group of radio stations, officials said on Friday.One of the largely unnoticed changes made by the Bush administration has come in the field of media regulation. On one hand, almost all limits on corporate ownership have been removed, enabling levels of consolidation that drastically reduce real choice. On the other hand, Bush and Powell have acted with unnecessary force to prohibit "indecency." It is thus refreshing to see Powell actually doing his job now -- even if he is slated to leave next month (which we're all happy to see).
The decision to approve the sale was considered by some media experts to be a significant deregulation of the broadcast ownership rules, because the agency has long required the forfeiture of radio licenses to the commission by those who fail a character test. The character test, which requires truthfulness in dealing with the government, is an integral part of the media rules, because owners of radio licenses hold a public trust and are obliged to act in "the public interest."
The commission had never considered a case involving a conviction of perjury before a federal agency, according to officials.
But the commission has revoked licenses for a variety of other crimes, from sexual abuse of a minor to fraud to dealing in illegal narcotics. The character guidelines also make clear that truthfulness is a central element of the rules.
New Poll Looks Bad for Bush
It's tough to come home from Europe to face poor approval ratings, but that's something President Bush will have to do. The AP has the story:
A majority of Americans now say they believe U.S. troops will have to stay in Iraq for at least two more years, compared with 44 percent of people who felt that way last summer, a poll released Thursday finds.Ouch. 46 percent approval. That's rough.
The Jan. 30 elections in Iraq appear to have improved perceptions in the United States about the possibility of a stable Iraq, according to a poll by the Pew Research Center for the People & the Press. But that has not convinced the public that U.S. troops are coming home any sooner.
The poll found that 54 percent of those surveyed think U.S. troops will have to stay in Iraq for two more years, while 22 percent put the time at longer than five years.
[...]
The poll found that President Bush’s overall approval rate was 46 percent, compared with 50 percent in January. Bush’s approval rate on Iraq was 40 percent, compared with 45 percent in January.
Oy Vey!
This is terrible news.
I sincerely hope this does not curtail the peace process, though I'm afraid it will. For now, our thoughts and prayers are with the victims and their families.
A suicide bomber blew himself up among Israelis waiting outside a nightclub near Tel Aviv's beachfront promenade just before midnight Friday, killing several people, wounding dozens and shattering an unofficial Mideast truce.Link.
The area was crowded with young Israelis. About 20 to 30 people were waiting to get into the "Stage" club on Herbert Samuel street, close to the promenade. "I was near the club. There were about 20 people outside. Suddenly, there was an enormous explosion," said a witness, identified only as Tsahi.
There was no immediate claim of responsibility. However, militants in the Al Aqsa Martyrs' Brigades, a violent group with ties to Palestinian leader Mahmoud Abbas' Fatah movement, said the Lebanese guerrilla group Hezbollah was involved in the attack.
I sincerely hope this does not curtail the peace process, though I'm afraid it will. For now, our thoughts and prayers are with the victims and their families.
Largest Jewish Group to Support Stem-Cell Research
Forward's E.J. Kessler has the story about the support for stem-cell research by America's largest Jewish organization in this week's issue.
In a move that is likely to bring it into conflict with Catholic and Evangelical Christian groups, the largest Jewish organization in America is launching a push for pro-stem-cell-research legislation in state houses around the country.It's good to see some religious groups realizing that there is morality behind finding cures to terrible diseases.
Hadassah, the 300,000-member women's Zionist organization, is bringing hundreds of advocates to the capitals of 47 states this spring to agitate for legislation authorizing state funding for stem-cell research, which scientists hope will lead to cures for many chronic diseases, including Parkinson's and Alzheimer's.
Hadassah has identified 10 states — including Connecticut, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Missouri, Florida and Maryland — as the central focus of its effort. The organization will launch their new campaign with a March 1 trip to Albany, during which Hadassah members will make their case to New York lawmakers.
[...]
Hadassah's advocacy of stem-cell research is not incidental: The group supports the Hadassah Medical Center, located in Jerusalem, at which advanced stem-cell research is conducted.
"This goes to the core of Hadassah's mission because Hadassah is a world leader in stem-cell research at our hospital in Israel," Klein said. "We have a hundred-year history of advocating for health. Our position is not a partisan issue. It's about saving lives. As a Jewish women's organization, we want to make the point that religions aren't monolithic about this. There are plenty of religious voices on the side of stem-cell research."
Campaign News
The Washington Post's Michael D. Shear reports on this major development out of Virginia.
The Houston Chronicle's Kristen Mack has some news out of Texas.
Sen. H. Russell Potts Jr., a Republican from Winchester, plans to announce Friday morning that he is mounting an independent bid for governor but will not formally leave the party he says is gripped by conservative social issues and anti-tax rhetoric.What's more, if enough moderate Republicans choose to forsake their party's gubernatorial candidate, they very well might consider not voting for the GOP candidate for US Senate, Sen. George Allen, as he possibly matches up against popular Governor Mark Warner.
Potts, an irascible politician who has become a voice of the GOP moderates as chairman of the Senate's Education and Health Committee, has scheduled a news conference at the State Capitol to announce his decision.
He declined to comment publicly Thursday, but aides and colleagues said Potts has informed them that he is certain to run as an "independent Republican" in the 2005 campaign.
[...]
His entry will transform the Virginia governor's campaign into a three-way race between Potts and the two likely major-party candidates, former attorney general Jerry W. Kilgore (R) and Lt. Gov. Timothy M. Kaine (D).
Some political observers said Potts could hand the race to Kaine if enough voters see the Winchester senator as an alternative to Kilgore's conservative policies.
The Houston Chronicle's Kristen Mack has some news out of Texas.
His friends have called him crazy.Bell, of course, was defeated because of Tom DeLay's corrupt mid-census redistricting, perhaps allowing the conservative Democrat to run as an outsider in the race. Even more important is the bloody primary battle that should ensue in the GOP as Governor Rick Perry squares up with Senator Kay Bailey Hutchison. If either one emerges from the primary too battered, there is a chance Bell will be able to pick up the statehouse.
But Chris Bell doesn't care. He's formed an exploratory committee for the 2006 governor's race anyway.
The Houston Democrat, defeated last year after a single term in the U.S. House, admits he has a lot of work ahead of him. Not only will he have to build his name recognition statewide, but he's also considering a run when no Democrat holds a statewide office.
Though Republicans call it wishful thinking, Democrats hope the state's growing Hispanic population will fuel a comeback by the party as soon as 2008 or perhaps by 2012.
Another Descent in Political Discourse
A far right-wing group is comparing Sen. Howard Stephenson, R-Draper, to Osama bin Laden in a new flier that says: "Not all terrorists wear turbans."-- Thomas Burr, The Salt Lake Tribune, "Attack compares senator to terrorist", February 25, 2005
60 Minutes to Carry "Bombshell Claims"
On Sunday night while the Oscars are roaring on another channel, CBS' 60 Minutes will air a shocking piece that could let the American people know why Watergate happened. The New York Post's Neil Graves has the story:
In new bombshell claims, a former Watergate investigator says the break-in was motivated by President Nixon's paranoia that the Democrats would find out that he had taken a $50,000 bribe from Howard Hughes.I suppose this means I'll have to turn away from the Oscars for 15 minutes on Sunday...
Terry Lenzner, revealing fresh details after more than 30 years, told "60 Minutes" that Nixon was obsessed with finding out whether Democratic National Committee boss Larry O'Brien knew that the billionaire recluse had sent him a stash of cash.
The money — delivered in a bulging envelope — was spent on a putting green and a pool table at Nixon's Florida residence, investigators believe.
"I am absolutely certain it was a significant part of the president's thinking that [finding out what the Democrats knew had] to be done," Lenzner told correspondent Lesley Stahl in a broadcast to be aired Sunday.
Ridge Rewarded for Hocking Duct Tape
Then-Secretary of Homeland Defense created quite a stir two years ago when he told Americans to stock up on a number of supplies in case of a terrorist attack, including duct tape. Now, his salesman skills will be put to task once again. Cox News Service has the story:
The nation's former security chief, Tom Ridge, will champion duct tape once again -- this time as a director on Home Depot's board.The revolving door swings quickly these days.
Atlanta-based Home Depot, the nation's largest home improvement retailer with 1,892 stores, appointed Ridge to its board yesterday, replacing Roger Penske, who steps down when his term expires in May.
Ridge, 59, former secretary of the Department of Homeland Security and governor of Pennsylvania, is expected to lend cachet to Home Depot's board just as the chain looks to China for growth.
[...]
Home Depot chief Bob Nardelli is a big supporter of -- and contributor to -- the Republican Party.
Oy
A roadside bomb killed three U.S. soldiers and wounded eight others north of Baghdad on Friday, the military said, while the government announced the capture of three figures associated with Iraq's bloody insurgency.Link.
[...]
The attack, which occurred around midday in Tarmiyah, about 20 miles north of the capital, raised the U.S. military death toll in Iraq to at least 1,489, according to an Associated Press count since the war began in March 2003. On Thursday, the military said three U.S. soldiers were killed in separate attacks.
Thursday, February 24, 2005
Should SSA Officials Push for Privatization
The New York Times' Anne E. Kornblut reports, you decide.
James B. Lockhart III, the deputy commissioner at the Social Security Administration, said Thursday that he had appeared with four Republican members in recent days to provide information, not to endorse the diversion of some payroll taxes to personal accounts.It's a tough issue. On one hand, you have officials of an agency calling for their agency's privatization and on the other hand you have ethics. In Bush's Washington, which one will win out?
But several Democrats are objecting to Mr. Lockhart's role in an aggressive campaign to promote administration proposals for restructuring Social Security.
"The administration is running one of the most sophisticated grassroots lobbying strategies in history, and they are using federal employees and taxpayer dollars to do it," said Senator Frank R. Lautenberg, Democrat of New Jersey. "Social Security employees should be spending their time serving the needs of Social Security recipients, not advancing a political agenda."
Senator Charles E. Schumer, Democrat of New York, said the agency "is supposed to serve all the people and should not be giving the appearance that it is taking sides."
"It is absolutely inappropriate for officials from the Social Security Administration to hit the hustings in support of the president's plan," Mr. Schumer said in a statement.
The Left Gets Its Act Together on Soc. Sec.
It has certainly taken long enough. With numerous corporate-funded conservative groups pledging to dump tens of millions of dollars in the effort to partially privatize Social Security, a group has finally arisen from the liberal wings to coordinate the defense of FDR's signature program. The Washington Post's Jeffrey H. Birnbaum has the scoop:
The battle lines in the coming war over Social Security have finally been drawn with the creation last week of a new umbrella group that will coordinate attacks on President Bush's drive to create personal investment accounts.It looks like the left has finally figured out the gravity of the situation. The future of the Democratic party and, more importantly, the future of America is at stake, so $50 million dollars is quite insignificant in the long run.
At the urging of Democratic leaders in Congress, a few political campaign veterans have formed Americans United to Protect Social Security. The nonprofit organization with close ties to organized labor plans to raise $25 million to $50 million to pressure lawmakers to vote against Bush's proposal.
[...]
About 200 organizations will coordinate their efforts through the new group. The Media Fund, which raised and spent millions of dollars on anti-Bush advertisements last year, is considering joining, according to one of its principals, Harold Ickes, a former deputy chief of staff to President Bill Clinton.
The largest single opponent of the president's plan, the seniors lobby AARP, will operate separately.
A Poll!
It's not election season any more, so polling data is not plentiful. However, whenever we hear about a poll here at Basie!, we try and pass it along. National Journal's Poll Track (subscription required) passes on this latest poll from Zogby:
[Update 3:17 PM Pacific]: For the Clarkies in the audience, there is some good news from this poll. When asked "Who do you believe is the best Democrat to defeat a Republican nominee, like John McCain or Rudy Giuliani, in 2008?", Independents put Clark (12%) second to Clinton (24%).
A Zogby survey conducted for the Democratic firm WhatsNext Communications shows [Hillary] Clinton with a big lead on the overall 2008 field -- both women and men. When asked who they would vote for if the Democratic primary were held today, 32 percent of respondents named the New York senator. (John Kerry came in second with 16 percent and former Vice President Al Gore earned 12 percent. Former vice-presidential candidate John Edwards -- who some think has already started campaigning for the ticket's top spot in 2008 -- got 9 percent of the vote.)Also in the mix: Howard Dean at 7%, Bill Richardson with 5%, Wesley Clark and Evan Bayh with 3% apiece, and Russ Feingold at 1%. The race for the Democratic nomination is far from over and undoubtedly a name not polled will seemingly come out of nowhere to gain substantial support, perhaps even enough to win the race.
[Update 3:17 PM Pacific]: For the Clarkies in the audience, there is some good news from this poll. When asked "Who do you believe is the best Democrat to defeat a Republican nominee, like John McCain or Rudy Giuliani, in 2008?", Independents put Clark (12%) second to Clinton (24%).
Frist's "Nuclear Option" in Jeopardy
Perhaps Arlen Specter's victory this fall wasn't so bad for progressives (I certainly supported him over his Democratic rival). As CQ Today's Midday Update (free email service) reports, Specter appears to relish being a thorn in the side of the right as it tries to rid the Senate of filibusters.
Senate Judiciary Committee Chairman Arlen Specter said today that he will "exercise every last ounce of my energy" to strike a deal with Democrats on President Bush's judicial nominations. Majority Leader Bill Frist, R-Tenn., has threatened to execute a parliamentary move that has become known as the "nuclear option" to short-circuit Democratic filibusters of Bush's judicial picks. Frist would need the support of at least half the senators present and voting in one or more procedural votes. It is not clear Frist has the votes he needs. Specter, R-Pa., has avoided taking a public position on the "nuclear option," but he is clearly reluctant to see the Senate's tradition of minority rights eroded. "I think historically if you were to flash ahead 100 years from now, this controversy over judges would be miniscule. It would not be a major matter in the life of the country. But minority rights are," Specter said.It's good to see that there are a few Republicans who remeber life in the minority and realize that although there would be short-term benefits to getting rid of the filibuster, the long-range problems would be immense. Kudos to Specter for standing up to his party on this issue.
New Link in the Blogroll
I just wanted to let you know about a new link in the blogroll: Voices of Reason. It's a nice site and you should consider checking it out.
Talon News is Down for the Count
The conservative website GOPUSA has shut down its "news" division today in the wake of the Jeff Gannon/J.D. Guckert scandal. Here's the story, according to Editor & Publisher.
First it lost "Jeff Gannon" as its White House correspondent. Then it scrubbed all of his articles from its site. Now Talon News is going dark.For an excellent take on the subject, check out Bill Maher's meme on Guckert.
The Web site, closely linked to Texas Republican activist Bobby Eberle and his GOPUSA.com, posted a message on its home page today announcing that Talon was going offline for, as it said, a "top-to-bottom" review.
James Guckert, better known by his pen name Jeff Gannon, got press credentials for two years at the White House under his alias, first under the auspices of GOPUSA, then Talon News. He has since been linked to male escorts sites and has refused to deny working as a prostitute, most recently on this morning's NBC "Today" show.
Oy
A man wearing a police uniform drove a car bomb inside the main police compound in Saddam Hussein's hometown north of Baghdad on Thursday, setting off a massive explosion that killed 15 police and wounded 22, officials and witnesses said.Link.
At least four other police were killed in separate attacks across the country, including another suicide car bomb assault on a police convoy in Iskandariyah, 30 miles south of the capital.
In the capital, gunmen opened fire on a bakery in eastern Baghdad, killing two people and wounding a third, police said.
Bush's Troubles with Bipartisanship
One of the real problems with being the most partisan President in decades is that after a time, members of the other side no longer trusts you, and are thus unwilling to help you destroy their party. Such is the case for George W. Bush as he seeks to privatize Social Security, as USA Today's Andrea Stone notes:
The debate over changing Social Security can be a mind-numbing actuarial exercise, with calculations and projections that reach into the trillions of dollars and unfold over decades. But for President Bush, the most important number right now might be one.Bush must have thought he was an extremely shrewd politician when he wooed Landrieu throughout 2001 and early 2002 before stabbing her in the back during the general election. Maybe such a blindly partisan move won't help him in the long run, though...
That's how many Democrats he needs - and still lacks - to claim that his plan is bipartisan.
"This can't be done without Democrats," says Norm Ornstein, a congressional scholar at the American Enterprise Institute, a conservative think tank here. "They need the political cover of both parties."
[...]
But some moderates who have voted at times with the president, such as Sen. Mary Landrieu of Louisiana, may be wary of crossing party lines again. Landrieu was one of nine Senate Democrats to vote for Bush's 10-year, $1.35 trillion tax cut in 2001. The next year, Republicans spent millions - unsuccessfully - to oust her.
Quote of the Day
"[He's] not some wild-eyed, left-wing nut."Link.
-- Senate Minority Leader Harry Reid (D-NV) defending new DNC Chair Howard Dean
Pennsylvania Politics Report
There's quite a bit of political news out of Pennsylvania this morning, new major pieces of which come from the aptly-dubbed PoliticsPA.com. First, a new Demcoratic poll shows uber-conservative Senator Rick Santorum in a bucket of trouble in his bid for reelection.
In other news from the Keystone state, PoliticsPA.com reports that Hall of Fame wide receiver Lynn Swann has set up an "exploratory committee" to look into a possible run at the Republican gubernatorial nomination. Says Swann,
Barbara Hafer and conducted by Fairbank, Maslin, Maullin & Associates shows the Republican-turned-Democrat former Treasurer Barbara Hafer tied 44- 44 with Senator Rick Santorum in a hypothetical matchup. The poll shows Santorum losing to Treasuer Bobby Casey Jr. 40-47.[more on the poll here]
In other news from the Keystone state, PoliticsPA.com reports that Hall of Fame wide receiver Lynn Swann has set up an "exploratory committee" to look into a possible run at the Republican gubernatorial nomination. Says Swann,
Over the course of the next several months, I will begin to have a conversation with the people of Pennsylvania regarding a potential campaign. I will spend time introducing myself to communities across the Commonwealth, and listening to the people of Pennsylvania. As I consider my personal decision regarding the upcoming gubernatorial race, we will also explore the potential political and financial support for my candidacy. With the support of friends and family, I have authorized the formation of "Team 88" to help accomplish these goals.As I've said before, it's about time for parties to stop nominating celebrities for office just because of their name recognition. Perhaps Swann could be an effective Governor some day, but with no previous experience save for catching a football for the Pittsburgh Steelers, maybe he should aim a little lower first: a state Senate seat, for instance.
Wednesday, February 23, 2005
The Washington Hollywood Connection
This time, it's going in the other direction. US News and World Report's Washington Whispers column passes on this entertainment news:
Usually Hollywood borrows from Washington for on-screen drama, but now studios and stars are using cutthroat political campaign strategies to win the Oscar. The latest twist: Washington-trained campaign strategists have been hired for the battle for best actress. Insiders say they're involved in a vicious whispering, E-mail, and rumor campaign to help--or sink--Hilary Swank, star of Warner Bros.' Million Dollar Baby, and Annette Bening, star of Sony's Being Julia. It's so hot, said one consultant, that the attacks could lead to a surprise winner.Is there a point at which the politicization of America goes too far? If the answer is yes, is this that point?
Progressive Groups Join Soc. Sec. Fight
The battle for the future of Social Security is perhaps the most important political moment in a generation. With business interests pledging to dump tens of millions of unrestricted dollars into the campaign to privatize the program, it's about time progressive groups got active. The New York Times' Sheryl Gay Stolberg and Richard W. Stevenson has the story:
The public relations war over President Bush's Social Security plan escalated on Wednesday, as a liberal advocacy group attacked the Republican chairman of the House Social Security subcommittee, and conservative groups fought among themselves over strategy.Unless the left understands that this is not just a battle for the future of America but also the future of progressivism itself, it's going to be a tough fight. This is a good start, though.
The advocacy group, Campaign for America's Future, accused the subcommittee chairman, Representative Jim McCrery of Louisiana, of conflict of interest, saying he had accepted nearly $200,000 in contributions over four years from securities firms and commercial banks that could benefit from Mr. Bush's plan to let workers invest in retirement accounts.
On Thursday, the group will begin running newspaper advertisements against Mr. McCrery under the headline "Who Does This Man Work For?" in his hometown, Shreveport. In addition, it is using the Internet to raise money for television advertisements.
Blogging on the Hill
New York Times technology reporter Brian Wingfield has an extremely interesting article in Thursday's issue on the new big thing in Congress: blogging.
The nonprofit Congressional Management Foundation, which helps educate Congress on running its business, says at least four members - Mr. Pence; Representatives Mark Kirk, Republican of Illinois, and Katherine Harris, Republican of Florida; and Senator Patrick J. Leahy, Democrat of Vermont - have taken up the task on a continuing basis. (Others have used temporary blogs to document trips, said Brad Fitch, the foundation's deputy director.)Blogging can be great for the American Democracy, even if it's now in it's infancy on the Hill. The more interaction the American people can have with their representatives, the more responsive Congress will be to the will of the American people.
