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Monday, February 28, 2005

GOP Group With Administration Ties Subpoenaed

The ongoing scandal involving corrupt GOP lobbyist Jack Abramoff and numerous members of the Republican Party seems to be just that: ongoing. This weekend, The National Journal reported on the allegedly illegal interactions between the lobbyist and House Majority Leader Tom DeLay. Today, The Hill's Josephine Hearn reports that a shadow GOP organization with ties to the administration is being investigated by the Department of Justice.

An interagency criminal task force investigating former lobbyist Jack Abramoff has subpoenaed a Republican group founded by Interior Secretary Gale Norton and now run by her former aides, sources with knowledge of the investigation say.

The subpoena was issued to the Council of Republicans for Environmental Advocacy (CREA), a nonprofit group created in 1997 by Norton and Grover Norquist, president of Americans for Tax Reform, and long denounced by environmental organizations as a front group for industry interests.

[...]

CREA was one of several groups that received contributions from tribes represented by Abramoff. The Coushatta tribe of Louisiana gave $50,000 in 2001 and $100,000 in 2002, according to published reports. The Texas Tigua gave $25,000 in 2002.

Lobbyists with knowledge of Abramoff’s dealings with CREA said that the tribes did not give to CREA in an effort to support its environmental mission. Rather, they said Abramoff directed donations to CREA in return for the help of Federici, CREA’s president and formerly an aide to Norton during her 1996 Senate bid, in the tribes’ lobbying of the Interior Department.

Federici contacted top officials in the Interior Department, including former Deputy Secretary Steve Griles, on behalf of several of Abramoff’s tribes, at times drawing on one-page talking-points memos provided by Abramoff, the lobbyists said.

“It was a you-scratch-my-back, I’ll-scratch-yours situation,” one source with knowledge of the arrangement said. “CREA was seen as being close to Interior.” According to IRS filings, the manager of Norton’s Senate race, former Colorado state representative Jeanne Adkins, is CREA’s treasurer.
The complicity of DeLay and perhaps the White House in Abramoff's shady dealings is unconscionable. Clinton's small misdemeanors and even Nixon's poor cover-up of a botched robbery can't even compare with the systematic flaunting of rules by the current administration.

Dems Narrow Number of Seats to Defend

Last election, House Democrats labeled 19 seats as requiring significant DCCC funds to defend. In a move that will free up precious funds for attacking GOP seats, the Dems have narrowed the number of seats receiving this extra funding to nine. The Hill's Hans Nichols reports:

Emanuel’s higher vulnerability standards also indicate that the DCCC, under his direction, will implement a more calibrated strategy toward channeling member-to-member donations and will not ask lawmakers to part with campaign cash simply to pad skittish incumbents’ margins of victory.

The DCCC declined to confirm the names on the list, but numerous sources throughout the caucus, including aides for lawmakers who have been told of their Frontline status, said that Reps. Melissa Bean (Ill.), Leonard Boswell (Iowa), Chet Edwards (Texas), Stephanie Herseth (S.D.), Brian Higgins (N.Y.), Jim Matheson (Utah), Charlie Melancon (La.), Dennis Moore (Kan.), and John Salazar (Colo.) were informed last week that they will receive direct donations from their fellow incumbents, in addition to other campaign assistance.

[...]

This year’s shortened list could still grow by two or three lawmakers, several caucus sources said, pending redistricting in Georgia, where two marginal Democrats — freshman Rep. John Barrow and second-term Rep. Jim Marshall — will likely see their districts become more Republican.

Reps. Marshall, Tim Bishop (N.Y.), Lincoln Davis (Tenn.), Tim Holden (Pa.), Darleen Hooley (Ore.), Paul Kanjorksi (Pa.), Rick Larsen (Wash.), Mike Michaud (Maine) and Earl Pomeroy (N.D.) received the Frontline designation last cycle but were not included on Emanuel’s initial list. It was unclear if last cycle’s beneficiaries had been formally notified that they would not be included in this year’s program.

