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Wednesday, September 22, 2004
ARG completes polls for each of the 50 states
Here's what the American Research group has to say:
- George W. Bush is at 47% and John Kerry is at 46% in the weighted national popular vote.
- Bush leads outside the margin of error in 17 states with 133 electoral votes.
- Kerry leads outside the margin of error in 10 states with 132 electoral votes.
- Bush has any lead in 29 states with 253 electoral votes.
- Kerry has any lead in 20 states with 270 electoral votes.
- Bush and Kerry are tied in Wisconsin and West Virginia.
- Bush needs to defend small leads in 5 states - Colorado, Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire, and Ohio.
- Kerry needs to defend small leads in 5 states - Maine, Florida, Minnesota, Oregon, and Pennsylvania.
- Among men nationwide, 51% say they would vote for Bush and 42% say they would vote for Kerry.
- Among women nationwide, 42% say they would vote for Bush and 50% say they would vote for Kerry.
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