The Congressional bloggers praise the power, popularity and potential of blogging, citing it as one of the most frequently visited parts of their Congressional Web sites.
"It shows your constituents that you're going to be updating your Web site regularly, and the next time they log on, they will see something new," Mr. Kirk said.
While popular political blogs like Wonkette, MyDD and Daily Kos serve as an alternative to traditional news sources and allow their authors to purvey commentary, Congressional blogs are extremely tame. In many cases, staff members - not the legislators themselves - post entries, and they rarely link to other blogs, as most blogs do.
[...]
At this stage, he added, members of Congress are primarily experimenting with blogs as a creative means to reach voters, not as a way to attract the attention of the blogosphere - the bloggers' realm, which can sometimes be an incubator of ideas and news. "The Hill has yet to really reach that level of sophistication" with the Internet, he said, but "there are people that do get it."
Senate Dems Hit Back Even Harder
Last night we passed on the story that the Senate Democrats would be taking their case for protecting Social Security to the American people. Today, we find out that the Dems won't just be pushing their side of the story, they'll be hammering the Republicans who support privatization. Taegan Goddard has this story from the subscription only Roll Call:
"Senate Democratic leaders will target two Republican leaders seeking re-election in 2006 by visiting their states in a two-day blitz next week that’s designed to drum up opposition to President Bush’s effort to overhaul Social Security," Roll Call reports.With the Democrats sitting high in Arizona and polls showing Santorum in danger of losing his seat, this looks to be an extremely shrewd move by the Dems. Nice work.
"Specifically, Democrats will single out Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum (R) and Arizona Sen. Jon Kyl (R) for seconding Bush’s contention that the system is in “crisis” — a notion Democrats roundly dispute."
"Democrats say they plan to mount vigorous challenges to both GOP Senators in 2006, in a bid to wrest control of the Senate from Republican hands."
Fun Times at Basie!
We've just received our 50,000th hit here at Basie! since July 1, 2004 from just over 37,000 unique visitors. I know this isn't much compared to DailyKos' 100 million visitors, but I'm still very much appreciative of all of your support for this site.
If you have any suggestions -- what should be covered, who else should be interviewed, links that should be put up, etc. -- please let me know in the comment section of this thread. Alternatively, feel free to email me any ideas or tips. I really cannot do this without you, the reader.
Once again, thank you for visiting Basie! If you'd like to show your support for the site, consider making your Amazon purchases through my Amazon link.
If you have any suggestions -- what should be covered, who else should be interviewed, links that should be put up, etc. -- please let me know in the comment section of this thread. Alternatively, feel free to email me any ideas or tips. I really cannot do this without you, the reader.
Once again, thank you for visiting Basie! If you'd like to show your support for the site, consider making your Amazon purchases through my Amazon link.
Infighting in the Texas GOP
It's always amuzing to see the Republicans duke it out in an intraparty struggle for power. CQ Today's Midday Update (free email service) passes on this story out of Texas.
The Democrats have had a lot of trouble in Texas ever since George W. Bush defeated Governor Ann Richards in 1994. If the (expected) primary battle between Perry and Hutchison becomes to heated, a conservative/moderate Democrat like Chris Bell or Martin Frost might be able to pick up either the governorship or the Senate seat.
Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison and Gov. Rick Perry are continuing to trade "subtle and not so subtle digs" against each other as they position themselves for the 2006 Texas gubernatorial race, according to the Dallas Morning News. Hutchison was scheduled to speak at the Harris County GOP's annual dinner on Tuesday night, but hours before she took the podium, Perry released a list of endorsements from Houston-area Republican leaders. "If it sounded like the dinner's guest roster, it was no accident," reports the paper. Even county GOP chairman Jared Woodfill -- the master of ceremonies for the program -- was on the list. Hutchison has not made her candidacy official, and she did not speak directly about Perry at the dinner. But she has established a campaign team that by all counts would be overkill if she is planning to return to the Senate, the paper reports.[Original story here]
The Democrats have had a lot of trouble in Texas ever since George W. Bush defeated Governor Ann Richards in 1994. If the (expected) primary battle between Perry and Hutchison becomes to heated, a conservative/moderate Democrat like Chris Bell or Martin Frost might be able to pick up either the governorship or the Senate seat.
Quote of the Day
"Then why did he go to the New York Times? ... he should have gone on 'This Week with George Stephanopoulos,' then he would have been sure no one would ever see them."Link.
-- Jay Leno, on Doug Wead's claim he didn't want to make the Bush tapes public.
Schwarzenegger Now Viewed as a Politician
Once Arnold Schwarzenegger began acting like a fiercely partisan Republican, it was only time until his constituents began to view him that way. The San Francisco Chronicle's Carla Marinucci has the scoop on the latest poll out of California that does not bode too well for the Governor.
Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger's job approval ratings -- though still high -- have deflated markedly among state voters, who now see him as partisan and more tied to special interests, a new Field Poll shows.Perhaps Californians will begin to regain their senses and realize that although Schwarzenegger portrays himself as an uncorruptible citizen, he is a politician first and foremost. 2006 might not be as easy for the Governor as most had previously expected.
The poll shows that 55 percent of the state's voters approve today of the job Republican Schwarzenegger is doing -- compared to 35 percent who disapprove and 11 percent who hold no opinion.
But that is a 10 percentage point drop from just six months ago, when 65 percent of the voters saw him positively and only 22 percent viewed his job performance negatively.
"Schwarzenegger's readings are coming down from the stratosphere,'' said Field Poll Director Mark DiCamillo. "It's almost like he's coming down to earth, where most politicians reside.''
In another important measure of public mood, the poll also shows that a majority of registered voters -- 53 percent -- believe the state is headed in the wrong direction, with 35 percent saying California is heading in the right direction. That is a significant increase from September, when 46 percent said the state was on the right track and just 38 percent said the wrong track.
Tuesday, February 22, 2005
Gingrich Making a Presidential Run?
So far the former House Speaker has tried to remain mum about his intentions for 2008, but that didn't stop The Hill's Patrick O’Connor and Bob Cusack from reporting on Newt's imminent ventures into early primary states.
Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich (R-Ga.) will be making trips to New Hampshire and Iowa this spring, but not necessarily to launch a presidential campaign.There are very few conservatives the Democrats would rather see getting the GOP nomination in 2008 than Newt Gingrich. Although some in the Washington cognoscenti might believe a moderate like Rudy Giuliani or a maverick like John McCain have a shot at becoming the Republican standard bearer, in all likelihood an uber-conservative will get the nod. Perhaps Newt's chances aren't quite as bad as some might think...
Gingrich, who is promoting his new book, Winning the Future, told reporters yesterday at a breakfast sponsored by The Christian Science Monitor that he will travel to the presidential primary battlegrounds to ensure that his conservative ideals remain relevant in the 2008 presidential campaign.
Asked if he will ever run for elected office again, Gingrich said, “It strikes me as implausible,” adding that he would not rule anything out.
Senator Katherine Harris?
Could it happen? The Hill's Peter Savodnik explains that although the former Florida Secretary of State who ensured George Bush's 2000 victory at any and all costs has the inside track for the GOP Senatorial nomination, winning won't be quite as easy.
A new Florida poll is prompting fresh speculation that Rep. Katherine Harris (R-Fla.) will challenge Sen. Bill Nelson (D) next year.Harris is only at 39% in a Republican poll? She will certainly gain the support of the ultra-right for delivering Bush the White House but it looks like most Floridians have not forgiven her for disenfranchising her. This seat is a little safer for the Dems now.
In the survey, conducted Feb. 16-20 by the GOP firm Strategic Vision, Harris garnered 38 percent of Republican voters. Trailing the second-term congresswoman were state Attorney General Charlie Crist, with 19 percent, and state Chief Financial Officer Tom Gallagher, with 13 percent.
The poll also showed Harris beating other well-known politicians in the race for the GOP Senate nomination, including former Rep. Bill McCollum, who has run unsuccessfully for the Senate twice; Reps. Mark Foley and Dave Weldon; and Lt. Gov. Toni Jennings.
[...]
In a general-election match-up, Nelson easily defeated Harris, with 46 percent backing the Democrat, 39 the Republican and 15 undecided.
Reid to Sen. Dems: Take the Offensive
The Democrats appear to have the votes in the Senate to block Bush's attempts at privatizing Social Security, but that's not stopping them from taking their case to the American people. The National Journal has the story:
Senate Democrats hope to use this week to block President Bush's Social Security public relations campaign, countering state visits by Bush, Cabinet members and congressional Republicans with a series of town hall meetings, roundtables and "real people press conferences," Democratic sources said. According to Senate aides, Minority Leader Harry Reid asked each member of the Senate Democratic Caucus to hold at least one event during this week's Presidents' Day recess focusing on Democratic charges that Bush's Social Security plan would reduce benefits and increase the national debt. In a memo sent to all 45 Democratic senators' press secretaries late last week, Reid aide Jim Manley warned staff that, "With the administration aggressively making their case to the American people through presidential visits and Cabinet secretary travel, it is important that we do our best to drive our message into the states when we can."Reid has done a fantastic job since taking over the reins of the Senate Democrats from Tom Daschle. With the distinct possibility that the Dems can pick up a Senate seat in Virginia of all places, maybe Reid has a shot -- however small -- at becoming Majority Leader...
Manley outlined the types of events Senate Democrats could host, ranging from a traditional news conference to rolling out the party's "debt calculator" to the "real people press conference." At those, members of various age groups would be held up "to illustrate the serious questions -- benefit cuts in particular -- raised by the president's privatization proposal." Manley also provides talking points that mirror the recent shift in Democratic rhetoric away from denouncing Bush's argument that Social Security is facing a "crisis" to a willingness to "strengthen" the program.
Interview with Vice President Walter Mondale
This afternoon I had the unique honor of interviewing former United States Vice President Walter Mondale from his office in Minnesota via telephone.
Mondale became Attorney General of Minnesota in 1960 before being appointed to the Senate in 1964 to fulfill the term of Hubert H. Humphrey, who had been elected Vice President. Mondale was reelected twice to the Senate, where he served as Chairman of the Select Committee on Equal Education Opportunity. In 1976, Jimmy Carter selected him as his running mate, and Mondale served as Vice President from 1977-1981. The Democrats nominated him in 1984 to run against Ronald Reagan, and though he was ultimately unsuccessful, his selection of Geraldine Ferraro as his running mate broke ground for women across the country. Since then, he has practiced law in Minnesota and held such distinguished offices as Ambassador to Japan.

Mondale became Attorney General of Minnesota in 1960 before being appointed to the Senate in 1964 to fulfill the term of Hubert H. Humphrey, who had been elected Vice President. Mondale was reelected twice to the Senate, where he served as Chairman of the Select Committee on Equal Education Opportunity. In 1976, Jimmy Carter selected him as his running mate, and Mondale served as Vice President from 1977-1981. The Democrats nominated him in 1984 to run against Ronald Reagan, and though he was ultimately unsuccessful, his selection of Geraldine Ferraro as his running mate broke ground for women across the country. Since then, he has practiced law in Minnesota and held such distinguished offices as Ambassador to Japan.

Jonathan Singer: You were part of a generation of Democrats in the Senate -- including other people like Frank Church, George McGovern, Birch Bayh, Gaylord Nelson -- who helped enact a large body of progressive legislation that makes America great today. But now, the President and the Republicans are trying to overturn much of your work. How do the Democrats regain that momentum?
Walter Mondale: It is true that the agenda of the Bush administration and of many in the Congress is a radical assault on the legacy of Roosevelt and the Lyndon Johnson Great Society years and many of the fundamental reforms that were put in place in the period that I served in the Senate and the White House. But I must say I don't know what the Democrats do to regain momentum.
We got through the last election. The President won, albeit by a minor edge, but he did win. We dropped four or five seats in the Senate and we're now in a position where [it's] not even clear that we're going to be successful in blocking legislation through Rule 22.
Certain people have to rethink this thing, and realize what's happening to them and to their lives, and more importantly to their children and their opportunities for mobility and progress. I don't think that's happened yet. I hope it will. Until it does, I'm afraid we're going to have a deeply divided nation. At least as of now, the Democrats will be blanked out of the South, out of the Mountain states and out of a good deal of the Midwest, which means that it's going to be very hard to get the Senate back. Now this can change quickly, but talking right now, I don't have an answer to your question.
Singer: Speaking of Rule 22, during your service as Vice President in the late 70s, you issued a number of parliamentary rulings that affected the rules surrounding the filibuster. Given this experience, what are your feelings towards Senate Majority Leader Frist's consideration of the so-called "Nuclear Option," ridding the Senate of judicial filibusters?
Mondale: I'm very much opposed to it and I don't believe it's very good law.
My view is that the Senate can shape its own rules, and the Rule 22 now requires that 60 percent of the -- 60 votes in the Senate are required to impose cloture, and I think where nominations are concerned it may be a little higher (I'm a little vague on that right now). But I think if we ever went to majority rule it would really undermine the capacity of the Senate [to] advise and consent, and I think the people who voted for it would see that the Senate as a unique institution in the world would rapidly diminish in stature.
The Constitution talks about "advise and consent." A President doesn't appoint judges, he nominates judges. The President only has half the action. The other half [of the] action is the independent discretion of the Senate. If it was just a case of majority rule, they'd be able to jam all the stuff through without the traditional ability of the Senate to ventilate these issues. So I'm very much opposed to it.
A long time ago when I was Vice President I once ruled that a majority could change the rules. I changed my mind while I was in the Senate and a few years ago gave a speech at the Senate Leadership Conference saying that I believe majority rule would undermine the Senate in a profound way. So I'm very much opposed to it.
Singer: Now speaking of your term as Vice President, John Nance Garner famously said the Vice Presidency is -- we'll say it as -- "not worth a warm bucket of spit*." You're widely credited with reshaping the office and gaining real clout in the White House. As subsequent Vice Presidents have taken more and more power in the government, culminating in the central role of Dick Cheney in this administration, do you feel the balance of power needs to begin moving in the other direction? Do Vice Presidents hold too much power today?
Mondale: I believe that we did change the Vice Presidency, principally Jimmy Carter. We did what we call "executive-ized" it. Before then, the Vice President was both in the Executive and Legislative branches, but wanted by neither. Under Carter, the Vice President moved into the White House and became a principal aide with the President. I think that's been a very useful, important institutional change in American government.
What I'm worried about now is that under Cheney, a very important line I think has been breached. In other words, I don't consider that there are two Presidents. I don't think there should be a President and a Prime Minister. I think only the President should have Presidential executive authority. And what I'm worried about is that this Vice President has set up, in effect, his only National Security Council. He feels free to go anywhere -- including into the CIA and so on -- and directly press government officials to respond to his views. I'm afraid that the necessity of these agencies and these key officials in providing the President with their own honest advice may be compromised and undermined by this, what I consider to be, excessive use of the Vice [Presidency].
I think the Vice President should never, ever put himself in the position within the administration to appear to be speaking for the President unless he actually has been authorized to do so by the President. Otherwise, I think there's a tendency if he's not careful, that he will chill or intimidate the open advice given to him by key leaders in the administration. And from what I hear, that's going on now.
Singer: Now moving on to your run for the President in 1984, a central part of your platform was reducing the immense Reagan deficit. With a burgeoning deficit today that is set to explode in the years after Bush's term is completed -- in 2009, it could reach into the 500-700 billion range -- is there any possibility of restoring fiscal balance.
Mondale: I think it's a very, very serious problem. We have unprecedented deficits now, and with these massive tax cuts and these other out year commitments -- and the President has been very careful to let the good news arrive during his time and pay for it after he's gone -- that the rising deficits could have really catastrophic consequences for our economy. I noticed today that the dollar is dropping, the market has taken a big hit -- and part of it is that the price of oil has gone up -- but the big story is the South Koreans started selling American dollars and buying European currency. I think there's an increasing shakiness in confidence in the American dollar, which is essential to America's strength.
So I think we've got to do something about these deficits. I would take back those big tax cuts for the wealthy. I would restore what we used to have, a pay-go system where anything you want to do in the budget, you've got to pay for if it costs money, so you have the discipline at the time you do something popular that involves trying to keep the budget in good balance.
In my opinion -- and I worked hard for the Budget Act and I was on the Budget Committee and I did some work on this from the White House -- in my opinion, the use of the budget making process by this administration is becoming increasingly cynical. The Budget doesn't really tell you what the administration knows. It didn't include the cost of what they call the Supplemental for the War in Iraq. It doesn't include the cost of amending the Alternative Minimum Tax that costs in the hundreds of billions of dollars. Lots of things in that Budget that mislead and undermine an honest discussion of the Budget. So we need honest budgeting and we need a much stronger Congress that uses its Congressional Budget Committees and offices to hit back harder than they're doing now.
It can happen. You know it was just three years ago when we were running a $300 billion -- four years ago -- a $300 billion surplus. So this is a self-inflicted and irresponsible action that's undermining the strength of our country.
Singer: Well you certainly have a wealth of experience in dealing with this and I know your party turned to you three years ago, two and a half year ago, to be its standard bearer after the death of Paul Wellstone. But The Washington Post's Michael Leahy wrote an article this weekend on the treatment given to former presidential nominees, focusing on George McGovern. Do you feel that people like McGovern, Bob Dole, Michael Dukakis and yourself receive the appreciation and respect from their parties that they -- that you -- deserve?
Mondale: I think it's just fine. You know, those of us who run are just American citizens who happen to be nominated to run for an office. Some of us get elected, some of us don't. But I think it's a very healthy thing in America to remember that all of us are just citizens. We're not entitled to anything extra.
Having said that, I think people like George McGovern, with their wonderful public careers, in his case, a wonderful war hero record and all that he's done for our country and the world, I think he deserves respect for that, and not just because he happened to be a nominee. I wouldn't think that's worth much.
Singer: Speaking of the nominee, John Kerry, this year's nominee, lost the election quite narrowly, and the Democrats, as you said, lost quite a few seats in the Senate, but the House was about even, especially when you consider what happened in Texas with the redistricting. How do you read the results of the November election? Was it as much of a blowout or a mandate as the Republicans have made it seem?
Mondale: I thought it was a marginal, but disastrous election for us. Marginal because it wasn't won by much. In fact in the House the number of seats in the House only reflected the games that were played in Texas; if it hadn't been redistricted between censuses, we would have exactly the same number of Congressmen we had last time. Nevertheless, that four or five seats we lost in the Senate, four or five we've lost in the House, plus the election of the election -- the President this time won, unlike the last one -- I think has given them momentum and ability to shape things that is disastrous.
Singer: Now looking ahead to 2006, the chances of retaking the Senate are perhaps slim, but they're very much contingent on keeping the close seats that are held now. Your Senator Mark Dayton recently announced he will not seek another term, and a number of leading Minnesota Democrats, including Al Franken and yourself, have declined to take a run. Any feelings on who might pick up the nomination? Will the Democrats even be able to hold the seat?
Mondale: There's a long list of them, and it's getting longer as we talk. I'd just as soon not get into particular names, but there's ten or fifteen out there that are thinking about it. I think we've got a pretty good chance of holding the seat. The Democrats simply must hold it. Minnesota is, I think, by a narrow margin, but by a palpable margin, still a Democratic state. And I think if we get a good nominee, and I think we will, we'll win, but I'd just as soon not get into names right now.
Singer: Just one last question about Minnesota politics, then I'll let you go. Minnesota has long been a breeding ground for national politicians from both parties, such as Harold Stassen, Warren Burger, Hubert Humphrey and of course yourself. What do you think of the next generation of Minnesotans? Are they fit to carry the mantle that you--
Mondale: Yeah. I think we've got some good leadership coming up. We elected a lot of new members of the state legislature, we've got good leadership in the state Senate, we've got people like Amy Klobuchar, the County Attorney, Betty McCollum, the Congresswoman from St. Paul. I don't want to get into names, because it gets me in a trap here, but we've got several gifted, impressive young public leaders coming up.
Singer: That's good to hear. Again, I can't tell you how much of an honor it is to speak with you. Thank you so much for taking the time and have a wonderful day.
Mondale: I'm very glad to do it and I wish you the best.
Vice President Mondale Interview to Ensue
I just finished speaking with Walter Mondale, Vice President under Jimmy Carter, for an interview that will appear here at Basie! within the next few hours. Make sure to check in because it's was an interesting conversation with a truly remarkable man.
Is Santorum Moving to the Center?
Is this a move to boost his chances at reelection (he's already trailing in the polls)? Or is this just a ploy? Most likely, the latter is the case. CQ Today's Midday Update (free email service) has the scoop:
Sen. Rick Santorum said today he plans to introduce a bill next week to increase the minimum wage by $1.10 over the next two years. "My sense is this is probably a good time [to increase the wage] with the economy growing the way it has," Santorum, R-Pa., said during a question and answer session at a forum on Social Security at Drexel University in Philadelphia. Republicans last year blocked Democratic attempts to increase the minimum wage, which has remained at $5.15 an hour since 1997, to $7 an hour over two years. Santorum's proposal is similar to an alternative Republican plan discussed last Congress to raise the minimum wage to a lesser amount -- Democratic aides put the figure at $6.25. But that Republican alternative was never offered as stand-alone legislation or as an amendment.What a surprise. The only reason why Santorum is offering up this raise in the minimum wage is because the Democrats are offering up a real raise in the minimum wage.