The pared-down list also reflects the Democrats’ confidence that several of their members who had been considered vulnerable are in fact safely ensconced in their districts, even if some of them have failed to throttle past the 55 percent ceiling. In previous cycles, the 55 percent high-water mark almost always guaranteed that an incumbent House Democrat would receive a crush of contributions from the chamber’s safer members.
Emanuel is entirely correct in strategizing a strong offense in order to defend his ranks. House Republicans are running scared right now on Social Security and the only way for the Democrats to gain traction from this is to devote resources to qualified challengers, not just incumbents.

Off to See Citizen Kane

One of the best parts of taking a film history course is getting to see the classics like Citizen Kane once again. If this Orson Welles classic is one of your favorites, make sure to check out RKO 281, a fine film about the making of Citizen Kane starring Liev Schreiber as Welles.

Texas-style Redistricting Hits Georgia

Firmly in control of the state legislature and governorship, Georgia Republicans have pulled off a mid-census redistricting bill a la Tom DeLay. Roll Call's Lauren W. Whittington has the scoop [subscription only]:

Republicans in the Georgia Legislature have reached consensus on new Congressional boundaries, moving a proposed map forward that would shore up Rep. Phil Gingrey's (R) swing district and potentially complicate the re-election efforts of Democratic Reps. John Barrow and Jim Marshall.

The state House and Senate redistricting committees passed the same version of a new Congressional map Friday, bringing an end to a week of behind-the-scenes wrangling over how to reconcile the chambers' two competing plans.

[...]

State Democrats privately expressed relief after seeing the compromise map Friday, as they admitted that the redrawing of lines could have hit them much harder politically.

"It could be worse," said a Georgia Democratic operative. "My guess is if everybody ran for re-election, we'd end up with the exact same delegation we've got right now."

Still, Democrats are likely to mount legal challenges if the new lines are approved.
The GOP has appeared to back down to a degree by not fundamentally disenfranchising most Democrats in the state. Nevertheless, as long as the Republicans are willing to cheat the system by redistricting between censuses, the Democrats will have no choice but to do the same in states like Illinois, New Mexico and Louisiana. It won't be a pretty picture, but it might be inevitable at this point given these GOP actions.

Dems Hit Hard on Social Security

The Democrats might have the momentum on Social Security right now, but without continuing the fight, they will surely lose their momentum. As CQ Today's Midday Update (free email service) reports, the Dems are doing just that: fighting.

A liberal interest group began running television ads Monday criticizing Rep. Jim McCrery of Louisiana, House Republicans' self-described "point man" on a Social Security overhaul, while House Democrats released a report that they said documents the use of the Social Security Administration to promote President Bush's proposal for the program. A group of Senate Democrats, meanwhile, planned a news conference tomorrow to "share the community reaction" to the proposal voiced over the recess.

The moves indicate that Democrats and their allies plan to keep up a steady pressure on Republicans, who are returning to the Capitol from a recess during which they heard much criticism of Bush's plan from their constituents and little support. The president, meanwhile, plans to return to the road Friday to sell his proposal for personal investment accounts created through a diversion of payroll taxes.
It has been a tough four years for Democrats, but blocking Social Security privatization could be the key to their resurgence.

CQ's Crawford: House Republicans Could Defect

George W. Bush has been extremely successful at getting his way with Congress, perhaps legislating more effectively than any President since Lyndon Johnson. There could be dire consequences to this strongarming, however, as CQ Weekly's Craig Crawford notes in his column this week.

This is how a top Republican lawmaker sums up President Bush’s attitude toward Congress: “Come let us reason together — and do it my way.” He meant to be critical, but the observation also shows how Bush gets things done — in Congress, and in the world at large.

[...]

[H]is “my way or the highway” leadership style is wearing thin for the second term, especially among conservative Republicans. On Social Security, budget deficits and immigration policy, many could publicly break ranks with him.

[...]

Some Republicans who are friendly to Bush’s [Social Security] plan, but not to the idea of making wealthier taxpayers contribute more, now privately hope it goes away without a vote. They fear that the president will go too far to win the Democratic votes he’ll need to thwart a Senate filibuster.

“If we get investment accounts by increasing taxes on our base voters, forget about it,” one GOP staffer said.
House Republicans don't want a vote on privatization? They just want it to go away? Why, then, would any Democrat be willing to deal on Social Security? It makes no sense, whatsoever.

If Carper, Lieberman, or any other Senate Dem caves on this issue, a primary challenge will not just be acceptable, it will be necessary.

GOP Rep. to Challenge Bush on Stem Cells

Cultural conservatives may have believed they won the battle over Stem Cell research on November 2, 2004 with the victory of their champion George W. Bush, but at least Republican Congressman is poised to continue the fight. Amy Fagan of The Washington Times (which I am loath to cite) has the scoop:

A Republican congressman will try to repeal President Bush's policy on embryonic stem-cell research when the House Energy and Commerce committee considers a bill to reauthorize the National Institutes of Health budget.

Rep. Charles Bass, New Hampshire Republican, will offer a proposal to repeal the policy Mr. Bush outlined in an August 2001 speech.

[...]

Supporters of the bill say embryonic stem-cell research holds the key to breakthrough cures and that the government should invest as much as possible in it. Their effort to roll back Mr. Bush's policy appears to have momentum, but conservative forces are gearing up to fight it.

"We will be up on the Hill stopping Mr. Bass' bill," said Connie Mackey, vice president for governmental relations at the Family Research Council. "We are preparing what we can to stop him in that effort."
The Democrats can't fight the President on Stem Cell research alone and stand any chance of winning; they simply do not have the requisite votes. With the help of Republicans like Bass, though, there is a chance -- however small -- that real change can occur.

Bonus Quote of the Day

"We've had more mudslides than the Bush twins on spring break."

-- Bill Maher, on the weather in California, on HBO's Real Time
Link.

Quote of the Day

"He's not as easy to watch as [Peter] Jennings or [Tom] Brokaw."

-- Mike Wallace, of 60 Minutes fame, on Dan Rather
Link.

Oy

From Reuters:

A suicide bomber detonated a car near police recruits and a crowded market south of Baghdad Monday, killing 115 people and wounding 148 in the single bloodiest attack in Iraq since the fall of Saddam Hussein.

The bomber blew the car up next to a line of recruits waiting at a health center to take an eye test so they could join the Iraqi police force in the town of Hilla, 100 km (62 miles) south of the capital, witnesses said.
With all of my heart, I hope things begin to improve in Iraq. Elections are not the panacea for the systematic problems in the country, and many of these issues will only be addressed when an international effort commences.

Sunday, February 27, 2005

Bush Approval at 46%

This isn't where Bush thought he'd be at this point in his second term.

The same survey found the President's job approval rating falling to 46% after hovering around 49% to 50% since the November election.

[...]

Pollster John Zogby: "The President has had wonderful opportunities in the past four months to build a majority coalition, but he has not done so. Even with elections in Iraq and democracy spreading in Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Lebanon and Palestine—all consistent with the President's goals in his inaugural—the President's numbers have plummeted.

"The good news for Mr. Bush is that the Democrats have no majority coalition either. Even though they receive good marks for healthcare and jobs, where is their alternative plan? They even outscore the President on foreign policy. What foreign policy? We are right back where we have been for the past two years: an evenly-divided nation and neither side hugging the center to get a majority. This isn't gridlock and stalemate, this is the politics of checkmate. The only winners in this poll are the third parties—who would get more votes today than on November 2.

"As for the War in Iraq, our polling just before the war in March 2003 showed support would plummet with the loss of hundreds of American lives and thousands of Iraqi civilian casualties."
Check out the link for more details.

DeLay Associate Goes to Trial

Tom DeLay might not be in trouble yet, but a number of his key associates might be soon. As The New York Times' Philip Shenon reports, justice might finally prevail in the case of the men who helped DeLay steal aseven House seats this year.

A civil trial scheduled to open here on Monday involving allegations of illegal campaign contributions to Republican members of the Texas House is likely to attract almost as much attention in the halls of Congress as it will on the floor of the State Legislature.

The reason is the House majority leader, Tom DeLay, the Texas Republican who is among the most powerful men on Capitol Hill and his party's most potent fund-raiser in Congress. While not named as a defendant in the civil trial or placed on the witness list, Mr. DeLay is still likely to find himself a focus of attention in the Travis County courthouse, with Congressional Democrats looking for any sign that his legal troubles back home could be widening.