President Bush's Hard Line on Terrorism
The National Jewish Democratic Council passes on this extremely disturbing news about the President's "cooperation" with the Saudis on "anti-terrorism" measures.
Is this the type of anti-terrorism effort we want?
President Bush earlier this month dispatched top White House official Frances Fragos Townsend to head an official U.S. delegation attending an "anti-terrorism" conference in Saudi Arabia -- a conference that aired vile anti-Semitic and anti-Zionist canards. Saudi Cleric Aed Al-Qarni noted at the conference that "The first to kill and use terrorism in the world were the Jews," according to a translation by the Middle East Media Research Institute (MEMRI); the cleric went on to describe September 11th as "an American terror attack."Link.
According to White House press secretary Scott McClellan, President Bush spoke with Saudi Crown Prince Abdallah on February 14th and "complimented the Crown Prince on last week's successful counter-terrorism conference in Saudi Arabia."
In addition to the American delegation led by Townsend, who serves as President Bush's Homeland Security Advisor with the rank of Assistant to the President, the conference included participation from nations including Iran, Syria and Sudan -- all state sponsors of terrorism, according to the Department of State. Senator Frank Lautenberg (NJ) first warned President Bush to avoid the conference in a February 4th letter to Bush.
Throughout and surrounding the conference, various Saudi clerics noted that "Jews and the Christians are Allah's enemies," and that Jihad -- including attacks by insurgents in Iraq -- is appropriate. In a poem read before Saudi Defense Minister Prince Sultan, it was noted that Osama bin Laden "was sent by the Jews."
Is this the type of anti-terrorism effort we want?
Bonus Quote of the Day
"It perpetuates this myth that every Filipino is eating it [...] But they're not."Link.
Hawaii State Rep. Alex Sonson, on a bill to "ban the slaughter of dogs and cats for food"
Quote of the Day
It's a little old...
"I think I know what Bush meant when he said he had a 'mandate.'"Link.
-- Bill Maher, on gay escort Jeff Gannon/J.D. Guckert being allowed in the White House as a reporter
Bush Still Below 50% Approval
Pollster John Zogby has the newest poll:
Americans are split down the middle on President Bush's job performance, with 49% approving his conduct of office and 50% disapproving, despite doubts about his handling of the Iraq war, a new Zogby International survey finds. The same survey found a slight jump in the percentage that believe the nation is on the wrong track, with 48% choosing that option and 46% saying the nation is heading the right direction. The poll of 921 likely voters was conducted nationwide from February 14 through 17, 2005 and has a margin of error of +/-3.3 percentage points.At 49%, this President does not have the clout to bully concerned Republicans -- and centrist Democrats -- into supporting the privatization of Social Security. The situation could quickly change, but for now, he simply does not have enough support from the American people to dominate Congress.
The survey also found that while a slight majority (52%) support the war in Iraq, nearly three-in-five (57%) likely voters rate President Bush's handling of that war negatively.
"The President's approval ratings have been on a plateau since the election—the nation remains evenly-split on his performance in office," said pollster John Zogby. "What is interesting, though, is the growing majority of Americans who do not believe President Bush—and his administration—have properly conducted the war in Iraq. And remember, this poll comes just two weeks after elections that were viewed positively."
Ashcroft Crusade Against Oregon Continues
It took a promised filibuster by Ron Wyden to stop John Ashcroft's first crusade against Oregon's doctor-assisted suicide law. Once the Missouri Republican became Attorney General, he went to the activist courts to try to overturn the will of Oregon's citizens. Not to be outdone by his predecesor, Alberto Gonzalez has continued the fight, and today the Supreme Court has agreed to hear the case. The AP's Hope Yen reports:
The Supreme Court said Tuesday it will hear a challenge to the nation's only assisted suicide law, taking up the Bush administration's appeal to stop doctors from helping terminally ill patients die more quickly.Whatever happened to the right's infatuation with states' rights?
Justices will review a lower court ruling that said the U.S. government cannot sanction or hold doctors criminally liable for prescribing overdoses under Oregon's voter-approved Death with Dignity Act. Since 1998, more than 170 people — most with cancer — have used the law to end their lives.
Arguments will be heard in the court's next term, beginning in October.
Former Attorney General John Ashcroft filed the appeal last November, on the day his resignation was announced by the White House. He argued that physician-assisted suicide is not a "legitimate medical purpose" and that doctors take an oath to heal patients, not help them die.
Oregon lawyers counter that regulation of doctors generally has been the sole responsibility of states. The U.S. attorney general has no authority under the federal Controlled Substances Act to punish doctors because Congress intended the law only to prevent illegal drug trafficking, they say.
A panel of the San Francisco-based 9th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals sided with Oregon last May.
"The attorney general's unilateral attempt to regulate general medical practices historically entrusted to state lawmakers interferes with the democratic debate about physician-assisted suicide," wrote Judge Richard Tallman in the 2-1 opinion.
Oy
A powerful earthquake shook central Iran on Tuesday, destroying villages, cutting power to the area, killing at least 175 people and injuring more than 330, state-run television reported.Link.
TV footage showed a village in Kerman province almost flattened by the 6.4-magnitude earthquake, with few mud-built walls standing. Residents were shown digging frantically amid collapsed slabs of concrete and piles of dirt in a bid to find buried friends and relatives.
"All hospitals in Zarand are filled to capacity with the injured. Hospitals in the town cannot receive any more of the injured," the broadcast said, showing images of elderly women and men lying on beds with various injuries.
Monday, February 21, 2005
"Guerrilla Warfare" Against Social Security
What, exactly, are the Republicans trying to do to Social Security? The same thing they've been attempting for more than a quarter century: destroy it. The Washington Post's business guru Jeffrey H. Birnbaum writes this key graf in the major front page article dealing with the history of the right wing attack on FDR's signature program.
In the fall of 1983, Cato made clear that it was preparing for a protracted fight. It published a paper by Heritage Foundation scholars Stuart M. Butler and Peter Germanis that called for "guerrilla warfare against both the current Social Security system and the coalition that supports it." They compared the drive to Nikolai Lenin's effort to undermine capitalism: "Lenin well knew to be a successful revolutionary one must also be patient and consistently plan for real reform." [emphasis added]Check out this entire well-written piece to get an idea of the scope of the ideological war the right has been waging against Social Security. It's striking. They apparently will stop at nothing to destroy the program, and the sooner the American people realize this is Bush's real goal in privatization, the better off they'll be.
Politica Trivia of the Day
The Oregonian's great section, The Edge, has this treat:
Yes, today is Presidents Day, and you know what that means. It's time to go out and buy some patio furniture! But first, take advantage of our huge inventory of useless presidential material from the book "Uncle John's Bathroom Reader Plunges Into the Presidency":The Edge always has a great wealth of trivia.
- All U.S. presidents have worn glasses.
- James K. Polk had a mullet.
- Of all the presidents, Warren G. Harding had the biggest feet. He wore size 14 shoes.
- George Washington loved cream of peanut soup.
- James Madison was the first president to wear long trousers. (Previous presidents wore knee breeches.)
- John Tyler was on his knees playing marbles when informed that he had become president.
- Ronald Reagan saved 77 people when he worked as a lifeguard.
- Calvin Coolidge liked having his head rubbed while he ate breakfast in bed.
- Warren G. Harding once gambled away an entire set of White House china.
- Richard Nixon once worked at the Wheel of Fortune game booth at the Slippery Gulch Rodeo.
- Thomas Jefferson's favorite vegetable was the pea.
- John F. Kennedy's nickname at Choate prep school was Rat Face.
- The first asteroid named after a president was Hooveria.
- During the 1790s, the White House lavatory consisted of an outdoor wooden privy.
- Bill Clinton usually wears briefs rather than boxers.
- The Bushes are related to Benedict Arnold, Marilyn Monroe and Winston Churchill.
- George Washington was an enthusiastic spelunker.
- Chester A. Arthur owned over 80 pairs of pants
CQ Weekly: Medicare is the Real Crisis
Leave it to the wonks over at CQ Weekly to report on the real fact that President Bush doesn't want the American people to know: Medicare is much less fiscally sound than Social Security. In this week's issue, David Nather and Rebecca Adams have the story entitled "The Real Crisis Waits Its Turn":
Fifteen months ago, President Bush and Congress fixed Medicare, or at least that is what they told the public. Enacting the new prescription drug benefit and some modest measures to stimulate private competition was so exhausting that both parties declared victory and moved on. Bush and congressional Republicans are tackling Social Security and Medicaid this year.Indeed.
The reality, though, is that Medicare has not been fixed. The program that 41 million senior citizens rely on for health care is in worse financial shape than Social Security, the retirement program Bush says he wants to rescue from a coming fiscal crunch. Far from trimming Medicare’s spending, the legislation that Congress passed in 2003 may have made the program better for seniors, but it piled on billions of dollars in new spending and trillions of dollars in long-term liabilities.
[...]
Medicare faces a larger long-term crisis than any other program in the social safety net, yet it is off the table for this year, and for reasons that speak volumes about the inability of the nation’s leaders to solve the biggest problems. Medicare’s fixes will be more painful than Social Security’s: not just tax increases or payment cuts, but possibly even a halt to certain kinds of care. The repairs will not appeal to younger voters, the way Republicans think Social Security private savings accounts will. The prospect of more changes to the program upsets the powerful health care industry, which is just getting used to the last ones. And a “sweetener” — the one time-honored trick that might make painful changes go down more easily — is no longer available. For Medicare, adding the drug benefit was the sweetener.
The New Swiftvets Against AARP Ad
This is just despicable. Last night we found out that shadow Republican Party groups in favor of privatizing Social Security were hiring the consultants behind the Swift Boat Veterans for "Truth" to lead a crusade against AARP. Now, we see the results:
This ad doesn't even make sense (putting aside its offensiveness).
From the right wing American Spectator [caught by Daily Kos]
What Are These Republicans Thinking?!
Check out the Republican response to Question 12 from the recent Schulman, Ronca & Bucuvalas poll for Washington College:
Finally, if George Washington were running for president against George W. Bush and the election was being held today, for which candidate would you vote, George Washington or George Bush?[Full data here]Among Republicans
Bush 62%
Washington 28%
A Hillary-McCain Ticket?
James Gordon Meek of the New York Daily News has this entertaining story about the mutual admiration between Hillary Rodham Clinton and John McCain, prompting the inevitable question.
Hillary Clinton and John McCain could make for a dream presidential contest judging by the two senators' mutual praise yesterday.Three words: not gonna happen.
McCain said he was "sure that Sen. Clinton would make a good President," when asked by NBC's "Meet the Press" moderator Tim Russert during a joint appearance from Baghdad. "I happen to be a Republican and would support, obviously, a Republican nominee, but I have no doubt that Sen. Clinton would make a good President," McCain (R-Ariz.) said.
Clinton (D-N.Y.) returned the compliment and said McCain "absolutely" would make a great commander in chief.
But a fusion ticket?
"We're both in trouble," McCain quipped.
"Yeah, we're in trouble now. Thanks a lot," Clinton said.
Americans Becoming More United over Iraq
A firm majority of Americans now favors withdrawal of American troops from the country within a year, according to the new Harris poll. This is about as united as the country has been in some time on the issue of Iraq.
Specifically, almost six in 10 (59%) adults now favor bringing most troops home in the next year and 39 percent favor keeping a large number of troops in Iraq until there is a stable government there. In November, less than half (47%) favored bringing troops home and half (50%) favored keeping troops in Iraq.Perhaps President Bush is a uniter, not a divider...
However, the public remains split on whether the invasion of Iraq strengthened (46%) or weakened (48%) the war on terrorism.
The Oregonian: Bush Soc. Sec. Plan Hurts Those in their 40s
The Oregonian appears to be constantly improving its coverage of Oregon and national politics, much to the benefit of the residents of Portland and the rest of the state. Today, for instance, Jim Barnett has an insightful piece on Social Security on the front page, above the fold that's well worth reading for anyone. Barnett leads:
Young workers can retire richer by investing Social Security taxes in private accounts, and people older than 55 will feel no impact from changes, President Bush has said. But in between, a generation faces a future that is likely to be less secure under his plan.The Oregonian's usage of data from the Social Security actuaries, the Center for Economic and Policy Research and the Heritage Foundation is somewhat troubling, but they nonetheless find that all workers born between 1950 and 1965 will lose out do to the President's plan (again, using the overly-optimistic rates of growth envisioned by the extremely conservative Heritage Foundation). Check out the rest of the piece, too. It's a great article from a good daily paper.
Workers now in their 40s would suffer the deepest cuts in guaranteed retirement benefits payable under current law, an analysis by The Oregonian has found. At the same time, they have the least chance to recoup reductions by investing in stocks and bonds.
The effect of President Bush's evolving plan for Social Security would depend largely on market returns -- a variable that has swung widely in recent years. But in all except best-case scenarios, 40-somethings would fare worse than if Congress did nothing at all.
Happy President's Day
I don't get the day off, but hopefully you do.
Was Bush Right About Syria?
Today's news out of Damascus might portend well for the region. The AP has the story:
The Arab League chief said Monday that Syria will "soon" take steps to withdraw its army from Lebanese areas in accordance with a 1989 agreement.It is unclear how much this decision was a result of protests by the Lebanese and how much of a role the Bush administration's firm line played in it. Nevertheless, President Bush's diplomatic actions clearly played a major role in reshaping the region's politics, a decision for which he must be applauded. If only he had spent a little more time on diplomatic negotiations before invading Iraq...
The announcement by Arab League Secretary-General Amr Moussa came after a meeting with Syrian President Bashar Assad.
"Assad stressed more than once his firm determination to go on with implementing the Taif agreement and achieve Syrian withdrawal from Lebanon in accordance with this agreement," Moussa said.
"Syrian withdrawal is part of Syrian policy and will see steps in this direction very soon," Moussa quoted Assad as saying.
Sunday, February 20, 2005
The Wrath of the Alternative Minimum Tax
As President Bush seeks to enact a number of policies that will lead to the eventual fiscal insolvency of the federal government, at least one major challenge has not yet been tackled: the Alternative Minimum Tax. With Tax Reform very possibly delayed until 2006, the AMT will begin to affect millions more Americans. The New York Times' David Leonhardt has the story:
The valuable federal tax deductions that people receive for paying local and state taxes have quietly started to vanish for many households, raising the cost of living in places like New York, Massachusetts and California, already among the nation's most expensive.Why hasn't the AMT been fixed yet?
The culprit is a once-obscure federal tax provision known as the alternative minimum tax, which was created in 1969 to ensure that a relatively small number of wealthy people did not use loopholes to avoid paying taxes.
But it is increasingly being applied to families with incomes of $75,000 to $250,000 a year who claim relatively high deductions - like the ones for property taxes, state and local income taxes - and the exemption for children. When it does apply, it cancels some of those deductions.
[...]
The interplay between local taxes and the A.M.T. has in effect become a face-off between two forces that many economists consider unsustainable: the rising federal budget deficit and the continuing leaps in home prices. Left unchanged, the alternative tax would produce more revenue by 2009 than the ordinary federal income tax, according to the Tax Policy Center, a joint venture of the Brookings Institution and the Urban Institute.
[...]
If the tax remains, living in many localities will become more expensive, potentially curtailing the growth in home values that has been a major boon to the economy recently. It could also create pressure to cut property taxes, the major source of public education funding in many communities.
Without a change in the A.M.T., 30 million taxpayers are likely to face it five years from now, many of them concentrated in high-tax states.
The tax falls hardest on states that are overwhelmingly Democratic, including Connecticut, Maryland and Oregon. Some Dermocrats say the uneven effect is one reason that the provision has not yet been changed.Perhaps the President should spend a little more time trying to fix this major problem in the tax code before he wastes a few trillion privatizing Social Security...
AP: Hunter Thompson Kills Himself
The AP's Catherine Tsai has the breaking story:
Hunter S. Thompson, the acerbic counterculture writer who popularized a new form of fictional journalism in books like "Fear and Loathing in Las Vegas," fatally shot himself Sunday night at his Aspen-area home, his son said. He was 67.Thompson was a unique and gifted writer who changed the face of non-fiction writing and journalism in this country. He will be sorely missed.
"Hunter prized his privacy and we ask that his friends and admirers respect that privacy as well as that of his family," Juan Thompson said in a statement released to the Aspen Daily News.
Pitkin County Sheriff Bob Braudis, a personal friend of Thompson, confirmed the death to the News. Sheriff's officials did not return calls to The Associated Press late Sunday.
Juan Thompson found his father's body. Thompson's wife, Anita, was not home at the time.
Besides the 1972 drug-hazed classic about Thompson's visit to Las Vegas, he also wrote "Fear and Loathing: On the Campaign Trail '72." The central character in those wild, sprawling satires was "Dr. Thompson," a snarling, drug- and alcohol-crazed observer and participant.
Soc. Sec. Privatizers Hire Swift Vets
The advisors to the Swift Boat Veterans for "Truth" are back to their old tricks again. Now, instead of speading lies about John Kerry, they've turned to forwarding misconceptions about Social Security and impugning the good name of the AARP. The New York Times' Glen Justice has the story of one right wing group -- USA Next -- that has hired a number of the Swiftvets top consultants.
To help set USA Next's strategy, the group has hired Chris LaCivita, an enthusiastic former marine who advised Swift Vets and P.O.W.'s for Truth, formerly known as Swift Boat Veterans for Truth, on its media campaign and helped write its potent commercials. He earned more than $30,000 for his work, campaign finance filings show.The primary strategy of USA Next is to portray the "AARP as a liberal organization out of step with Republican values." One official in the organization had this to say about the USA Next strategy:
Officials said the group is also seeking to hire Rick Reed, a partner at Stevens Reed Curcio & Potholm, a firm that was hired by Swift Vets and was paid more than $276,000 to do media production, records show.
For public relations, USA Next has turned to Creative Response Concepts, a Virginia firm that represented both Swift Vets - the company was paid more than $165,000 - and Regnery Publishing, the publisher of "Unfit for Command," a book about Senator John Kerry's military service whose co-author was John E. O'Neill, one of the primary leaders of Swift Vets.
"It doesn't take a rocket scientist to see that the White House doesn't want anything to do with a group that is attacking the AARP [...] We are not going to drag them into this mess."If the President allows this group to lie about Social Security and unfairly attack AARP, they are as culpable as the organization. AARP and the left shouldn't stand for this. If they don't hit back hard and quickly, they will befall the same peril as John Kerry.
The Simpsons Tonight
Was there just a parental warning before The Simpsons because they issue discusses same-sex marriages?
Another Step Towards Middle East Peace?
Reuters' Cynthia Johnston reports on some positive news in from the region.
Israel will free 500 Palestinians on Monday in its largest prison release in nearly a decade as a goodwill gesture to bolster peace efforts with Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas.These are all small steps, and clearly more must be done. However, the situation today is better than it was yesterday, and hopefully tomorrow will be better than today.
Palestinians say Abbas needs a large-scale release to persuade militant groups to formalize a ceasefire he agreed with Israeli Prime Minister Ariel Sharon at a Feb. 8 summit. Some 8,000 Palestinians are held by Israel.
Prospects for peacemaking in the Middle East have strengthened since Abbas was elected to succeed Yasser Arafat on a platform of non-violence and persuaded the armed factions to follow a de facto truce.
The release of prisoners comes a day after Israel's cabinet approved a plan to withdraw from the Gaza Strip, marking the first time Israel decided to dismantle settlements on land Palestinians want for a state.
New Columns Up
At the beginning of this month, I was solicited to write a bi-weekly column called "The Singer's Song" in The Collage, the independent paper of the Claremont Colleges. I recently created a site within Basie! containing these editorials, the first two of which (SpongeBob Enters the Fray and The O’Franken Non-Factor) are currently available.
The Real Danger to America
Senator Jay Rockefeller laid it out today on the Sunday morning circuit (via AFP):
Half of Russia's nuclear materials that can be used by terrorists plotting new attacks against the United States remain unaccounted for, a US senator with access to classified intelligence information charged.I'm glad President Bush looked into Vladimir Putin's eyes and saw good, but "loose nukes" in the former Soviet Union are clearly the greatest threat to the American people. Iraq, by comparision, and perhaps even Iran and North Korea, pale in comparison with the hundreds of unaccounted for nuclear weapons. It's good to know that the President is more concerned about rattling the saber at Syria than he is about unwatched Russian nukes, though.
John Rockefeller, vice chairman of the Senate intelligence committee, said the situation with Russian loose radioactive materials and other possible components of nuclear weapons made him wonder whether Russia was a greater proliferation threat than North Korea, which has publicly claimed to have a nuclear weapons arsenal.
Members of the committee received last week a detailed briefing from Central Intelligence Agency officials on security threats faced by the United States.
"In the sense that half of the nuclear materials, pieces and parts of it, are unaccounted for by the Russians -- and a lot of them, these places are in rural areas -- I think you can ... have a real debate as to which is more threatening to the world right now," said the Democratic senator, appearing on the "Fox News Sunday" television program.
Story of the Week
Ever wonder what the life of a former Presidential contender is like? The Washington Post's Michael Leahy provides an in-depth article on the Democrats' 1972 nominee George McGovern. The Post magazine piece is the must-read piece this week.
Chalabi Claims to Have Necessary Votes to Be PM
Did America invade Iraq on faulty intelligence provided by Ahmed Chalabi -- so Ahmed Chalabi could become a pro-Iran, anti-Sunni Prime Minister? The AP has the story.
Shiites and their clergy-backed United Iraqi Alliance, which received nearly half the election votes, were to decide in coming days on their choice for prime minister.Hopefully his inteligence on how many delegates support him is as faulty as his intelligence on Iraqi WMD...
The two main candidates so far are the former Pentagon favorite Ahmad Chalabi, a secular Shiite, and Ibrahim al-Jaafari, the interim vice president.
Chalabi last week claimed in an Associated Press interview that he had enough support among the 140 alliance delegates elected to the National Assembly to beat Jaafari. He repeated the assertion in an appearance Sunday on ABC's "This Week" television show with George Stephanopoulos.
"I believe I have a majority of the votes on my side right now," Chalabi said.
Bill Maher on Gannon/Guckert
The new season of Bill Maher's HBO show is out, and this week he talked with Leslie Stahl, Senator Joe Biden (D-DE), former HHS Secretary Tommy Thompson and Robin Williams about the Jeff Gannon/James Guckert scandal. Check out this clip from the show [might not be suitable for all audiences]:
AuCoin Making a Political Comeback?
The AP has an interesting article on former Representative Les AuCoin (D-OR), who's being considered by Oregon Governor Ted Kulongoski for an appointment to a state board. AuCoin represented Portland in Congress for nine terms ending when he lost a Senatorial bid against Bob Packwood 52-47 margin.
Gov. Ted Kulongoski is considering former congressman and fellow Democrat Les AuCoin for appointment to the Oregon Board of Forestry, potentially adding a strong conservation voice to a panel sometimes criticized as favoring the timber industry.It's always great to see the appointment of a politician who is opposed by both sides of an issue.
Environmental groups agree that it would better balance logging with fish and wildlife concerns on the board.
AuCoin "would not have been our first choice," said Susan Ash of the Audubon Society of Portland. "But he'd approach clean water, fish and wildlife concerns with a more balanced perspective than the person he'll replace."
[...]
The timber industry is maneuvering to fight AuCoin's nomination. [emphasis added]
Saturday, February 19, 2005
The Sunday Morning Shows
For those who want a little politics before the NBA All-Star game [from the Washington Post]:
FOX NEWS SUNDAY: Sens. Pat Roberts (R-Kan.) and John D. Rockefeller IV (D-W.Va.); former presidents George H.W. Bush and Bill Clinton.For the record, that's 7 Democrats, 6 Republicans and Ahmed Chalabi, the impetus for the Iraq War. Given the usual Republican edge on these programs, I'm surprises they're allowed to have more Democratic guests.
THIS WEEK (ABC): John Edwards, former Democratic vice presidential candidate; and Ahmed Chalabi, candidate for Iraqi prime minister.
FACE THE NATION (CBS): Sens. Hillary Rodham Clinton (D-N.Y.) and Lindsey O. Graham (R-S.C.).
MEET THE PRESS (NBC): Hillary Clinton and Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.).
LATE EDITION (CNN): Sens. Chuck Hagel (R-Neb.) and Barbara Boxer (D-Calif.); former Iraq Governing Council member Adnan Pachachi; Jalal Talabani, head of the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan; National Basketball Association players Manu Ginobili, Grant Hill and Shaquille O'Neal; Billy Hunter, executive director of the NBA Players Association; NBA Commissioner David Stern; Bush and Bill Clinton.
Bush All But Admitted to Marijuana Use and...
The New York Times' David D. Kirkpatrick has an extremely interesting article out in Sunday's paper on conversations between then-Governor George W. Bush and confidant Doug Wead regarding a number of touchy subjects, from Evangelicals to drug usage. Kirkpatrick writes this about the latter:
Mr. Bush, who has acknowledged a drinking problem years ago, told Mr. Wead on the tapes that he could withstand scrutiny of his past. He said it involved nothing more than "just, you know, wild behavior." He worried, though, that allegations of cocaine use would surface in the campaign, and he blamed his opponents for stirring rumors. "If nobody shows up, there's no story," he told Mr. Wead, "and if somebody shows up, it is going to be made up." But when Mr. Wead said that Mr. Bush had in the past publicly denied using cocaine, Mr. Bush replied, "I haven't denied anything."If George W. Bush couldn't deny doing cocaine to a close friend a few years ago (he certainly didn't know the conversations were being taped for posterity), it's questionable that he would be able to do so on record. The real question is whether engaging in extramarital sexual relations is worse than possibly doing cocaine. I certainly don't believe that's the case, but it would be interesting to see what the religious right believes.
He refused to answer reporters' questions about his past behavior, he said, even though it might cost him the election. Defending his approach, Mr. Bush said: "I wouldn't answer the marijuana questions. You know why? Because I don't want some little kid doing what I tried." [emphasis added]
Democrats Begin to Woo the Religous Right
It is a fact that has been widely noted, but the greatest determinant of voting in 2004 was religious observance. With the more observant Americans tending to vote Republican, a group of Democrats has formed to address the concerns of one quickly growing sect: Mormons. Jerry Spangler of the Deseret Morning News has the story [via The Western Democrat]:
They are not large in number, but the Mormon Democratic Congressional Caucus is determined to dispel the perception that the words "Mormon" and "Democrat" cannot be used to describe the same person.Even if the steps taken by the Mormon Democratic Congressional Caucus are not substanative, it's an important symbolic move to begin relations with the many adherents of the religion. If the Democrats indeed hope to become the majority party in the west, this could be an important first step towards courting this largely Republican constituency.
Under the direction of Senate Minority Leader Harry Reid, a member of The Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints from Nevada, three of four members of the caucus met earlier this week to discuss issues relevant to the LDS community and to discuss how to raise the profile of Mormon Democrats.
Joining in the meeting were Rep. Jim Matheson, D-Utah, and Rep. Tom Udall, D-N.M. Rep. Eni Faleomavaega, a nonvoting member of Congress from American Samoa, was not able to attend but plans to participate in the future.
"Legislation is the art of compromise, and a strong two-party system is fundamental to our democracy," said Reid, who as leader of all Senate Democrats is the highest-ranking LDS member of Congress. "I believe strongly that Democrats have many of the same issues at heart as do membership of the church."
Bush Deficits Lead to Inflation Concerns
President Bush and his cronies have tried to dupe the American people into believing that deficits no longer matter, that massive government borrowing doesn't lead to inflation. As Reuters' Anupama Chandrasekaran reports, that's simply not true.
Stocks could show some weakness next week as earnings season winds down, while inflation and interest-rate worries stoke investors' concerns about future profits.If America becomes stuck in the vicious cycle of high inflation and relatively high unemployment (at least compared with the Clinton years), there will only be one man to blame: George Walker Bush.
Oil prices around $48 a barrel could also keep up the pressure on the markets, strategists said.
[...]
On Friday, Wall Street got a warning shot from a bigger-than-expected jump in U.S. producer prices, excluding food and energy. The core Producer Price Index shot up 0.8 percent in January, the government reported.
That increase -- the biggest gain since December 1998 and well above the Street's expectation for a 0.2 percent rise -- fanned inflation fears and bolstered a growing expectation that the Federal Reserve will keep raising interest rates well into 2005.
US Threatens Syria
President Bush must really want war with Syria. He has already forced the secular, Baathist Government into an alliance with the ayatollahs. Now his Secretary of State is threatening sanctions against Syria. Reuters' Saul Hudson has the story:
Teddy Roosevelt said America should speak softly and carry a big stick. Perhaps Bush should start doing a little more of the former before entering the country into another Middle East war.
The United States warned Syria on Friday that it must help investigate the assassination of former Lebanese Prime Minister Rafik al-Hariri or face the possibility of further sanctions.America clearly needs to take a strong line against the Syrians. Syria is aiding the Iraqi insurgents and clearly dominates all aspects of Lebanese life. What's more, they support terrorism. That having been said, America simply does not have the strength to invade every country that foments terrorism.
Washington this week recalled its ambassador from Damascus because of its displeasure over Hariri's killing as well as its long-standing accusations that Syria allowed people in the country to help the Iraqi insurgency and to support attacks on Israel.
Washington has previously told Syria to withdraw its 14,000 troops from neighboring Lebanon, crack down on anti-Israel militants it believes operate in the country and stop what it says is support for the Iraqi insurgency across its border.
Teddy Roosevelt said America should speak softly and carry a big stick. Perhaps Bush should start doing a little more of the former before entering the country into another Middle East war.
I Just Finished a Zogby Poll
I was evidently chosen to participate in an online poll for Zogby, and of course I agreed to the offer. It was an interesting poll covering a whole range of subjects. I'm glad to have been able to add to the political discourse in the country.
Olbermann Takes Gannon/Guckert to Task
Keith Olbermann, the best voice on cable news this side of Jon Stewart, has a great post on the Gannon/Guckert scandal over at Bloggermann. He begins with this:
There is a guy who sits, during every game, in the press box of a major league baseball stadium. And he is issued a credential each season because it turns out the owner of the team likes the canolis that the guy makes at his bakery.Check out the whole piece. It's well worth reading. Further, you should definitely check out Olbermann's MSNBC show Countdown. It's entertaining, insightful and devoid of the right-wing bias that is evident in the rest of cable news.
The first time he appeared, with a seat in the back row with a nameplate affixed to it, we knew he wasn’t exactly the new man from Sports Illustrated. He had a certain problem with, well, language (he said a player with a strained muscle near where his legs meet was out with a “groan injury”), and with forgetting that the proper response to an error on the field by the home team was not to stand up and start screaming at the player — nor weeping.
As soon as this gentleman arrived, the real baseball reporters questioned the team’s press representative as to who this guy was and what was he doing there. And they got some concessions out of the team— like, this man couldn't go into the clubhouses or on the field and ask questions of the players while the reporters were trying to get answers to include in their reports.
In short, ‘Groan Injury Man’ was better vetted by that ballclub than James Guckert alias Jeff Gannon was vetted by the White House press office.
Rep. Earl Blumenauer (D-OR) Flexes His Muscles
It's not easy being a member of the minority in the House, but Portland Democrat Earl Blumenauer has made the best of it. When he was elected to Congress in May 1996 to fill Ron Wyden's old seat, he promptly started the Congressional Bike Caucus, a bipartisan group which today boasts 164 members from 43 states and the District of Columbia. As the Portland Tribune's Don Hamilton reports, Blumenauer and his caucus will try to flex their collective muscle with a bill to reward bike riders.
U.S. Rep. Earl Blumenauer of Oregon has joined a Florida Republican in sponsoring a bill giving the same tax breaks to those who commute by bicycle as those who drive or take mass transit.The story appears to be largely lifted from a press release on the Congressman's website, which is understandable given that the Tribune, a semi-weekly, doesn't maintain a DC bureau. Check out the release for more details on the bill.
The 3rd Congressional District Democrat and Rep. Mark Foley introduced the Bike Commuter Act, which would include bicycle riders in a federal transportation fringe benefit. Employers now may offer a monthly tax-exemption benefit totaling $200 for parking or $105 for transit and car-pool expenses. Blumenauer and Foley’s bill would extend the benefits to bike commuters.
“It’s time to level the playing field for bicycle commuters,” Blumenauer said. “People who bike to work should have the same financial incentives as those who use transit or participate in a qualified parking plan.”
Blumenauer introduced the bill in advance of the March 16 to March 18 Bike Summit in Washington, D.C. Blumenauer, a leading advocate for urban livability, founded the Congressional Bike Caucus, which had 164 members from both parties in the last Congress.
Oy
Eight suicide bombings in Baghdad and other parts of Iraq killed at least 23 people, including a U.S. soldier, and injured 70 as Shiite Muslim worshippers around the country celebrated their holiest day of the year.Link.
The attacks came one day after at least 36 people, mostly Shiites, were killed in a string of attacks.
Saturday's bombings, during the religious festival of Ashoura, occurred despite stepped-up security around the country. Authorities had hoped to prevent a repeat of last year's attacks during Ashoura in which insurgent blasts killed at least 181 people in Karbala and Baghdad.
The attacks occurred as a five-member U.S. congressional delegation, including Sens. Hillary Clinton, D-N.Y., and John McCain, R-Ariz., met with Iraqi government officials in Baghdad's heavily fortified Green Zone.
Comptroller General to Bush: No More Fake News Reports
The Bush administration has become known for its improper interactions with the media, from bribing journalists to having political plants in press conferences. Now, as The New York Times' Anne E. Kornblut reports, the GAP's comptroller general has warned the administration against one of its central policies: creating fake news releases.
The comptroller general has issued a blanket warning that reminds federal agencies they may not produce newscasts promoting administration policies without clearly stating that the government itself is the source.It's good to see Congress saying no to the President, even if it's not the GOP leadership but the GAO making the warning. It's about time the administration stopped subjecting the American people to 1984-like doublethink and propaganda.
Twice in the last two years, agencies of the federal government have been caught distributing prepackaged television programs that used paid spokesmen acting as newscasters and, in violation of federal law, failed to disclose the administration's role in developing and financing them.
And those were not isolated incidents, David M. Walker, the comptroller general, said in a letter dated Thursday that put all agency heads on notice about the practice.
In fact, it has become increasingly common for federal agencies to adopt the public relations tactic of producing "video news releases" that look indistinguishable from authentic newscasts and, as ready-made and cost-free reports, are sometimes picked up by local news programs. It is illegal for the government to produce or distribute such publicity material domestically without disclosing its own role. [emphasis added]
Friday, February 18, 2005
A Tough Day for the Coalition
Today has been a tough day for Bush's coalition of the willing. To begin with, the AP's Rukmini Callimachi reports that the Iraqi invasion's ideological father, Richard Perle, was not welcome in "Little Beirut."
On a macro level, things aren't going well for the coalition either. The AP's Deb Riechmann has the story President Bush doesn't want you to hear.
Howard Dean, the newly minted leader of the Democratic Party, and former Pentagon adviser Richard Perle made clear their opposing views on the war in Iraq during a debate marred by a protester who tossed a shoe at Perle.As Austin Powers asked, Who throws a shoe? Honestly!
Perle had just started his comments Thursday when a protester threw a shoe at him before being dragged away, screaming, "Liar! Liar!"
Perle, a Pentagon official during the Reagan administration, was more recently chairman of the Defense Policy Board, a group of non-government experts who advise the defense secretary. He was a major proponent of the U.S.-led invasion of Iraq, while Dean was among the war's most prominent opponents.
On a macro level, things aren't going well for the coalition either. The AP's Deb Riechmann has the story President Bush doesn't want you to hear.
Sometimes it's hard to know who your friends are — even if they're helping you fight a war. President Bush, who hopes to coax more Iraq support from European allies next week, used to boast that some 50 nations had joined the United States in Operation Iraqi Freedom. Today, a public listing is nowhere to be found.Why does this type of news always come out on a Friday afternoon...
One thing, though, is clear: The coalition is shrinking. "I expect to see the coalition countries begin paring down their forces as they complete their contributions," Defense Secretary Donald H. Rumsfeld told the House Armed Services Committee this week.
While a current list of coalition countries — those helping out in Iraq with troops, equipment, monetary or political support — is not easy to come by, there is a public listing of the countries that have actual troops in Iraq. These 20-plus countries, which have combat and support forces in Iraq under the command of Gen. George Casey Jr., make up the multinational force.
Daniel Goure, a Defense Department official in the first Bush administration, said current Bush officials apparently decided to start talking about a "multinational force" instead of a "coalition" to avoid questions about which countries were in or out.
Bush Disapproval Rating Back Above 50%
It didn't take long for a majority of the American people to turn their backs on the President and, more surprisingly, his cabinet. Harris Interactive has the new poll:
- President Bush’s ratings are 48 percent positive, 51 percent negative, down slightly from his November ratings of 50 percent positive and 49 percent negative.
- Vice President Dick Cheney’s ratings at 45 percent positive and 52 percent negative are also down from his 48 percent positive, 50 percent negative ratings in November.
- Condoleezza Rice, who is coming off her inaugural foreign trip as new Secretary of State, achieves a 52 to 40 percent positive rating. This is better than the President though her initial ratings are far below those of her predecessor, Colin Powell, who consistently has been the most popular member of the president’s cabinet over the last four years. As a point of comparison, Powell left office with a rating of 66 percent positive, 32 percent negative.
- Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld’s ratings at 42 percent positive, 56 percent negative are the lowest that The Harris Poll has measured for him. These are down substantially from the 47 percent positive, 50 percent negative rating in November.
Bush Says He Won't Invade Iran
Why am I skeptical about this?
Does this mean Bush is willing to invade Syria? (Just trying to infer here.)
President Bush said Friday the United States does not intend to attack Iran to crush its suspected nuclear weapons project, and he expressed hopes that a European diplomatic initiative would persuade Tehran to abandon any such program.Link.
In an interview with European journalists at the White House, Bush was asked about an opinion poll showing that 70 percent of Germans believe the United States is planning military action against Iran.
"I hear all these rumors about military attacks, and it's just not the truth," said Bush, who leaves Sunday for Europe to mend fences with allies. "We want diplomacy to work."
Bush said he supports European nations' efforts to persuade Iran to scrap its uranium enrichment program in exchange for technological, financial and political support. But he did not address U.S. reservations about Europe's approach.
Does this mean Bush is willing to invade Syria? (Just trying to infer here.)
Politics Heating Up... in Idaho?
Who would have guessed? CQ Today's Midday Update (free email service) passes this news along:
If Wyoming can have a Democratic Governor, what's to stop Idaho...
According to the Idaho MOUNTAIN EXPRESS, state Senate Minority Leader Clint Stennett, a Democrat, is weighing his options, and will declare in "a couple of months" whether he will try for his party's nomination to succeed Republican Gov. Dirk Kempthorne in 2006. 1st District Congressman C.L. "Butch" Otter, a Republican, already has announced his candidacy for governor. "It's moved from thinking about it to serious consideration," Stennett told the paper. He said he was influenced by the fact that it is an open seat, a non-presidential year and a non-senatorial year. Republicans usually dominate federal election contests in Idaho and they have held the statehouse since 1995. "It's an uphill battle," Stennett said. "It's a steep, uphill battle that is doable."Original article is available here.
If Wyoming can have a Democratic Governor, what's to stop Idaho...
Quote of the Day
As chosen by CQ Today's Midday Update (free email service):
"I'm going to lose my hair. There's no doubt about that.I'm now considering the alternatives of . . . either a new sex symbol or wearing baseball caps."
-- Sen. Arlen SPECTER, R-Pa., preparing for chemotherapy to treat his Hodgkin's disease.
Greenspan: There is no Crisis
This is exactly how this story should be read. Kudos to USA Today's Sue Kirchhoff for tackling this issue correctly. Here's her lede:
Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan said Thursday that Social Security is not in "crisis" as President Bush has declared, but emphasized that Congress must quickly address future funding problems in the program and far larger shortfalls in Medicare.Nice work, Sue!
Blogger Is Finally Back Up
It took about 2 hours for me to be able to post, but here I am now. More bloggery to ensue.
Oy
Four explosions ripped through Baghdad on Friday, killing at least 28 people and injuring dozens on the eve of Shiite Islam's most important holiday, officials said. It was the deadliest day since Iraq's landmark elections last month.Link.
Suicide bombers attacked two Shiite mosques after Friday prayers ended, another explosion occurred near a Shiite religious procession and a third suicide bomber blew himself up at an Iraqi police and National Guard checkpoint in a Sunni neighborhood.
The attacks — the deadliest since last month's elections — recalled bombings on the Ashoura holiday a year ago that killed at least 181 during the religious festival.
In northern Iraq, meanwhile, three American soldiers were killed in separate attacks Wednesday and Thursday, the U.S. military said.
Thursday, February 17, 2005
Top Two House Republicans Say No to Bush on Soc. Sec.
It's one thing for a loose cannon like House Ways and Means Chairman Bill Thomas (R-CA) to call the President's plan "a dead horse," but it's something else entirely for the two top Republicans in the House to flatly say no to the President on Social Security. The Washington Post's Mike Allen has the story:
The House's top two Republicans strongly rejected an idea floated by President Bush to raise the ceiling on wages subject to the Social Security payroll tax, with Speaker J. Dennis Hastert and Majority Leader Tom DeLay saying yesterday that they would consider that a tax increase.Bush certainly doesn't have the 60 votes in the Senate necessary to privatize Social Security and it's becoming increasingly apparent that he might not have a simple majority in the House either. Social Security "reform" might not come so quickly after all.