[...]

The trial in Travis County, which includes most of the state capital, Austin, was prompted by a lawsuit brought by defeated Democratic candidates who charged that political operatives of Mr. DeLay used illegal fund-raising tactics to engineer a Republican takeover of the Legislature. The takeover benefited Mr. DeLay and his colleagues in Washington by enabling Texas Republicans to redraw Congressional districts, solidifying Republican control of the House.

Two of Mr. DeLay's major political operatives in Washington and another political ally in Texas were indicted last year in the grand jury investigation, accused of participating in what local prosecutors described as a scheme to make illegal corporate donations to Republican candidates for the Legislature.
The heat is being turned up on Tom DeLay and it's great to see him squirm.

If it Matters to Oregonians...

... it's in The Washington Post. Well, not always. But the Post does have a front page article in Monday's paper on the decline of Oregon's once stringent land usage laws. In "Anti-Sprawl Laws, Property Rights Collide in Oregon", Blaine Harden writes:

The property-rights law, which was approved overwhelmingly by voters last fall and is known as Measure 37, is on the brink of wrecking Oregon's best-in-the-nation record of reining in sprawl, according to state officials and national planning experts. They say the new law illustrates a nationwide paradox in public opinion: While voters tend to favor protection of farmland and open space, they vote down these protections if they perceive them as restrictions on personal rights.

[...]

Measure 37 was sold to voters last year as a matter of fairness. On ubiquitous radio ads, the frail, woebegone voice of Dorothy English, who bought land in 1953, explained how land-use laws had blocked her from dividing up her 40 acres for her children. "I'm 91 years old, my husband is dead and I don't know how much longer I can fight," she said. The ballot measure won with 61 percent of the vote.

State financial records, though, show that small family farmers contributed virtually nothing to the Family Farm Preservation political action committee that bankrolled Measure 37. Most of the money came from timber companies and real estate interests that stand to profit if, as many here expect, large tracts of forests and farmland are unlocked for development.

This mirrors a national pattern, according to Jacobs, at the University of Wisconsin. He says that property rights campaigns are often sold to voters as compensation for struggling small landholders, while the support money comes from large companies seeking ways around regulations that limit resource extraction and property development.
Right wingers shrouding their support of anti-government measures under the banner of "the litle people." That's something new.

Yet Another Poll

This news, from Donkey Rising, via MyDD:

A newly-released poll for National Public Radio gives Democratic congressional candidates an early lead in the 2006 congressional campaign. The poll, conducted by Public Opinion Strategies and Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research 2/15-17 indicated that 42 percent of repondents would vote for the Democratic candidate and 36 percent would vote for the Republican candidate in their district, "if the election for Congress were held today."

The 6 point Democratic advantage was in line with a GQRR poll conducted in January that gave the Dems a 5 point advantage in '06. A December Ipsos-Public Affairs poll gave the Dems a 7 point advantage in response to the question "And if the election for congress were held today, would you want to see the Republicans or Democrats win control of Congress?"
Such polls are largely meaningless as Americans don't vote for parties but rather for individual politicians. What's more, standing at 42 percent is not standing at 50 percent. That having been said, I'd rather be up 6 than down 6 at this point in the game.

Will the Big Kulongoski Run?

It's always interesting to see the mau-mauing done by politicians who are clearly running for reelection but nevertheless want to appear undecided on the matter. Prime example: Oregon's governor Ted Kulongoski. The AP's Charles E. Beggs has the story:

Gov. Ted Kulongoski is planning on running for a second term, a key adviser, Peter Bragdon, said.

There have been rumors that the Democrat might choose against running for re-election in 2006 because he has not said with certainty that he will. But all the signs point to Kulongoski as a candidate.

He has formed a political committee called Kulongoski for Governor 2006 that's raising money for a campaign.

It's overseen by Bragdon, who was Kulongoski's chief of staff until mid-2004.

Bragdon said Kulongoski was making re-election plans as early as last summer, when Bragdon left the governor's office to return to private business.

"When I walked out the door, he asked me to take the lead in pulling together his operation" for a campaign, Bragdon said.