Underscoring the fluidity of the debate over Bush's proposal for restructuring the 70-year-old retirement program, DeLay (Tex.) said he will not rule out an increase in the retirement age to hold down costs. But he flatly opposed subjecting more of the earnings of higher-income people to the Social Security tax.
"This Republican House didn't come here to raise taxes," DeLay said on Fox News. "We can solve this problem without raising taxes."
GOP Groups Present Dean as Pro-Terrorist
I'm no Deaniac by any means -- he wasn't my first choice for DNC Chair, even -- but I'm appalled by the rancor of such attacks on Governor Dean. Forward's E.J. Kessler has the story:
A Jewish Republican group greeted Howard Dean's election to chair the Democratic National Committee this week with an ad campaign seeking to depict him as a supporter of terrorism.These people are shameless. Have they no sense of decency?
The group, the Republican Jewish Coalition, placed full-page advertisements in the Washington newspaper Roll Call and in Jewish weeklies around the country, featuring a large picture of Hamas members decked out in costumes resembling suicide bombers. Above the photo, referring to a long-recanted September 2003 quote from Dean, is the statement: "DNC Chairman Howard Dean Says, 'It's not our place to take sides.'"
Beneath the photograph, the ad features 2003 quotes from Democrats, including Senator Joseph Lieberman of Connecticut and House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi, who criticize Dean's remark.
[...]
The anti-Dean advertisement is the latest in a series of apparent Republican attempts to link Democrats to terrorists and terrorism supporters in hopes of weakening the party's overwhelming Jewish support. During last year's presidential campaign, the Republican parties of Florida and Ohio sent mailings to Jewish households with a picture of John Kerry between pictures of the late Yasser Arafat and former Malaysian premier Mahathir Mohammed, who is known for his antisemitic speeches. "Two infamous foreign leaders have stepped forward from the shadows to endorse John Kerry," the mailing said.
In Florida, Republicans printed and displayed stickers and banners claiming, inaccurately, that "Arafat endorses Kerry." The then-ailing Palestinian chairman never had expressed a preference for any candidate, but his aides had criticized President Bush for inattention to the peace process and expressed a wish for a different administration.
The strategy of linking Democrats did not appear to influence Jewish voting. Exit polls indicated that Jews in Florida and elsewhere gave about 75% of their support to Kerry this past November.
Fleischer Was Concerned About "Jeff Gannon"
Apparently not concerned enough to ban the fake news reporter from press briefings, however. Editor & Publisher's Joe Strupp gets the first interview with Fleischer on Gannon/Guckert.
Former White House Press Secretary Ari Fleischer was so concerned about Talon News reporter James Guckert's potential ties to the Republican Party that he stopped calling on him at press briefings for about a week in 2003, Fleischer told E&P today.The corruption of the Bush administration puts even the extreme graft of the Grant administration and the critical ineptitude of the Harding administration to shame.
"I found out that he worked for a GOP site, and I didn't think it was my place to call on him because he worked for something that was related to the party," Fleischer said in a phone interview. "He had the editor call me and made the case that they were not related to the Republican Party. He said they used the GOP name for marketing purposes only."
He said he resumed calling on Guckert, who used the alias Jeff Gannon, after Bobby Eberle, owner of both GOPUSA and Talon News, "assured me that they were not part of the Republican Party." Eberle is a Texas Republican activist and served as a delegate to the 2000 Republican National Convention.
KSPC Interview With Gene Lees
I've been very fortunate as Jazz Director at KSPC-FM to get to interview some of the biggest names in jazz -- Dianne Reeves, Christian McBride, Bill Charlap, Kevin Mahogany and others. Today, one of our DJs interviewed the legendary jazz critic and lyricist Gene Lees, with whom I was able to briefly speak. Very interesting guy, indeed.
Check out two of Lees' best books, the brand new Portrait of Johnny Mercer and Friends Along the Way.
Check out two of Lees' best books, the brand new Portrait of Johnny Mercer and Friends Along the Way.
Daniel Akaka to Run for Reelection
Daniel Akaka (D-HI), the first name called out every time the clerk calls roll in the Senate, will seek another term, according to Hotline's Wake-Up Call. According to the most recent issue of the National Journal, Akaka was teh most liberal Senator in 2004 with a composite score of 94.0 (90 Economic, 82 Social, 99 Foreign), edging out Dick Durbin's (D-IL) 93.2 score.
If your interested in the National Journal score of any Senator or House Member, leave a comment in this thread and I'll get it to you ASAP.
If your interested in the National Journal score of any Senator or House Member, leave a comment in this thread and I'll get it to you ASAP.
Headline of the Day
"Pawlenty floats drug deal with Indians"Link.
-- Minneapolis Star Tribune
Quote of the Day
"Just remember, your family does love you and not everyone hates you."Link.
-- Karl Rove to Maureen Dowd, in a note accompanying a bouquet of flowers
Graf of the Day
White House aides collected empty chairs in an echoing Pease International Tradeport hangar before Bush took the stage since only about half of the 2,000 free tickets were taken.Link.
-- The Boston Herald's David R. Guarino, on a Bush rally in New Hampshire
Rendell Sitting High in Pennsylvania
There's nothing like favorable polling to make a Governor confident in his bid for reelection. This morning, Pennsylvania Democrat Ed Rendell woke up to find himself in a very comfortable position as he seeks a second term, according to a poll from Quinnipiac University.
Pennsylvania voters give incumbent Democratic Gov. Ed Rendell mixed grades, including a 51 - 33 percent approval rating, but he has solid early leads over possible Republican challengers, including Bill Scranton and Lynn Swann, according to a Quinnipiac poll released today.51% might not be the greatest approval rating, but the actual match-up numbers are solid.
Gov. Rendell had a 52 - 30 percent approval rating in a September 16, 2004, poll by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN uh-pe-ack) University.
Match-ups between Rendell and possible Republican challengers show:
- Rendell over State Sen. Jeff Piccola 52 - 28 percent;
- The Governor tops former Lt. Gov. William Scranton III 50 - 35 percent;
- Rendell over former Pittsburgh Steeler Lynn Swann 50 - 34 percent.
The Big Kulongoski: President in 2008
With rumors swirling around the blogosphere that Oregon Governor Ted Kulongoski might be up for a run for the 2008 Democratic presidential nomination, the Portland Tribune elicits a response from the Guv [via Western Democrat]:
It may come as a shocker to Oregonians, but the governor’s name is being tossed around on some lefty weblogs these days as a contender for the Top Job in 2008.Very interesting...
No way, you say? Well, Democratic Freedom (libertariansforamerica.blogs.com) put him on a list of “people to watch in the next four years.” WesternDemocrat (www.westerndemocrat.com) listed him among 19 possible contenders. Daily Kos (www.dailykos.com) praised him, uh, sort of, by saying: “He does not appear particularly ugly or fat and seems to look like a regular guy.”
The Green Papers (www.thegreenpapers.com) was even less enthusiastic, calling him “vice-presidential fodder at best.” (The last veep named Ted — his friends called him that, anyway — was Spiro T. Agnew.)
What does Ted K. have to say about all this?
“Kulongoski,” he told Sources Say, “is easier to spell than Schwarzenegger.”
The Politics of Homeland Security
The Republicans playing politics with Homeland Security? You don't say!
This is just one more example of the politicization of the American government under the Bush administration. Clearly, they cared more about reelection than keeping the American people safe. However unsurprising this news is, it's nevertheless disappointing to see for a fact the degree of corruption in this administration.
Former Homeland Security Secretary Tom Ridge met privately with Republican pollsters twice in a 10-day span last spring as he embarked on more than a dozen trips to presidential battleground states.Link.
Ridge's get-togethers with Republican strategists Frank Luntz and Bill McInturff during a period the secretary was saying his agency was playing no role in Bush's re-election campaign were revealed in daily appointment calendars obtained by The Associated Press under the Freedom of Information Act.
"We don't do politics in the Department of Homeland Security," Ridge told reporters during the election season.
His aides resisted releasing the calendars for over a year, finally providing them to the AP three days after Ridge left office this month.
This is just one more example of the politicization of the American government under the Bush administration. Clearly, they cared more about reelection than keeping the American people safe. However unsurprising this news is, it's nevertheless disappointing to see for a fact the degree of corruption in this administration.
The Middle East Situation Improving?
This news is at least somewhat reassuring:
Israel's parliament easily passed Prime Minister Ariel Sharon's contentious plan to pull out of Gaza and part of the West Bank, approving compensation of hundreds of thousands of dollars to families of settlers to be evacuated.Link.
The 59-40 vote on Wednesday was the final parliamentary endorsement. But the pullout, marking the first time Israel would remove veteran settlements from the West Bank and Gaza, still has many obstacles to overcome — strident, even violent opposition by settlers and their backers, as well as attempts by opponents to scuttle the plan by bringing down Sharon's government.
[...]
The vote reflected a realignment in which dovish parties came out in favor of Sharon's plan, while many of his traditional pro-settlement supporters voted against. Vice Premier Shimon Peres of the Labor Party called the vote "a clear decision for peace," but the Settlers' Council said it marked "a black day for democracy."
Support for Bush Soc. Sec. Plan Weak
The Wall Street Journal's John Harwood writes up the latest WSJ/NBC poll, one that bodes quite poorly for the President in his bid to privatize Social Security.
Americans remain wary of President Bush's idea for overhauling Social Security, but show increasing confidence over developments in Iraq, a new Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll has found.George is having a harder and harder time serving as President. As Josh Marshall notes, the more people hear about his Social Security plan, the less they like it. As long as he's out there pushing privatization, it's a good time to be a Democrat.
The survey of 1,008 adults, conducted Feb. 10-14, found that 51% Americans consider it "a bad idea" to change Social Security by allowing workers to invest payroll taxes in the stock market, while 40% think it's a "good idea." That is essentially unchanged since January, despite Mr. Bush's attempt to drum up support for the idea in the State of the Union address and a cross-country tour. The margin of error is 3.1 percentage points.
In a further sign of trouble for Mr. Bush, 60% of those who consider private Social Security investments a bad idea describe their position as "completely firm." By contrast, just 31% of proponents describe themselves that way; 68% say they could yet change their minds.
Wednesday, February 16, 2005
House GOP Lists Its 10 Weakest Incumbents
The Hill's Hans Nichols reports that the House Republicans have figured out the 10 members of their caucus in the highest jeopardy of losing this year. Thanks for the tip.
In 2004 the Dems only targeted about a dozen Republican-held seats; had they won each one and not lost any seats, they would have held a one seat advantage in the House (leaving no margin for error). At least double the amount of seats must be targeted this year with ample resources so challengers at least have a chance at victory.
Who knows... maybe 2006 will be a Democratic-friendly year. Without sufficient funding and thorough planning, any breeze in favor of the Dems won't lead to an increase in seats, though. Emanuel will have a tough time, but he's up to the task.
House Republican leaders last night notified their 10 most vulnerable lawmakers that they will be the lucky beneficiaries of this year’s first ROMP (Retain Our Majority Program) fundraiser.The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, under Rahm Emanuel (the high priest and rabbi of the vast left-wing conspiracy) better take note of this development (as I'm sure they have). This is not good enough, however.
The list provides an early preview of who GOP leaders think need the most help from their fellow lawmakers. It also lets potential Democratic challengers know that any run will be expensive.
The 10 members are Reps. Bob Beauprez (Colo.), Mike Fitzpatrick (Pa.), Jim Gerlach (Pa.), Marilyn Musgrave (Colo.), Anne Northup (Ky.), Jon Porter (Nev.), Dave Reichert (Wash.), Rick Renzi (Ariz.), Rob Simmons (Conn.) and Mike Sodrel (Ind.). Rep. Christopher Shays (R-Conn.), who narrowly won his 2004 race, is not on the list.
In 2004 the Dems only targeted about a dozen Republican-held seats; had they won each one and not lost any seats, they would have held a one seat advantage in the House (leaving no margin for error). At least double the amount of seats must be targeted this year with ample resources so challengers at least have a chance at victory.
Who knows... maybe 2006 will be a Democratic-friendly year. Without sufficient funding and thorough planning, any breeze in favor of the Dems won't lead to an increase in seats, though. Emanuel will have a tough time, but he's up to the task.
Cartoon of the Day
Quote of the Day
"Chairman Hastings' firing of two highly respected members of the committee’s professional staff is one more step in the elimination of consideration of ethical violations in the House of Representatives."Link.
-- House Democratic Whip Steny Hoyer (MD) on the firing of two senior aides from the Ethics panel.
Is The War in Iraq Making America Safer?
Apparently CIA Director Porter Goss doesn't think so.
The insurgency in Iraq continues to baffle the U.S. military and intelligence communities, and the U.S. occupation has become a potent recruiting tool for al Qaeda and other terrorist groups, top U.S. national security officials told Congress yesterday.Link.
"Islamic extremists are exploiting the Iraqi conflict to recruit new anti-U.S. jihadists," CIA Director Porter J. Goss told the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence.
"These jihadists who survive will leave Iraq experienced and focused on acts of urban terrorism," he said. "They represent a potential pool of contacts to build transnational terrorist cells, groups and networks in Saudi Arabia, Jordan and other countries."
Independent Sen. Jeffords' Reelection Bid Going Well
Senator Jim Jeffords, one of Vermont's two independent members of Congress (the other being Democratic-leaning Socialist Bernie Sanders) seems to be doing well in his quest for reelection, according to the AP's Christopher Graff:
Sen. James Jeffords may be a man without a party, but he has plenty of high-powered friends. Facing his first re-election bid since leaving the Republican Party, the Vermont independent on Wednesday got an endorsement from Sen. Patrick Leahy, D-Vt., and a boost from Republican Gov. James Douglas, who said he will not campaign against Jeffords because he "has served the state well."Jeffords moderation and bipartisan leanings represent what's good about America's political process. It's great to see that he should be able to coast to reelection.
Jeffords, whose first 26 years in Washington were as a Republican, infuriated GOP leaders four years ago when he became an independent, saying the party had become too conservative for him. The move gave Democrats control of the Senate until the 2002 election.
Jeffords often sides with Democrats, and Leahy said he will do everything he can to ensure his re-election next year.
"Jim has shown the kind of independence you expect in Vermont," said Leahy, adding, "I look as this as a Vermonter, not as a Republican or Democrat."
The Future of the Republican Party
It's interesting to see what type of morals the GOP elders are teaching to their rising stars.
The young Nevada man designated to chair the upcoming 2005 Young Republican National Convention in Las Vegas has been accused of embezzling registration fees from around the country to pay off bar tabs, personal loans and credit card debts.Kudos to the Las Vegas Review-Journal's Erin Neff for the reporting on this story.
Nevada's national committeeman for Young Republicans filed a criminal complaint Monday with the Reno Police Department alleging Nathan Taylor received more than $25,000 in registration fees and donations through his corporation, YRNC 2005, and spent almost all of it in the past year for personal use.
Taylor interned in Gov. Kenny Guinn's office during the 2003 Legislature and has worked for former Republican state Sen. Mark James and in Las Vegas City Hall, where he worked on projects for then-Councilman Michael McDonald.
He was actively involved with the state's Young Republicans when Nevada won the bid to host its first-ever national convention for the organization.
Senator Specter Has Cancer
The AP's Jesse J. Holland has the story:
Senate Judiciary Chairman Arlen Specter, R-Pa., announced Wednesday that he has Hodgkin's disease but expects to continue to work in the Senate while being treated.Our thoughts and prayers are with him and his family as he tries to beat the cancer.
"I have beaten a brain tumor, bypass heart surgery and many tough political opponents and I'm going to beat this, too," Specter said in a statement.
Hodgkin's disease is a type of cancer involving the lymph nodes. Specter will receive chemotherapy every two weeks for up to 32 weeks at the Abramson Cancer Center at the University of Pennsylvania in Philadelphia, a release from his office said.
Specter's doctor, John H. Glick, said he has an "excellent chance of being completely cured."
US Pushes Syria Into Alliance With Iran
How the Bush administration was able to get the highly secular Syria to form an alliance with the Islamist government of Iran is beyond me. How this makes America safer is also beyond me.
Perhaps this means the "Axis of Evil" to which the President refered a few years ago will actually come to fruition. Nice work, GWB.
Iran and Syria, who both are facing pressure from the United States, said Wednesday they will form a "united front" to confront possible threats against them, state-run television reported.Link.
"In view of the special conditions faced by Syria, Iran will transfer its experience, especially concerning sanctions, to Syria," Mohammad Reza Aref, Iran's first vice president, was quoted as saying after meeting Syrian Prime Minister Mohammad Naji Otari.
"At this sensitive point, the two countries require a united front due to numerous challenges."
Perhaps this means the "Axis of Evil" to which the President refered a few years ago will actually come to fruition. Nice work, GWB.
Linc Chafee in Trouble
The situation for liberal Republican Senator Lincoln Chafee (RI) is unfortunately becoming increasingly difficult. A new poll from Brown University shows the Senator losing if the election were held today.
If the Senate contest were held today, Representative James Langevin has a substantial lead over incumbent Senator Lincoln Chafee. Forty-one percent indicate they would vote for Langevin, compared to 27 percent who say they would vote for Chafee. Among women, Langevin has a lead of 41 to 24 percent, while among men, he is ahead of Chafee by 41 to 32 percent. With Republican voters, Chafee leads Langevin by 43 to 30 percent, while Langevin is ahead of Chafee by 61 to 18 percent with Democrats and 36 to 31 percent among Independents.Though this is a marked improvement from the 20-point deficit he faced a month ago, Chafee is still in hot water. Although I am a strong supporter of the Democratic party, I am also a strong supporter of good government, and having Linc Chafee in the Senate is good government. Let's see if he'll be able to turn it around.
If the Democratic candidate were Secretary of State Matt Brown, Chafee holds a lead of 39 to 25 percent. Among women, Chafee is ahead of Brown by 42 to 26 percent, while among men, Chafee leads by 38 to 24 percent. With Republicans, Chafee leads Brown 54 to 13 percent and Chafee also is ahead of Brown by 44 to 18 percent among Independents. Brown is ahead of Chafee among Democrats by 43 to 31 percent.
What's Going on in Washington?
CQ Today's Midday Update (free email service) finds this quizzical story:
Talk about a puzzler. According to the Herald in Everett, Wash., federal officials from the Pentagon, Energy Department and CIA last week removed several documents from the papers of the late Democratic Sen. Henry M. "Scoop" Jackson that are archived at the University of Washington. The security people picked through 1,200 boxes of material and departed with about 10 documents, according to Carla Rickerson, head of special collections. Most of the Jackson papers cover his years in Congress from 1941 until his death on Sept. 1, 1983. A defense "hawk," he was ranking Democrat on the Senate Armed Services Committee when he died. His widow, Helen, donated the collection to the university after his death. At that time, a team of university library staff removed classified information before making the files accessible to scholars and the public."A puzzler" indeed! What are the feds doing raiding the files of a long-deceased Democratic Senator?
Ousted HP Chief to Run as a Republican?
CQ Weekly has this story on former Hewlett-Packard CEO Carly Fiorina who is considering a run for office as a Republican [no link available].
By any measure, Carly Fiorina had a bad week last week. The board of Hewlett-Packard ousted her as chairman, CEO and president after a nearly six-year tenure that saw profits lag and the company lose one-third of its market value.I say bring it on. She was one of the least successful CEOs in the history of the company. The stock is tanking. The merger with Compaq wasn't really profitable. Let her run as a Republican and have to defend her poor business decisions. That's fine by me.
On the upside, she got a golden parachute estimated at about $21 million.
And one more thing. All this could signal the beginning of her political career.
California political insiders say that she is interested in politics — and she would get a warm reception from Republicans. “I hope she does engage in the process, because we need good people,” says the chairman of the state’s Republican Party, Duf Sundheim. “I definitely would be encouraging, and I would love the opportunity to talk to her about it.”
Frost to Tackle Fox News
Fresh off of defeat at the hands of Howard Dean in the DNC Chairman race, former Rep. Martin Frost (D-TX) has a new gig: Fox News. The AP has the story:
Former U.S. Rep. Martin Frost has signed a deal to be a political commentator for the Fox News Channel, the 24-hour cable network announced Tuesday.Despite anything Kos or any other Dean-o-phile blogger might tell you, Frost is a fiercely partisan Democrat despite his moderate leanings. Although Fox News will never become either fair or balanced, it's great to hear that Frost will have some opportunity to get the Democrats' voice on the air.
Frost lost his Dallas-area congressional seat in November after redistricting engineered by Majority Leader Tom DeLay forced him into a race with Rep. Pete Sessions in a more Republican-friendly district. Frost served 26 years in Congress.
Most recently, Frost dropped out of the race for Democratic national chairman after failing to win the support of organized labor. Howard Dean won the chairmanship last week.
Frost served as chairman of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, which focuses on re-electing House members, after the 1994 Republican landslide.
Santorum in Jeopardy in Pennsylvania
The Republicans were able to gloat at knocking off Tom Daschle in an extremely red state this year. 2006 may provide the Democrats with a similar opportunity. Quinnipiac University has a new poll indicating extreme conservative Rick Santorum (R-PA) is prime for defeat.
Incumbent Republican U.S. Sen. Rick Santorum trails State Treasurer Robert Casey, Jr., a possible Democratic challenger, 46 – 41 percent, in an early look at the 2006 Senate race, according to a Quinnipiac poll released today. Another 11 percent are undecided.Santorum at 41% against Casey. It would be difficult for anyone, let alone a right wing nut like Santorum, to dig out of that hole.
Sen. Santorum has a 52 – 31 percent approval rating and voters say by almost the same margin that he "deserves to be reelected," the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN uh-pe-ack) University poll finds.
Santorum would top other possible Democratic challengers:
- 47 – 39 percent over former State Treasurer Barbara Hafer;
- 50 – 34 percent over former U.S. Rep. Joseph Hoeffel;
- 51 – 30 percent over former State Rep. T.J. Rooney.
Tuesday, February 15, 2005
Hoyer: House GOP Lacks Votes on Soc. Sec.
It's looking increasingly unlikely that the Republicans will be able to force a bill privatizing Social Security down the throats of the Democrats. As The Hill's Hans Nichols reports, the Democrats might already have the votes in the House to block the measure (they most likely have the votes in the Senate to do so as well).
House Minority Whip Steny Hoyer (D-Md.) waded into Republican territory yesterday, releasing a whip count of 29 Republicans he says are on record opposing “all or major parts of President Bush’s plan” for Social Security reform.In the words of the inimitable House Ways and Means Chairman Bill Thomas (R-CA), the President's plan is "a dead horse."
Given the GOP’s 14-vote margin in the House, Hoyer reasons that Republicans will need to initiate a more serious conversation with Democrats if they are nursing any hopes of passing a plan this session.
Hoyer’s cross-aisle whipping is indicative of the Democrats’ swelling confidence that the Social Security debate cuts in their favor and tracks with Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee Chairman Rahm Emanuel’s (D-Ill.) strategy. He has been attempting to brand vulnerable GOP lawmakers who appear open to the president’s proposal, despite their stated opposition to privatization, as “flip-floppers.”
Bush Awards AIDS Grant to Sub-Par Org.
The improprieties of the Bush administration know no bounds. The Washington Post's David Brown has the latest development on the ongoing story of poorly-handled government outlays.
The Bush administration's global AIDS program last fall awarded a grant to promote abstinence in African youth to a politically connected Washington advocacy group, even though the expert committee reviewing requests for government money judged the request "not suitable for funding."It's bad enough that the Bush administration doles out government contracts to its friends; it may be a waste of money, but they aren't the first ones to do it. But for President Bush to waste desperately-needed money slated for fighting AIDS is a sin. Which party has morals?
The decision by the committee was overruled by the head of the U.S. Agency for International Development (USAID), a key agency implementing the five-year, $15 billion Bush AIDS plan. On Nov. 1, the administration's global AIDS office approved a grant for an unspecified amount of money to the Children's AIDS Fund.
The existence of the award was revealed yesterday in a letter by Rep. Henry A. Waxman (D-Calif.) to Randall L. Tobias, head of the President's Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief, which is run out of the State Department.
Waxman is seeking details of the Children's AIDS Fund's grant application, why expert reviewers rejected it and why the decision was overruled by Andrew S. Natsios, USAID's head.
America's Ever-Evolving Relationship with Syria
First the Bush administration secretly opposes peace talks between Israel and Syria. Now, the AP's Barry Schweid reports America is withdrawing it's Ambassador to Syria. What's next?
The United States has recalled its ambassador to Syria amid rising tensions over the assassination of former Prime Minister Rafik Hariri of Lebanon.Will Americans stand for another Middle East war should the Bushies push for one? Syria would most likely be a less formidable opponent than Iran, though much more difficult than Iraq. All I know is that I wouldn't fancy being drafted.
Before departing, U.S. Ambassador Margaret Scobey delivered a stern note, called a demarche in diplomatic parlance, to the Syrian government, said an official who discussed the situation only on grounds of anonymity.
State Department spokesman Richard Boucher, announcing the move, said it reflected the Bush administration's "profound outrage" over Hariri's assassination.
Boucher did not accuse Syria of being involved in the bombing Monday in Beirut. "I have been careful to say we do not know who committed the murder at this time," he said.
But he said the deadly attack illustrated that Syria's strong military and political presence in Lebanon was a problem and had not provided security in the neighboring country.
Very Interesting Stuff
I just returned from a talk given by Gordon Robison, Senior Fellow at the USC Annenberg School for Communication and Director of the Middle East Media Project at USC's Center for Public Diplomacy. Currently based in Amman, Jordan, he has worked in Baghdad for both CNN and Fox News. For four months in 2003-2004 he ran the news department at Iraqi television as a contractor for the Coalition Provisional Authority.
Robison was not at all optimistic about the situation in Iraq. In response to a question about whether the situation on the ground was better or worse than what was being reported in America, Robison answered that it is much worse (remember, this guy worked for Fox News). He also let the audience know that, in his opinion, the Civil War in Iraq has already begun and has been waged since the first blowup in Fallujah eight months ago. Oy.
Robison was not at all optimistic about the situation in Iraq. In response to a question about whether the situation on the ground was better or worse than what was being reported in America, Robison answered that it is much worse (remember, this guy worked for Fox News). He also let the audience know that, in his opinion, the Civil War in Iraq has already begun and has been waged since the first blowup in Fallujah eight months ago. Oy.
Coors to be Ambassador to Canada?
George W. Bush is apparently considering the appointment of Pete Coors as Ambassador to Canada. The Toronto Star's Tim Harper has the story:
Surely the most intriguing is that of Pete Coors, the Colorado beer scion who just orchestrated the merger with Molson, creator of Joe Canadian.Would President Bush actually appoint someone who was once stumped over the name of the Canadian prime minister?
Coors, who lost his bid for a Colorado Senate seat, has advocated lowering the legal drinking age from 21 to 18 and was once stumped over the name of the Canadian prime minister, even though he was in negotiations with Molson. [emphasis added]
Is This Legal?
Nebraska businessman Duane Acklie arranged a $400,000 fundraiser for the President expecting an appointment -- an activity that was thoroughly investigated when it occurred during the Clinton administration. The question is if this is legal. And even if it is legal, is it moral or ethical?
"My only interest, if I am going to serve, would be in serving as an ambassador or in a position involving trade," Acklie wrote in a May 2001 "Dear Mike" letter to then-Gov. Johanns. The letter was contained in the official gubernatorial correspondence obtained by The Associated Press under Nebraska's open records law.Link.
"Jack Oliver told me several weeks ago that he was informed that I would not receive one of the eight major ambassadorships but would be receiving an ambassadorship," Acklie wrote.
The owner of Crete Carrier Corp., a major trucking company, even wondered aloud why he hadn't yet landed an ambassadorship when other Republicans who helped elect Bush in 2000 had already gotten theirs.
"Most of the appointments have been made. That is perfectly OK, and if others have done more work for the party, are better qualified or have helped the Bush team more, I certainly understand," Acklie wrote. "I don't understand why I haven't heard a single thing after Jack Oliver's comment to me."
Dems Will Keep NM Senate Seat
This is one seat the Democrats won't have to worry about next year:
Had Bingaman opted for retirement, this seat would have been a toss-up this year, so it's great to see the Democrats most likely won't have to dump millions of much-needed dollars into the race.
Sen. Jeff Bingaman said Monday that he will seek a fifth term in the Congress in next year's election.Link.
The Silver City Democrat said in a statement Monday that he feels fortunate to have spent the last 22 years focusing on health care, education and job growth in New Mexico.
"I am committed to continuing my strong advocacy, and I look forward to having the opportunity to serve our state for another term in the Senate," Bingaman said.
[...]
He was first elected to the U.S. Senate in 1982 and won re-election with 63 percent of the vote in 2000 against Republican challenger Bill Redmond.
Had Bingaman opted for retirement, this seat would have been a toss-up this year, so it's great to see the Democrats most likely won't have to dump millions of much-needed dollars into the race.
Monday, February 14, 2005
I Have Internet!
I'm back. Thanks to the wonderful IT people here at Pomona College. I'm zonked now, though, so posting will resume tomorrow morning.
Unbelievable
Truly unbelievable. The GOP will stop at nothing to protect Tom DeLay from prosecution for his corruption. The Hill's Alexander Bolton has this brief:
Texas state Rep. Mary Denny (R), chairwoman of the Texas House Elections Commission, has introduced legislation that could stop Travis County District Attorney Ronnie Earle’s investigation of House Majority Leader Tom DeLay’s (R-Texas) political operation.These people make me sick.
Denny’s bill would establish a special office in the Texas Ethics Commission with the power to stop district attorneys from prosecuting violations of the state’s ethics code. BNA Money & Politics Report reported the potential threat to Earle’s investigation yesterday.
The legislation would require district attorneys to notify the special office of alleged violations before taking any action. The special office would have 45 days to review alleged violations and could prevent prosecution if after conducting its own investigation it determined the allegations to be unfounded.
District attorneys could only pursue a criminal prosecution if the office concluded an offense had been committed. The bill would take effect Sept. 1.
Fred Wertheimer, the president of Democracy 21, a government watchdog group based in Washington, immediately condemned the proposal as an attempt to shield DeLay from possible indictment.
“The Texas legislative scheme appears to be yet another blatant and irresponsible effort to shut down an enforcement process that could encompass House Majority Leader Tom DeLay,” said Wertheimer.
If indicted, DeLay would be required by House Republican Conference Rules to step down as majority leader.
Democrats Investigate Iraq Graft
It's about time someone was investigating the mismanagement of funds in Iraq, and there's no way the GOP would ever do it. The Washington Post's Griff Witte has the story:
A government contractor defrauded the Coalition Provisional Authority of tens of millions of dollars in Iraq reconstruction funds and the Bush administration has done little to try to recover the money, an attorney for two whistle-blowers told Democratic lawmakers yesterday.The Bush administration's gross mismanagement of Iraq is a disgrace to the thousands of Americans who have lost their lives or been seriously injured in the country.
The lawyer, Alan Grayson, represents two former employees who charged in a federal lawsuit that the security firm Custer Battles LLC of Fairfax was paid approximately $15 million to provide security for civilian flights at Baghdad International Airport, even though no planes flew during the contract term. Grayson said the firm received $100 million in contracts in 2003 and 2004, despite a thin track record and evidence the government was not getting its money's worth.
A former Coalition Provisional Authority official who briefly oversaw the airport security contract also spoke, depicting a temporary governing body awash with cash but lacking in the necessary controls to ensure that money generated from the sale of Iraqi oil actually went to rebuilding the country.
"I wish I could tell you that the Bush administration has done everything it could to detect and punish fraud in Iraq," Grayson said. "If I said that to you, though, I would be lying."
AJC Backs the Judicial Filibuster
No, not the Atlanta Journal-Constitution. Here's what the other AJC has to say about judicial filibusters [via Campaign Confidential]:
The American Jewish Committee today reaffirmed its support for the Senate's filibuster rule regarding judicial nominations. AJC's Board of Governors took the action in response to a public campaign for eliminating the filibuster rule.Good to hear they're on board. The Democrats can use all of the help they can get.
"The Senate's centuries-old rule providing for the use of the filibuster gives voice to minority viewpoints and encourages consensus on appointments to the judiciary," the AJC Board said in its resolution. Changing the Senate rules "would eliminate this incentive for bi-partisan cooperation, eroding our system of checks and balances and diluting the Senate's role to provide 'advice and consent' on the President's judicial nominees."
Quote of the Day: Part Deux
"I had the greatest eight hours of my life. I mean, I was secretary of commerce, I was ambassador to England. Honestly, I had never felt better from the eight hours that I had."Link.
-- Terry McAuliffe, on the time during election night when exit polling showed John Kerry the victor.
Missile Defense Test Fails... Again
The AP's John J. Lumpkin reports:
A test of the national missile defense system failed Monday when an interceptor missile did not launch from its island base in the Pacific Ocean, the military said. It was the second failure in months for the experimental program.This is a great use for our money. Dumping millions into a program that will never work. Really effective.
A statement from the Missile Defense Agency said the cause of the failure was under investigation.
A spokesman for the agency, Rick Lehner, said the early indications was that there was a malfunction with the ground support equipment at the test range on Kwajalein Island, not with the interceptor missile itself.
If verified, that would be a relief for program officials because it would mean no new problems had been discovered with the missile. Previous failures of these high-profile, $85 million test launches have been regarded as significant setbacks by critics of the program.
In Monday's test, the interceptor missile was to target a mock ICBM fired from Kodiak Island, Alaska. The target missile launched at 1:22 a.m. Monday EST without any problems, but the interceptor did not launch.
The previous test, on Dec. 15, failed under almost identical circumstances. The target missile launched, but the interceptor did not. Military officials later blamed that failure on fault-tolerance software that was oversensitive to small errors in the flow of data between the missile and a flight computer. The software shut down the launch; officials said they would decrease the sensitivity in future launches.
Quote of the Day
"I don’t have the slightest clue who Hillary really is. [...] All I see is a gal who knew she was as good as anyone else, and she saw this guy she could make something of, so she forfeited Illinois and went to Arkansas. That’s a hell of a move to make for a redneck, which is all he was."Link.
-- Harlem Congressman Charlie Rangel, on New York's junior Senator
Headline of the Day
"Maine farmers call for semen tax repeal"Link.
Bush Approval Back at 49%
So sayeth famed pollster Gallup.
A new Gallup Poll, conducted Feb. 7-10, finds President George W. Bush's job approval rating has dropped to slightly below the levels measured in three January polls, and well below the 57% measured in Gallup's Feb. 4-6 poll that followed the State of the Union address. Furthermore, the president's approval rating on handling the economy has dropped below where it was in January, suggesting that the focus on the new budget and his Social Security plan may have negatively affected the president's public support.Hm. I wonder if last week's poll showing the President at 57% approval was an outlier...
Here's a graph of the president's job approval ratings over the last six months.
The poll suggests that Bush's public opinion gains following the Iraqi elections and the positive focus on his Feb. 2 State of the Union address have dissipated.
Sunday, February 13, 2005
Another Step Towards Middle East Peace?
This sounds at least somewhat incouraging.
Cautious optimism...
Responding to death threats against government ministers, Israeli Prime Minister Ariel Sharon ordered law enforcement agencies Sunday to crack down on Jewish extremists opposed to the planned withdrawal from the Gaza Strip.Link.
Cabinet ministers said the charged climate is reminiscent of the period before the 1995 assassination of Prime Minister Yitzhak Rabin who was in peace negotiations with the Palestinians. One minister warned Sharon himself could become a target. Extremists have put up posters across the country that say Rabin and the prime minister's deceased wife, Lily, are "waiting for Sharon."
Despite the concerns, Sharon's Cabinet approved a list of 500 Palestinian prisoners to be released in coming days, and several hundred Palestinian workers were permitted to return to jobs in Israel in line with agreements reached at a Mideast summit last week.
Cautious optimism...
Deficit to Explode in 2009
George W. Bush has promised to half the deficit by the end of his term in the White House, but at what real cost? The Washington Post's team of Jonathan Weisman and Peter Baker report that if the President's plans take effect, the deficit could reach upwards of $700 billion within a decade.
For President Bush, the budget sent to Congress last week outlines a painful path to meeting his promise to bring down the federal budget deficit by the time he leaves office in 2009. But for the senators and governors already jockeying to succeed him, the numbers released in recent days add up to a budgetary landmine that could blow up just as the next president moves into the Oval Office.Americans need to understand that the Republican Party has adopted a platform which if enacted in earnest would truly bankrupt this country. It's good to see an article like this on the front page of the Post, but this is only the beginning. Hopefully the rest of the mainstream media will get its act together and cover this story -- about how this President wants to destroy the American government -- as it deserves to be covered.
[...]
If Congress were to pass Bush's Social Security plan and permanently extend his tax cuts, the budget deficit would bottom out at $251 billion in 2008, then climb steadily to $335 billion by 2015, according to an analysis by The Washington Post and the House Budget Committee's Democratic staff. Those figures assume, however, that Bush will secure all of his proposed spending cuts, that he will need no more emergency war spending and that there will be no changes to the alternative minimum tax, which Bush and other politicians want to rewrite to keep it from affecting more middle-class families in coming years. The AMT originally was designed to make sure wealthy people couldn't avoid paying some taxes.
With a fix to the AMT, deficits in a decade would likely reach $650 billion to $700 billion, said Sen. Lindsey O. Graham (R-S.C.). "The days of being everything to everybody are quickly coming to a close," he said, adding that a permanent extension of the Bush tax cuts would make it politically impossible to borrow the full cost of a Social Security fix. "We have to look at the deficit in a holistic way."
My Internet Access is Still Out
I'm trying as best as I can to post frequently, though with limited availability (I need to go to a computer lab for access), I'm making no promises. Rumor has it that service will be restored Monday night/Tuesday morning, though there's no confirmation of that. I might have dial-up access, though...
Gordon Smith on Social Security
Oregonian columnist David Sarasohn does some heavy-duty reporting and lands an interview with Oregon's Republican Senator Gordon Smith.
Sarasohn explains that Smith often changes his mind on issues, so membership in the Conscience Caucus is far from permanent. Nevertheless, it's good to see Smith is leaning towards the correct side of this issue.
Gordon Smith sometimes shows up in expected places.[Via TPM]
Right now, for example, on the subject of Social Security, he appears on a list called the "Conscience Caucus," kept on a liberal Web site called Talking Points Memo. It's a tallying of "those Republicans who either oppose the president's plan or appear open to doing so," and it counts 19 House members and five senators -- with Smith the only senator west of Ohio.
Is the Conscience Caucus the accurate address for him?
"That's an appropriate conclusion," says Smith. "I have not signed up to anyone's plan.
"I'm open to the debate. I'm keeping my counsel."
Sarasohn explains that Smith often changes his mind on issues, so membership in the Conscience Caucus is far from permanent. Nevertheless, it's good to see Smith is leaning towards the correct side of this issue.
Republicans Enlarge Government
The New York Times Sheryl Gay Stolberg asks an extremely important question about the Republican Revolution of 1994 in the Week in Review section: "Whatever happened to the promise of smaller government? "
[G]overnment has only grown. The Cato Institute, a libertarian research institution, says overall federal spending has increased twice as fast under Mr. Bush as under Mr. Clinton. At the same time, the federal deficit is projected to hit a record high of $427 billion this year.Check out this entire must-read article to get an idea of the degree to which the GOP has expanded the federal government in the last decade, and especially in the last four years. It is as if they were able to become as corrupted as the Democrats were after 40 years in control of the House in only 10 short years. Nice work.
These trends seem likely to continue. The White House estimated last week that the cost of prescription drugs for Medicare beneficiaries, originally projected at $400 billion from 2004 to 2013, would, in fact, be $724 billion from 2006 to 2015. Republicans called for scaling back the benefit, but on Friday, Mr. Bush said no and vowed to veto any changes to the Medicare bill.
"The era of big government being over is over," declared Marshall Wittmann, a senior fellow at the Democratic Leadership Council, a centrist Democratic research organization. That would certainly seem to be borne out in the record of the Republican revolutionaries, known as the "Class of 1994" for the year they were elected. Of the 30 who are still in the House of Representatives, 28 hsponsored bills in the last Congress that would have increased government spending overall, according to the National Taxpayers Union, an antitax group.
Quote of the Day
"If there’s a vast left-wing conspiracy, Emanuel is its high priest and rabbi."Link.
-- Eleanor Clift, on the power of Rep. Rahm Emanuel (D-IL)
Radical Shia Plurality in Iraq
Evidently America invaded Iraq to put in an Iran-style Shia theocracy. That's certainly worth 1,500 American soldiers, 100,000 Iraqis and $250 billion.
In unsurprising news, Sunnis apparently did not vote in this election. Perhaps the major news outlets will begin to explain that these elections weren't quite as good for America as President Bush and his spinmeisters tried to make us think.
New and nearly final tallies of the votes cast in the Jan. 30 Iraqi national election show Iraq's majority Shiite Muslims won nearly half, 48 percent, of the 8.5 million votes cast, more than any other group but not enough to control the planned 275-member National Assembly without the help of others.Link.
That help could come in the form of a coalition with the No. 2 vote-getters, an alliance of Kurdish candidates, who received nearly 2.2 million votes, or 26 percent of the votes cast, The Associated Press reported.
A ticket let by Ayad Allawi, the interim Iraqi prime minister, finished third, with nearly 1.2 million votes, or 13.8 percent, according to The A.P.