Kulongoski has recruited a campaign manager -- Paige Richardson, director of John Kerry's presidential campaign in Oregon last year. She managed the campaign of Bev Stein, who ran for governor against Kulongoski in the 2002 Democratic primary.

Kulongoski has not yet said whether he's going to run.
It's relatively clear Governor Kulongoski will seek another term even though he "has not yet said whether he's going to run." He'll be tough to knock off either in a primary or a general election because although he hasn't passed any landmark bills, he also hasn't done much to offend the electorate. It won't be a cakewalk, but it shouldn't be the toughest race in the nation either.

Quote of the Day

"Republicans at their town halls are getting treated like off-pitch singers on the Gong Show and the Democrats should cut a phase-out deal that gives the president what until a couple months ago was supposed to be all that he wanted (i.e., 2 percent of payroll)?"

-- Joshua Micah Marshall of Talking Points Memo, on the battle over Social Security
Link.

Saturday, February 26, 2005

Article of the Week

This week's must-read article belongs to Richard W. Stevenson of The New York Times. In "For Bush, a Long Embrace of Social Security Plan" Steveson explains that the President's desire to privatize Social Security is nothing new. Here are the key grafs:

Mr. Bush had long been intrigued by the idea of allowing workers to put part of their Social Security taxes into stocks and bonds. One Tuesday in the summer of 1978, in the heat of his unsuccessful race for a House seat from West Texas, Mr. Bush went to Midland Country Club to give a campaign speech to local real estate agents and discussed the issue in terms not much different from those he uses now.

Social Security "will be bust in 10 years unless there are some changes," he said, according to an account published the next day in The Midland Reporter-Telegram. "The ideal solution would be for Social Security to be made sound and people given the chance to invest the money the way they feel."

Two decades later, Mr. Bush's desire to change Social Security intersected with the promotion of private accounts by well-financed interest groups and conservative research organizations, which viewed the concept as innovative if ideologically explosive. What was once a fringe proposal has been propelled to the forefront of the national agenda in one of the biggest gambles of Mr. Bush's political career, and in one of the most concerted challenges since the New Deal to liberal assumptions about the relationship of individuals, the government and the market.
This is the type of information you can get over at Josh Marshall's Talking Points Memo, but it's great to see it in the pages of The Times. Make sure to check it out to get an understanding of Bush's fascination with privatizing America's signature program.

GOP Governors Push Back on Medicaid Cuts

Although the President and the Republican Congress seem poised to raid Medicaid funding, GOP Governors around the nation are not standing for it. The New York Times' Robert Pear reports:

Alarmed by soaring Medicaid costs, the nation's governors say they are enchanted with some of President Bush's proposals to restructure the program, but they adamantly oppose budget cuts sought by the White House and Republican leaders of Congress.

[...]

Republican governors, like Democrats, reject President Bush's proposals to cut back federal contributions to Medicaid, which is financed jointly by the federal government and the states, at a cost exceeding $300 billion a year.

"Simply cutting the Medicaid budget is unacceptable," said Gov. Mike Huckabee of Arkansas, a Republican who is vice chairman of the governors association. [emphasis added]
Republicans standing up to the President? Perhaps it won't be so easy for the President and the Republican Congress to bilk money from the nation's poor after all...

Who's Running for President in 2008?

The Washington Post's Dana Milbank takes a gander at possible contenders out of the nation's 50 governors:

Republicans

Arnold Schwarzenegger (Calif): Needs constitutional amendment -- quickly.

Mitt Romney (Mass.): Prettier than John Edwards.

George E. Pataki (N.Y.) : He'll have to outfox Rudy.

Jeb Bush (Fla.): Many hope he'll break his promise not to run.

Haley Barbour (Miss.): Deep ties to Washington steakhouse of dubious value.

Mike Huckabee (Ark.): Recent weight loss increases speculation.

Mark Sanford (S.C.): Can't run if his friend John McCain does.

Bill Owens (Colo.): Embarrassed by Democratic victories in his state in '04.

Democrats

Tom Vilsack (Iowa): Early favorite to win the Iowa caucuses.

Mark R. Warner (Va.): A southern Democrat.

Phil Bredesen (Tenn.): Could do better in his state than Al Gore did.

Bill Richardson (N.M.): Dogged by his Energy Department tenure.

Jennifer M. Granholm (Mich.): Waiting for the Schwarzenegger amendment to pass.

Janet Napolitano (Ariz.): Her home state may be too red for Democrats to win.

Rod Blagojevich (Ill.): His home state may be too blue to matter.
Governor's have tended to do well in Presidential races, winning every contest since 1976, with the exception of 1988. It might be wise, then, for either party to nominate a governor in 2008.

Oregon's Budget Situation a Little Less Sticky

In almost every Oregon budget in the last 15 years the state legislature has been forced to make cuts which eventually prove deadly to state social services. This year the decisions might not be quite as tough as previously expected, however. The Oregonian's James Mayer has the story from Salem.

Oregon lawmakers basked in waves of welcome news Friday.

First, a new revenue estimate promised $202 million more for the state budget. And they dodged a $113 million bullet when the Oregon Supreme Court ruled that the Legislature's decision four years ago to keep a portion of the income-tax kicker rebate was legal.

"All of a sudden, we have more money on the table than we ever dreamed of," said Senate President Peter Courtney, D-Salem. "I can at last hope again."
There are still tough decisions to be made, and the state will still be close to a billion dollars short of maintaining current spending levels, but with this added revenue the cuts might not hurt quite as much.

Oy

And the situation in Iraq continues to deterioate...

A major oil fire raged Saturday after insurgents blew up a pipeline in the north of the country. The family of an anchorwoman for a U.S.-funded state television station — a mother of four who was repeatedly shot in the head — found her body dumped on a street in the northern city of Mosul.

Insurgents, meanwhile, killed two civilians in a roadside bombing west of Baghdad, a suicide car bomber killed an Iraqi national guardsman and injured 7 people southwest of the capital and the U.S. military announced the death Friday an American soldier killed in a massive security sweep in the Sunni Triangle.

As part of the offensive, residents in Ramadi, the Sunni-dominated city 70 miles west of Baghdad, reported clashes between insurgents and American forces, but the military provided no details. U.S. troops have been conducting an offensive in the region for nearly a week.
Link.

I certainly hope and pray the situation in Iraq will improve, though I'm skeptical it will.

Saturday Afternoon Fun

I'm spending a little time catching up on Frank Capra. At this hour, Mr. Smith Goes to Washington, a real classic if you ask me. Later on, it will be It Happened One Night, another Capra gem.

Quote of the Day

"The Social Security trust fund really does exist."

-- David Espo, Special Correspondent to the AP covering Social Security.
Link.

Schweitzer Gets it Right in Dems' Weekly Address

It's not often that the weekly address by either party is meaningful to many Americans, but today's Democratic speech by Montana Governor Brian Schweitzer should hit home to many Americans. The AP has the story:

The Bush administration cites public safety in trying to block admission of cheaper prescription drugs from Canada, but has agreed to expand imports of Canadian beef and cattle despite cases of mad cow disease, Montana's Democratic governor complained Saturday.

"President Bush was recently here in Montana and we had just one question for him," Gov. Brian Schweitzer said in his party's weekly radio address. "Why allow bad beef to enter the U.S. from Canada and not allow safe medicine?"

Schweitzer, who was elected in November as the state's first Democratic governor in 16 years, has been a staunch proponent of allowing drug imports from Canada, saying they could dramatically cut costs for senior citizens and others on fixed incomes.

[...]

During an earlier, unsuccessful campaign for a Senate seat, Schweitzer became known for chartering buses to take older people to Canada to buy their prescription drugs.

He said he often gave those on board clipboards and asked them to make note of the number of Canadian trucks headed into the United States carrying cattle, hogs and lumber.

"Yet prescription drugs made in the U.S., shipped to Canada, aren't allowed back across the border. This makes no sense," Schweitzer said.
I agree with Gary Hart that much of the Democratic Party's strength in the coming years will come from the west. Schweitzer -- and his state Montana -- embody this. In his 2000 Senate bid, Schweitzer was relatively unknown but got 48% against an incumbent; this year, he won the governorship by four points. If he can use his popularity to boost the Democratic Senatorial candidate this year, there's a very good chance that incumbent Republican Conrad Burns will be defeated.