In unsurprising news, Sunnis apparently did not vote in this election. Perhaps the major news outlets will begin to explain that these elections weren't quite as good for America as President Bush and his spinmeisters tried to make us think.
Saturday, February 12, 2005
$100 Million for TV in Ohio
Over $60 million of which came from this side of the aisle. The AP has the story:
The battle for Ohio in last year's presidential campaign came with a huge price tag: $100 million for television advertising alone, according to a new study.The view in hindsight is always 20-20, but if some of those funds were sent to the Mountain West -- Colorado, New Mexico and Nevada -- if enough money was ciphoned off to switch these three states (the Bush margin in the three states combined was about the same as the margin in just Ohio), John Kerry would be President today. Perhaps it is time for the Dems to adopt a Mountain West strategy.
Ohio residents saw "a level of campaign activity unprecedented in modern times," according to the study released last week by five political science professors from the universities of Cincinnati and Akron.
"Everyone had the sense that this was the most intense campaign ever and, by gosh, it was," said one of the authors, John Green, of the University of Akron.
The election turned on Ohio's 20 Electoral College votes. Not until preliminary results were available early on Nov. 3 did Democratic challenger John Kerry concede.
Kerry and his Democratic allies spent $61 million on television ads compared with $39 million by President Bush and Republican groups. Together, the two campaigns spent as much on television ads as Bush spent nationwide to win the 2000 Republican nomination, the study said.
Both sides also spent an estimated $50 million for mailings, door-to-door contacts and phone calls, the study said.
Some Hope From the Middle East
I believe we refer to this as "cautious optimism."
The Palestinian militant groups Hamas and Islamic Jihad said Saturday they will not attack Israeli targets, but they refrained from officially joining a Palestinian cease-fire with Israel agreed upon during last week's summit in Egypt.Link.
Leaders of both groups met Saturday with Palestinian leader Mahmoud Abbas, who is trying to keep the fragile cease-fire intact.
A Hamas leader, Mahmoud Zahar, told The Associated Press the group will wait to see whether Israel stops its military activities and targeted killings of Palestinian militants before deciding whether to join the truce agreed upon by Abbas and Israeli Prime Minister Ariel Sharon.
Zahar said after meeting with Abbas that Hamas was "committed to what is called 'quietness'" until it determines whether Israel meets its truce obligations, including disclosing the criteria for releasing Palestinian prisoners.
The Sunday Talk Lineup
For those who get up that early...
FOX NEWS SUNDAY: Sen. Joseph R. Biden Jr. (D-Del.) and Senate Majority Leader Bill Frist (R-Tenn.).For the record, that's 8 Republicans and 6 Democrats, and two extremely conservative Israelis. That's what I call fair and balanced.
THIS WEEK (ABC): Sens. Kent Conrad (D-N.D.) and Judd Gregg (R-N.H.) and former secretary of state James A. Baker III.
FACE THE NATION (CBS): Sens. Rick Santorum (R-Pa.) and Richard J. Durbin (D-Ill.) and Karen Tumulty of Time.
MEET THE PRESS (NBC): Sen. Charles E. Grassley (R-Iowa), Rep. Charles B. Rangel (D-N.Y.), Israeli cabinet member Natan Sharansky and former presidential candidate Patrick J. Buchanan.
LATE EDITION (CNN): Sens. Pat Roberts (R-Kan.) and John D. "Jay" Rockefeller IV (D-W.Va.); Govs. Bill Richardson (D-N.M.) and Bill Owens (R-Colo.); South Korean Foreign Minister Ban Ki Moon; Imad Moustapha, Syrian ambassador to the United States; and Daniel Ayalon, Israeli ambassador to the United States.
Condi Untruthful About Al-Qaeda Warnings
"No Al Qaeda plan was turned over to the new administration," Dr. Rice wrote in an op-ed article for The Washington Post last March. She wrote that Mr. Clarke and his team "suggested several ideas, some of which had been around since 1998 but had not been adopted."The News York Times' Scott Shane writes this towards the end of a story entitled "'01 Memo to Rice Warned of Qaeda and Offered Plan." It takes the reader until the 16th paragraph to find out that Condi said she hadn't heard real warnings about Al-Qaeda. Nice work, Scott.
A strategy document outlining proposals for eliminating the threat from Al Qaeda, given to Condoleezza Rice as she assumed the post of national security adviser in January 2001, warned that the terror network had cells in the United States and 40 other countries and sought unconventional weapons, according to a declassified version of the document.So Condi didn't really tell the truth when she said she hadn't seen any Clinton administration plans on Al-Qaeda. Go figure: Someone in the Bush administration not being wholly truthful with the American people on an issue of national security. It's not like that has happened before...
The 13-page proposal presented to Dr. Rice by her top counterterrorism adviser, Richard A. Clarke, laid out ways to step up the fight against Al Qaeda, focusing on Osama bin Laden's headquarters in Afghanistan. The ideas included giving "massive support" to anti-Taliban groups "to keep Islamic extremist fighters tied down"; destroying terrorist training camps "while classes are in session" and then sending in teams to gather intelligence on terrorist cells; deploying armed drone aircraft against known terrorists; more aggressively tracking Qaeda money; and accelerating the F.B.I.'s translation and analysis of material from surveillance of terrorism suspects in American cities.
Mr. Clarke was seeking a high-level meeting to decide on a plan of action. Dr. Rice and other administration officials have said that Mr. Clarke's ideas did not constitute an adequate plan, but they took them into consideration as they worked toward a more effective strategy against the terrorist threat.
FDA in More Trouble with GOP Senator
Finance Chairman Chuck Grassley (R-IA), who oversees Medicare, came out with news this week that the FDA has seriously dropped the ball in protecting Americans from the drug Adderall. Now, as The New York Times' Gardiner Harris reports, Grassley is stepping up the heat on the agency.
The tension and intrigue surrounding a crucial federal drug advisory committee meeting next week, already high, reached a boil on Friday when Senator Charles E. Grassley charged that top federal drug regulators intended to suppress an important study.As I've said before, it's time for Bush's FDA to spend a little less time trying to ensure the profits of the pharmaceutical industry and a little more time trying to keep the American people safe.
The panel has been convened to discuss whether Celebrex and Bextra, heavily selling arthritis pills from Pfizer, hurt the heart and are worth their potential risks. But top officials of the Food and Drug Administration have forbidden Dr. David Graham, a drug-safety officer at the agency, to discuss before the panel a large study of that very question, said Dr. Gurkirpal Singh of Stanford University School of Medicine, Dr. Graham's co-author.
"We have significant new information that will alter the thinking about these drugs," Dr. Singh said. "I don't understand why they won't let us present this information."
Mr. Grassley, an Iowa Republican, wrote a letter Friday to the agency's acting commissioner, Dr. Lester Crawford, demanding to know by Monday the reason for the agency's decision.
A Deluge
Flash flooding in Los Angeles County knocked out internet access to my building until at least Monday, so blogging will most likely be sporadic at best (save for times like this when I trudge to a computer lab). For now, though, on with the bloggery.
Friday, February 11, 2005
Republicans Aligned With Porn
This is shocking. Shocking, I say.
The moral warriors raking in tens of thousands of dollars from pornographers. Are those the moral values upon which the GOP won in 2004?
While its previous owners considered adult entertainment "immoral," Adelphia Communications Corp., the country's fifth-largest cable television provider, last week became the first to offer hard-core adult films on pay-per-view to its subscribers.Link.
"It's a very lucrative source of funds," said Dennis McAlpine, a media and entertainment industry analyst. "The cable companies and the satellite companies are programming agnostics in the sense that they don't care what the programming is. It's what the viewers want to see."
[...]
While the corporations generate millions in profits from providing adult content, their political contributions are often given to those elected, in no small part, because of their stance on "moral values."
According to the Center for Responsive Politics, Comcast Cable has given millions in political donations since 1998. The national Republican Party committees are its biggest organizational recipient, with donations totaling $851,000. President Bush is its biggest individual recipient with $109,000 in donations.
Adelphia has given $166,000 to Republican committees, $17,000 to conservative Rep. John Peterson, R-Pa., and $12,000 to Sen. Rick Santorum, R-Pa., one of the most conservative members of the Senate.
The moral warriors raking in tens of thousands of dollars from pornographers. Are those the moral values upon which the GOP won in 2004?
Congress Ready to Curtail Medicare Rx Waste
George Bush's Medicare Prescription Drug bill gave away hundreds of billions of dollars to the Pharmaceutical industry, and now that Congress is considering cutting the extreme waste in the program, the President is threatening a veto. CQ Today's Midday Update (free email service) reports:
Responding to growing congressional concern about the projected costs of the 2003 Medicare prescription drug law, President Bush today vowed to veto any legislation that seeks to pare back the new benefits. Speaking at a swearing-in ceremony for Health and Human Services Secretary Michael O. Leavitt, Bush called the law "a landmark achievement" and warned that "any attempt to limit the choices of our seniors and to take away their prescription drug coverage under Medicare will meet my veto." Newly revised 10-year cost estimates for the Medicare drug benefit touched off consternation among many on Capitol Hill this week, especially Republican conservatives who fought enactment of the law in the first place because of cost concerns. A defiant Rep. Jeff Flake, R-Ariz., said he and others who opposed the drug bill should still send Bush legislation to scale back the benefit to low-income seniors only. "If he chooses to veto this, that's his choice," Flake said. "But I don't think he will."If only he fought for the American people like he fights for his major contributors (think Enron, PhRMA, etc.) this country would be so much better off.
Headline of the Day
"Social Security supplement: Gramps allegedly sells crack" [Link]
Quote of the Day
"Now I have said to the president, I've said it to all of his advisers, and I've said to all of our folks, `Look it, you can't jam change down the American people's throat unless they perceive there really is a problem.'"Link.
-- House Speaker Denny Hastert on Bush's push to reform Social Security
The President is Becoming Very Unpopular
With the situation in Iraq not improving and Americans increasingly skeptical about his moves to dismantle Social Security, President Bush is finding his approval rate declining markedly. The AP's Will Lester writes up the latest poll.
The public's confidence in President Bush's job performance and the nation's direction has slipped in the opening weeks of his second term, particularly among people 50 and older, according to an Associated Press poll.Ouch! 54% disapproval. That makes his 51% disapproval rating in the latest Rasmussen poll look like nothing. I wonder if he still believes he has a mandate...
Adults were evenly divided on Bush's job performance in January, but now 54 percent disapprove and 45 percent approve. The number who think the country is headed down the wrong track increased from 51 percent to 58 percent in the past month.
Goodbye Mr. Miller
One of America's most beloved and talented playwrights has passed away. Today, we remember Arthur Miller.
Arthur Miller, the Pulitzer Prize-winning playwright whose most famous fictional creation, Willy Loman in "Death of a Salesman," came to symbolize the American Dream gone awry, has died. He was 89.Link.
Miller, who had been hailed as America's greatest living playwright, died Thursday night at his home in Roxbury of heart failure, his assistant, Julia Bolus, said Friday. His family was at his bedside, she said.
His plays, with their strong emphasis on family, morality and personal responsibility, spoke to the growing fragmentation of American society.
Thursday, February 10, 2005
FDA Drops the Ball... Again
President Bush's intricate ties to the Pharmaceutical industry have taken their toll on the FDA. Already discredited for failing to ensure the safety of a number of prescription medications, a new report from a leading Republican Senator indicates the agency is simply not doing a good job. The New York Times' Gardiner Harris and Benedict Carey have this story:
A day after Canadian officials suspended the use of a hyperactivity drug amid reports of deaths associated with its use, Senator Charles E. Grassley of Iowa contended that United States health officials had asked the Canadian regulators not to do so.Maybe it's time for the FDA to spend a little more time protecting the American people and a little less time defending PhRMA.
Senator Grassley, a Republican, said on Thursday that the Food and Drug Administration had made the request of Canadian health officials because the F.D.A. could not handle another "drug safety crisis." Mr. Grassley said he was basing his contentions on reports from whistle-blowers within the agency.
[...]
Mr. Grassley, who has been investigating the Food and Drug Administration for about a year, demanded in a letter written on Thursday that the agency answer questions about any discussions its officials may have had with the Canadians about the drug.
Dr. Robert Temple, director of the F.D.A.'s office of medical affairs, said the agency's decision to permit the continued sale of Adderall was not influenced by the controversies swirling around the F.D.A.
Dems Oppose DeLay Lackeys on Ethics C'tee
House Republicans believed they had gotten away with highway robbery when they overhauled the Ethics Committee by replacing all honest Congressmen with those tied with Tom DeLay. Now, the Democrats are standing up to this corrupt action. The Washington Post's Larry Margasak reports:
House Democratic leaders yesterday sought the removal of two recently appointed Republicans from the House ethics committee, questioning whether their contributions to Majority Leader Tom DeLay's legal defense fund would color their judgment on issues involving him.DeLay's improprieties are weakening the fiber of the American Democracy and for that he should be forced to resign. It's that simple.
The committee deferred action last year on investigating any role played by DeLay (R-Tex.) in a corporate campaign-donation controversy in Texas that led to indictments of three of his political associates.
Rep. Lamar S. Smith of Texas contributed $10,000 to the defense fund and Rep. Tom Cole of Oklahoma donated $5,000, according to an analysis by the watchdog group Public Citizen.
[...]
Democrats and some Republicans have publicly criticized Hastert's realignment of the committee last week. The critics called removal of the panel's previous GOP chairman and two other Republicans a purge designed to stack the panel with DeLay supporters.
The evenly divided 10-member committee admonished DeLay last year for enlisting the help of federal aviation officials in a Texas redistricting dispute, for the appearance of linking political donations and legislation, and for suggesting he would support the candidacy of a Republican lawmaker's son in return for a vote for a Medicare prescription drug benefit.
Blumenauer Makes the National Media
Or at least a national blog. This, from Atrios:
Rep. Earl Blumenauer yesterday:That's some good work, Earl. You make Portland and Oregon proud.If this provision, the waiver of all laws necessary for quote improvements of barriers at the border was to become law, the Secretary of Homeland Security could give a contract to his political cronies that had no safety standards, using 12-year-old illegal immigrants to do the labor, run it through the site of a Native American burial ground, kill bald eagles in the process, and pollute the drinking water of neighboring communities. And under the provisions of this act, no member of Congress, no citizen could do anything about it because you waive all judicial review.
A Legend Has Passed
It is somewhat belated news, but I just learned that musician Jimmy Smith, the innovator of the jazz organ, has passed away. The New York Times' Ben Ratliff has the obituary:
Jimmy Smith, who made the Hammond organ one of the most popular sounds in jazz beginning in the mid-1950's, died on Tuesday at his home in Phoenix. He was 76.Jimmy Smith's final album, a duet with organist Joey DeFrancesco aptly titled Legacy, is scheduled for release next week.
He died of unspecified natural causes, said his stepson and former manager, Michael Ward,who also said that his age of 76 was based on his birth certificate and not the birth date found in most reference books.
Before Jimmy Smith, the electric organ had been nearly a novelty in jazz; it was he who made it an important instrument in the genre and influenced nearly every subsequent notable organist in jazz and rock, including Jimmy McGriff, Jack McDuff, Larry Young, Shirley Scott, Al Kooper and Joey DeFrancesco.
By 1955 - which coincidentally was the year Hammond introduced its most popular model, the B-3 - he had an organ trio with a new sound that would thereafter become the model for groups in what became known as "organ rooms," the urban bars up and down the East Coast specializing in precisely the kind of blues-oriented, swinging, funky music that Mr. Smith epitomized. He continued touring and recording until just before his death.
Minnesota Watch to the Fourth Power
In the previous installment of the Basie! "Minnesota Watch" series, Al Franken was considering a bid for the United States Senate. Now it's official...
I would have loved to have seen him in the Senate, but I guess we'll have to wait until 2008.
Comedian and liberal talk show host Al Franken said Thursday he wouldn't run for the U.S. Senate seat being vacated by Mark Dayton next year, saying he was committed to his radio show for two more years.Link.
"I believe in honoring my commitments," Franken said. "I agreed to do two more years on Air America radio."
Franken, a veteran of "Saturday Night Live," was born in New York City and lives there now, but grew up in the suburbs of Minneapolis. He had talked about the possibility of challenging Sen. Norm Coleman, R-Minn., in 2008, but Dayton's departure gave him the chance to run earlier without challenging an incumbent Democrat.
I would have loved to have seen him in the Senate, but I guess we'll have to wait until 2008.
Hope for the American Left
The Economist has some polling information that could make American liberals happy.
By a huge 42-19% margin, Americans think they are more liberal than their parents. And this is borne out by most of the questions in panel 3. Set alongside the replies to an identical set of questions asked by Gallup in 1995-97, Americans seem less supportive of the death penalty and more tolerant of both marijuana and homosexuals. On economic issues, they look less favourably on trade unions, but the number who think they pay too much tax has dropped from 66% to 56%.Check out all of this free polling data. It's easily accessible and very informative about the American psyche.
Economist: Two Big Caveats on Soc. Sec.
As the President seeks to forward his plans to dismantle Social Security, The Economist has this to say [worry not, it's free]:
Even so, Mr Bush's charge forward should be greeted with two big caveats. The first is that in his focus on Social Security he must not lose sight of the overall fiscal challenge—and the role his own policies have played in it. The long-term burden of Mr Bush's first-term tax cuts and spending increases is three times bigger than the looming Social Security shortfall. Pension reform is desirable; but it will not solve America's long-term fiscal problems, and if its political price is an out-of-control budget, that would be a serious mistake.The key point to remember: The long-term burden of Mr Bush's first-term tax cuts and spending increases is three times bigger than the looming Social Security shortfall. Indeed.
The second caveat is that Mr Bush must get the details of the reform right. Many are unresolved, but the basics are in place. He has ruled out raising payroll taxes or tampering with the benefits of anybody aged 55 or older—a political necessity. The plan's main idea is to let people divert up to a third of their payroll taxes into individual retirement accounts. In exchange, the account-holders would get smaller pensions from Social Security. The government would see its revenues fall in the short term, but its future liabilities would be lower as well.
AARP Takes to the Airwaves
Americans are becoming increasingly skeptical that the Social Security program is in a crisis. Most believe privatization is not the way to go. Now, AARP has decided to give us one more nudge in the direction of maintaining Social Security -- by targeting the youth.
It's getting harder and harder for the President to push the American people around on the issue of privatization.
The nation's largest seniors group is launching a new round of ads opposing President Bush's proposal to divert some Social Security taxes into private investment accounts. This time, AARP is aiming at a new audience: the young.Link.
William Novelli, chief executive officer of the 35-million member organization, said Wednesday that AARP would air TV ads aimed at convincing younger workers that Bush's proposal would undermine Social Security and would not do anything to ensure the solvency of the retirement program.
AARP, which is open to people 50 and older, ran full-page ads in 53 newspapers in December and January opposing voluntary accounts that younger workers could invest in the stock market.
Speaking at the National Press Club, Novelli said his group's TV ads will attempt "to talk to young people," who polls find are skeptical that Social Security will be around when they reach retirement. "We will try a little humor this time," Novelli said.
It's getting harder and harder for the President to push the American people around on the issue of privatization.
Minnesota Watch: Numero Tres
Yesterday, Mark Dayton (D-MN) announced that he will not seek a second term in the United States Senate. Today, a new name might be entering the fray in the Minnesota Senate race. KSTP, the ABC affiliate in Minneapolis/St. Paul, has the big scoop:
Just one day after U.S. Sen. Mark Dayton decided not to run for a second term, comedian Al Franken may be throwing his hat into the ring.Listen live here.
Last year, Franken said he wanted to run for the Senate in 2008. But last night he told 5 EYEWITNESS NEWS that he is now considering his candidacy for next year.
Franken, a Minnesota native, plans to make an announcement live on his national radio show in Washington D.C. 5 EYEWITNESS NEWS will be in the studio with Franken for that announcement.
The announcement is expected to come near the end of the broadcast, which will be around 1:45 p.m. [Central]
Quote of the Day
"The idea was to recognize Mr. Peanut for his historical and cultural significance to this city."Link.
-- Ron Williams, Suffolk, VA Treasurer, on placing the likeness of the famed "resident" on every vehicle registration card.
Who Was Deep Throat?
This week, former White House council John Dean reported that Deep Throat is ailing and that Ben Bradlee had already prepared an obituary. Greg Mitchell of Editor & Publisher takes one last stab at just who Deep Throat really is.
Here at E&P, we thought we'd join in the fun, since Deep Throat, whoever or whatever it is, is the most famous journalistic source in history. Send us your pick for the most likely candidate (to: letters@editorandpublisher.com), and we will tabulate the results. We will also award a free subscription to whoever is first to submit the correct name -- assuming, that is, we ever learn who he/she/it is.The other names they bring up: Pat Buchanan, George H.W. Bush, and others, "including Fred Fielding, John Sears, L. Patrick Gray (the original front runner), Leonard Garment, William Safire, Dwight Chapin, Ray Price, Alexander Haig, David Gergen, Mark Felt, Lowell Weicker, and the ever popular No One (he was a Woodward-Bernstein composite)."
In the early returns, based on dozens of submissions, the clear frontrunner is (ailing) Chief Justice Willam [sp] Rehnquist. Mark Felt holds second, and (ailing) President Ford is in third. Other interesting picks include: Ben Stein, Bill Casey, Leonard Garment, Henry Kissinger, G. Gordon Liddy, Earl Silbert, Steven Bull, Fred Fielding's secretary, and Richard M. Nixon himself ("he was so self-destructive").
Oy Vey!
This is not good.
North Korea publicly acknowledged Thursday for the first time that it has nuclear weapons and said it won't return to six-nation talks aimed at getting it to abandon its nuclear ambitions.Link.
The statement from the reclusive, Stalinist state dramatically raised the stakes in the two-year-old nuclear confrontation and posed a grave challenge to President Bush, who started his second term with a vow to end North Korea's nuclear weapons programs through multilateral talks.
"We ... have manufactured nukes for self-defense to cope with the Bush administration's ever more undisguised policy to isolate and stifle the (North)," the North Korean Foreign Ministry said in a statement carried by the state-run Korean Central News Agency.
Wednesday, February 09, 2005
Two New Polls Could Have Bush Concerned
As President Bush pushes for action on his Social Security reforms, a new poll indicates that the opposition of the American people -- not just liberal groups -- is mounting. The Washington Post's Richard Morin and Dale Russakoff have the front page story:
Survey I
Most Americans are certain Social Security will go bankrupt but are not ready to embrace changes that would shore up the system's finances, according to two surveys by The Washington Post, the Henry J. Kaiser Family Foundation and Harvard University.Here are some of the details from the surveys:
Seven in 10 Americans agree with President Bush that Social Security eventually will go bankrupt if Congress fails to act, though most predict that the system will not do so for at least two decades. Yet while Bush has warned of a crisis in Social Security, barely one in four Americans believes that a crisis exists.
More broadly, the polls raise serious doubts about whether Americans are willing to make the choices necessary to fix the system's financial problems. Solid majorities reject both increases in payroll taxes and decreases in retirement benefits, except for the wealthy. Experts agree that without new revenue coming in or less flowing out as benefits -- or both -- the Social Security system will not be able to pay all its promised benefits, perhaps as early as 2042.
Survey I
Bush ApprovalSurvey II
Approve: 50Views on Social Security
Disapprove: 48
Strongly Approve: 32
Strongly Dissapprove: 37
Crisis: 27Who Does a Better Job on Soc. Sec.
Major Problems, but no Crisis: 46
Minor Problems: 22
No Problems: 4
President Bush: 21Will Social Security Go Bankrupt?
Congressional Republicans: 20
Congressional Democrats: 43
Yes, in the next 10 Years: 6Private Accounts
Yes, in 10-20 Years: 22
Yes, in 20-30 Years: 22
Yes, in 30+ Years: 19
No: 28
Support: 54Personal Accounts
Oppose: 42
Support: 57
Oppose: 40
Views on Social SecurityThere is a lot of interesting data here that could give both sides optimism -- and pause. This is just a smattering of data from these two surveys. If you're a real statistical junkie, I highly recommend you check out the whole PDF. It's real juicy.
Crisis: 26Personal Accounts
Major Problems, but no Crisis: 50
Minor Problems: 16
No Problems: 5
Support: 46Will Social Security Go Bankrupt?
Oppose: 46
Yes, in the next 10 Years: 8
Yes, in 10-20 Years: 24
Yes, in 20-30 Years: 17
Yes, in 30+ Years: 14
No: 31
Score One for the Blogs
For those who believe that blogs come up with no original content -- that they merely repeat what's being covered by major news organizations -- Howie Kurtz reports that such a characterization is not true.
The conservative reporter who asked President Bush a loaded question at a news conference last month resigned yesterday after liberal bloggers uncovered his real name and raised questions about his background.Blogs are becoming increasingly powerful force in the media/political realm in America. Even lesser known bloggers can sway the mainstream media on occasion. As long as blogs allow normal Americans to ensure coverage is fair and that politicians are doing their jobs, we shouldn't be too worried.
Jeff Gannon, who had been writing for the Web sites Talon News and GOPUSA, is actually James Dale Guckert, 47, and has been linked to online domain addresses with sexually provocative names. He has been under scrutiny since asking Bush how he could work with Senate Democratic leaders "who seem to have divorced themselves from reality." The information about Gannon was posted on the liberal sites Daily Kos, Atrios and World o' Crap.
Kerry Dumps Another Mil. on the DNC
Maybe he could have spent it a little more wisely before the election...
It's still a nice gesture by Kerry, even if it won't get him anywhere in trying to line up support for a 2008 run.
Sen. John Kerry is contributing $1 million to the Democratic National Committee to support efforts by the next chairman, Howard Dean, in building grass-roots support for the party at the state level.Link.
"Join me with a contribution of your own to show the incoming DNC chair that you want to support organizing in your own community," Kerry wrote in an e-mail to about 3 million supporters on his e-mail list.
"A new DNC chair will be elected at the end of this week," Kerry wrote of his one-time political rival. "Let's make sure he has everything he needs to start strong."
Kerry said Democrats need to have strong organizations at the state, local and precinct levels. Republicans were very effective at grass-roots organizing in the last election.
It's still a nice gesture by Kerry, even if it won't get him anywhere in trying to line up support for a 2008 run.
Minnesota Watch: Part Deux
In the first installment of Minnesota Watch, I let you know that both of Minnesota's Senators took a hit in their approval ratings in a new poll. Now it looks like that poll will have a much larger effect than previously believed.
Sen. Mark Dayton, D-Minn., said today that he will not run for re-election in 2006.It's going to be very difficult for the Democrats to keep the seat now. Hopefully the Dems will be able to find a decent candidate (I don't think Fritz is going to run again).
Dayton made the announcement this afternoon in a telephone conference call with reporters.
"I do not believe that I am the best candidate to lead the DFL Party to victory next year,'' Dayton said.
The senator made a brief statement and took no questions.
Lautenberg Bashes Bush on New Traveler Fees
The President's 2006 budget calls for major increases in fees for airline travelers and crass old New Jersey Democrat Frank Lautenberg won't stand for it. The AP's Lara Jakes Jordan reports:
The 81 year old Senator, not thinking about reelection, has been willing to hit the administration when others have not. He famously called Dick Cheney a "chickenhawk" on the Senate floor. Kudos to Lautenberg for standing up to the administration again on this measure that would bilk airline travelers.
A Senate Democrat blasted the Bush administration Wednesday over plans to raise ticket fees for airline passengers — a budget proposal that would pay for a host of homeland security programs.Launtenberg has done a magnificent job since returning to the Senate two years ago. A three-term Senator, Lautenberg had retired in 2000 after frequently clashing with junior Senator Bob Torricelli (also a Democrat). When Torricelli found himself in trouble in 2002, Lautenberg jumped in the race and was elected for a fourth term.
The proposed White House budget, released earlier this week, would raise existing ticket fees by $3 to help finance a $2.2 billion increase in the fiscal 2006 budget of the Department of Homeland Security.
"I am one of the strongest advocates for more transportation security resources in Congress," Sen. Frank Lautenberg, D-N.J., wrote in a letter dated Wednesday to President Bush. "But we cannot balance the budget on the backs of the traveling public and small business people."
"You campaigned on a message of fear that your opponent would raise taxes upon taking office," added Lautenberg, a member of the Senate Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs Committee. "However, it turns out that the first act of your new term includes a proposal to raise taxes on millions of American families."
The 81 year old Senator, not thinking about reelection, has been willing to hit the administration when others have not. He famously called Dick Cheney a "chickenhawk" on the Senate floor. Kudos to Lautenberg for standing up to the administration again on this measure that would bilk airline travelers.
Romney in Trouble in Liberal Tax-achusetts
It's tough to be a Republican Governor of an extremely blue state. Just ask Mitt Romney.
Nearly two-thirds of Massachusetts voters have a favorable impression of Gov. Mitt Romney and more than half think it's OK for him to leave the door open for a run for president even as he campaigns for a second term as governor, a new poll found.This story, coming from the patently partisan Boston Herald, leaves the most important part of this poll for the 10th graf.
But Romney's re-election is far from assured, with Romney and top Democratic rival Attorney General Tom Reilly running in a statistical dead heat for governor according to the University of Massachusetts poll.
The poll, conducted by the university's Lowell campus, also found that voters are more likely to trust state lawmakers than Romney when it comes to decisions about taxes and program cuts.
For Reilly, who has yet to announce his candidacy for governor, the poll held a kernel of good news. The poll had 45 percent of voters choosing Reilly and 41 percent choosing Romney in a head to head match, a statistical dead heat.I'm not sure how beating an incument who is stuck at 41% is just a "kernel of good news" for Reilly. In fact that's amazing news, should he decide to run. First New York and now Massachusetts... this is not a bad day for blue state Dems.
Quote of the Day
"What happened to our country?"Link.
-- Actress Shannen Doherty (of 90210 fame) on Americans' obsession with "material things and the way people look and all of that."
I'm sure her priorities are much better...
More New York State Polling
Yesterday, the polling outfit at Sienna College indicated that the Democrats were on fairly strong footing in New York, with Hillary Rodham Clinton defeating both George Pataki and Rudy Giuliani for Senate, and Eliot Spitzer beating Pataki for Governor (though not Giuliani). Quinnipiac University today follows with a poll that echoes the results from Sienna.
Sen. Hillary Clinton gets an all-time high 65 - 27 percent approval rating from New York State voters, who say 64 - 30 percent that she is honest and trustworthy, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Among Republicans, 38 percent say she is honest, along with 85 percent of Democrats and 55 percent of independent voters.Though Clinton's margin over Giuliani is slightly smaller in this poll than the Sienna poll, it is evident that she might be popular enough to scare of any competition. New York might not have the "battleground" races in 2006 that were previously expected.
[...]
Looking at her 2006 reelection bid, Sen. Clinton tops Republican Gov. George Pataki 61 - 30 percent, and edges former New York City Mayor Rudolph Giuliani 50- 44 percent, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds.
Tuesday, February 08, 2005
Medicare Rx Benefit Costs 82% More Than Expected
When President Bush and his GOP allies were browbeating the opposition into allowing the passage of a Medicare prescription drug benefit, they hid the real costs of their plans (more than $500 bn rather than $400 bn). Today we find out that even the $534 billion mark was grossly understated. The New York Times' Robert Pear has the story:
[Update 10:56 PM Pacific]: The Washington Post's Ceci Connolly and Mike Allen report that the legislation will cost the country $1.2 trillion over the next decade.
The Bush administration offered a new estimate of the cost of the Medicare drug benefit on Tuesday, saying it would cost $720 billion in the next 10 years.Congressman Stark is completely correct here. The administration knowingly deceived Congress and the American people about the true costs of this giveaway to the pharmaceutical industry so the excess pork that goes to PhRMA in the form of unnegotiated contracts should be removed.
That is much more than the $400 billion Congress assumed when it passed legislation creating the benefit in late 2003.
[...]
Representative Pete Stark of California, the senior Democrat on the Ways and Means Subcommittee on Health, said: "I told you so. We can't trust numbers provided by administration officials. They'll say anything to get a bill passed. And if the new drug benefit costs more, the extra money goes to their friends in the pharmaceutical industry, not to senior citizens."
Mr. Stark said the higher cost estimate showed that Congress should allow the secretary of health and human services to negotiate with drug manufacturers to secure lower prices for Medicare beneficiaries. The law forbids such negotiations. But Tommy G. Thompson, the former secretary of health and human services, said he wished Congress had given him the power to negotiate.
[Update 10:56 PM Pacific]: The Washington Post's Ceci Connolly and Mike Allen report that the legislation will cost the country $1.2 trillion over the next decade.
I'm Back from the Art Spiegelman Lecture
Cartoonist Art Spiegelman just delivered a lecture entitled something like "Cartoons 101" at Pomona College. It was really one of the best events I've attended here.
If you're unfamiliar with Spiegelman's work, I highly recommend you check out Maus, his highly acclaimed recounting of his father's Holocaust experience. Spiegelman also has a new work entitled In the Shadow of No Towers on his reaction to the 9/11 attacks.
If you're unfamiliar with Spiegelman's work, I highly recommend you check out Maus, his highly acclaimed recounting of his father's Holocaust experience. Spiegelman also has a new work entitled In the Shadow of No Towers on his reaction to the 9/11 attacks.
Pentagon Budget Actually Increasing by 8%-9%
Slate's Fred Kaplan explains that President Bush is actually raising the Pentagon budget by twice as much as he has promised -- even when you discount the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan. Check out the whole must-read piece for the details, but here's the crux of it:
Here is the only possible explanation for this games-playing. President Bush is cutting, in some cases slashing, domestic programs. If he appears to be raising military spending by about 4 percent, well, some may think that's not excessive in a dangerous world. But if he seems to be raising it by 8 percent or 9 percent (again, not including the costs of the war in Iraq), that may seem a bit lopsided, warranting closer inspection.If the President wants to increase the military budget by 9% when he's cutting education and medical programs, he should go out and do it. This backhanded attept at covertly increasing money for the Pentagon is unacceptable, however.
CNN, Fox & Brian Williams
US News and World Report's Washington Whispers column has this interesting story:
While Fox News Channel remains the favorite network of Republican lawmakers, NBC's new anchor, Brian Williams, is the one turning GOP heads. Message guru and former MSNBC contributor Frank Luntz says in a confidential memo to Hill leaders that Williams has emerged as the "go-to network anchor" because of his brains and "lack of detectable ideological bias." Luntz credits NBC Executive Producer Steve Capus for "a flawless transition to a new generation of news anchor." Still, Fox and CNN lead the nets when it comes to GOP loyalty.Josh Marshall explains that "the Luntz memo not only says that Brian Williams is an easy mark. Luntz apparently also believes that CNN is now so thoroughly whipped as to be on par with FOX in terms of Bush-fidelity." Evidently the loyalty of both Fox News and CNN are taken for granted by the GOP. The loyalty of Brian Williams could also be taken for granted. Scary stuff.
Chet Edwards Speaks Out
Chet Edwards, the only Texas Democrat to survive Tom DeLay's concerted attack via re-redistricting, has a lot to say about his party in this issue of CQ Weekly. Bob Benenson writes this about George W. Bush's Congressman (Edwards represents Crawford, among other areas):
But the principal prescriptions Edwards offers from his own story of political survival are more tactical than ideological. He argues that Democrats should put more effort into convincing voters that many Republican candidates are too conservative — even in areas where Bush has remained popular. Democrats must show a friendly face, he says, but must strike first against their opponents and strike back when attacked. And Democrats need to enhance their reputation as strong on national security.Moderation, moderation, moderation. I wholeheartedly agree. As Edwards says, it's incumbent upon the Democratic Party to convince conservatives that there is nothing conservative about this administration. George W. Bush is a radical who is wholly out of touch with the American people, and the sooner Democrats can convince their fellow citizens of this, the sooner they will return from the political wilderness.
Too many Americans, he says, perceive Democrats as naive on such matters — as thinking that all will be right in the world “if everyone just joins hands and sings ‘Kumbaya’ with the bad guys.”
“We have to be willing to show Americans that when push comes to shove and national interests are at stake, that we can be as tough as anyone,” says Edwards, the top Democrat on the Military Construction Appropriations Committee for the past two years. He previously spent eight years as a chief deputy whip, acting as a liaison between the liberal-leaning House Democratic leadership and the caucus’ often disgruntled conservatives.
Bush to Raise NW Energy Rates by 20%
Perhaps in retaliation for not delivering a single electoral vote in his name, George W. Bush is pushing legislation that would vindictively raise energy rates for Oregonians and Washingtonians. The Oregonian's crack team of Jeff Kosseff and Jim Barnett report:
President Bush's proposal Monday that the Bonneville Power Administration charge market rates for its electricity ran into immediate fire from Republicans and Democrats in the Northwest delegation.It appears as though Oregons Democrats and Republicans will be allied against this measure, ensuring at least a fair fight. The battle will be difficult, though rest assured the Northwesterners will not give up hope.
The move, contained in the president's 2006 budget, could add hundreds of millions of dollars in annual energy costs to the Northwest economy.
The budget, released Monday, says that the administration will propose legislation to require the BPA and the nation's three other power marketing administrations to gradually bring their electricity rates closer to market averages.
[...]
The annual increases would be capped at 20 percent, said Bruce Carnes, associate deputy secretary of Energy.
Quote of the Day
"Emanuel, 45, has been known to pinch people when he felt that words weren't strong enough to be persuasive."Link.
-- The AP's David Espo on new DCCC Chairman Rahm Emanuel
Check out the whole piece on Emanuel and new DSCC chief Chuck Schumer. It's well-written and quite informative.
Democrats on Firm Footing in New York
It looks like the Democrats won't have too many difficulties in New York in 2006 according to a new poll from Siena College Research Institute. Here are the results:
Pataki would lose to Attorney General Eliot Spitzer 51-35 percent and he would be beaten 58-32 percent in a race for Senate against Clinton.Giuliani is far from being competitive with Hillary at this point, and although he matches up well against Spitzer, it's doubtful that he will choose to run for Governor next year (he has little to gain but much to lose if he wants to become President).
[...]
“Rudy Giuliani, however, would beat Spitzer handily – today (49-40 percent). And in a match up of two New York political titans, a race between Rudy and Hillary for the U.S. Senate would have the Senator winning re-election comfortably (52-43 percent),” [Director of Polling Joe] Caruso said.
Richardson to Run for Prez
Bill Richardson, a leading Hispanic within the Democratic Party and the Governor of New Mexico, will reportedly run for the Democratic nomination in 2008. Here's the story:
Although Gov. Bill Richardson has been coy since last November's election about whether he plans to run for president in 2008, he has told party leaders he will run, according to a Monday report by The Associated Press.Richardson was unable to deliver his state to the Democrats in 2004, a reality that will greatly undercut any campaign he will run for top billing on the Democrats' national ticket. Should he run, this ignominious fact will serve as a target for all other Presidential aspirants within the party.
[...]
Richardson spokesman Billy Sparks downplayed the story -- but he didn't deny it.
Oy
From the AP:
A suicide bomber blew himself up in a crowd of Iraqis outside an army recruitment center Tuesday, killing 21 other people and injuring 27 more, the U.S. military said. It was the deadliest attack in the Iraqi capital since last week's election.
There were conflicting reports about the attack, which occurred at an Iraqi National Guard headquarters at the Muthana airfield. Iraqi officials blamed the explosion on mortar fire and officials at Baghdad's Yarmouk Hospital said they had received 16 bodies from the scene, all of them army recruits.
But witnesses reported only one explosion, and the U.S. military said the blast was caused by a suicide bomber.
The al-Qaida in Iraq terror group, led by Jordanian militant Abu Musab al-Zarqawi, claimed responsibility for the attack in an Internet statement.
The Intifada Over
It is always great to start the morning with positive news.
Israeli Prime Minister Ariel Sharon and Palestinian leader Mahmoud Abbas declared Tuesday that their people would stop all military and violent attacks against each other, pledging to break a four-year cycle of bloodshed and get peace talks back on track.Link.
With the flags of their countries whipping in the wind, Sharon and Abbas met face-to-face at a Mideast summit, smiling broadly as they leaned across a long white table to shake hands. In one sign the talks went well, Egypt and Jordan announced afterward that they would return their ambassadors to Israel after a four-year absence — possibly within days.
Monday, February 07, 2005
Cartoon of the Day
Bush's Military Budget Surpasses Cold War Spending
The threat of terrorism should not be understated, but is it necessary to dump the type of money into wasteful, big-ticket items that were necessary for the Cold War but are today ineffective in fighting unconventional warfare? CQ Today's Midday Update (free email service) has the scoop:
President Bush is requesting $419.3 billion for the Pentagon next year, a prodigious sum that exceeds the Cold War average and will grow larger still when fiscal 2006 supplemental spending for the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan is added. But buried within the rising defense budget are cuts to major defense programs that had lawmakers bracing for a brawl even before the budget was sent to Capitol Hill. The defense request is 15 percent higher in real, inflation-adjusted terms than the Cold War average, according to Steven Kosiak, a defense budget analyst with the Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments. It is driven by a nearly 8 percent boost in operations and maintenance spending to $147.8 billion, and an almost 5 percent hike in personnel accounts to $108.9 billion. By contrast, research and procurement accounts would get less-than-inflationary increases under the proposal. The White House would like $78 billion for military procurement and $69.4 billion for research and development initiatives.As CQ notes, this record level of largesse doesn't even take into account the tens of billions to be spent in Iraq in the short term. It is essential to fully fund the military, but if we are to bankrupt America to futilely try to prove Europe wrong in Iraq it is simply not worth it.