Friday, February 25, 2005

Who's On This Sunday Morning?

For everyone who wants their politics on Meet The Press instead of The Oscars this Sunday [from The Post]...

FOX NEWS SUNDAY: Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.); Cardinal Francis George of Chicago; and Ray Flynn, former U.S. ambassador to the Vatican.

THIS WEEK (ABC): Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger (R-Calif.) and Democratic strategist Donna Brazile.

FACE THE NATION (CBS): Sens. John E. Sununu (R-N.H.) and Jon S. Corzine (D-N.J.); and former national security adviser Zbigniew Brzezinski.

MEET THE PRESS (NBC): Sens. Rick Santorum (R-Pa.) and Joseph R. Biden Jr. (D-Del.).

LATE EDITION (CNN): Sens. Arlen Specter (R-Pa.) and Lindsey O. Graham (R-S.C.); Rep. Jane Harman (D-Calif.); German Ambassador Wolfgang Ischinger; French Ambassador Jean-David Levitte; British Ambassador David Manning; Brzezinski; and former defense secretary William S. Cohen.
Is McCain on every week?

Will the FCC Actually do its Job?

FCC Chairman Michael Powell has shown a unique knack for shirking the real responsibilities of the agency in favor of imposing a conservative agenda on the media. At the prodding of an enterprising lawyer and a tough reporter for The New York Times, though, Powell has been forced into action to uphold the basic tenets of United States communications law. The Times' Stephen Labaton has the story:

The Federal Communications Commission, in an abrupt about-face, has decided to reconsider a staff decision that allowed a prominent Oklahoma politician convicted of perjury and obstruction of justice to sell a group of radio stations, officials said on Friday.

The decision to approve the sale was considered by some media experts to be a significant deregulation of the broadcast ownership rules, because the agency has long required the forfeiture of radio licenses to the commission by those who fail a character test. The character test, which requires truthfulness in dealing with the government, is an integral part of the media rules, because owners of radio licenses hold a public trust and are obliged to act in "the public interest."

The commission had never considered a case involving a conviction of perjury before a federal agency, according to officials.

But the commission has revoked licenses for a variety of other crimes, from sexual abuse of a minor to fraud to dealing in illegal narcotics. The character guidelines also make clear that truthfulness is a central element of the rules.
One of the largely unnoticed changes made by the Bush administration has come in the field of media regulation. On one hand, almost all limits on corporate ownership have been removed, enabling levels of consolidation that drastically reduce real choice. On the other hand, Bush and Powell have acted with unnecessary force to prohibit "indecency." It is thus refreshing to see Powell actually doing his job now -- even if he is slated to leave next month (which we're all happy to see).

New Poll Looks Bad for Bush

It's tough to come home from Europe to face poor approval ratings, but that's something President Bush will have to do. The AP has the story:

A majority of Americans now say they believe U.S. troops will have to stay in Iraq for at least two more years, compared with 44 percent of people who felt that way last summer, a poll released Thursday finds.

The Jan. 30 elections in Iraq appear to have improved perceptions in the United States about the possibility of a stable Iraq, according to a poll by the Pew Research Center for the People & the Press. But that has not convinced the public that U.S. troops are coming home any sooner.

The poll found that 54 percent of those surveyed think U.S. troops will have to stay in Iraq for two more years, while 22 percent put the time at longer than five years.

[...]

The poll found that President Bush’s overall approval rate was 46 percent, compared with 50 percent in January. Bush’s approval rate on Iraq was 40 percent, compared with 45 percent in January.
Ouch. 46 percent approval. That's rough.

Oy Vey!

This is terrible news.

A suicide bomber blew himself up among Israelis waiting outside a nightclub near Tel Aviv's beachfront promenade just before midnight Friday, killing several people, wounding dozens and shattering an unofficial Mideast truce.

The area was crowded with young Israelis. About 20 to 30 people were waiting to get into the "Stage" club on Herbert Samuel street, close to the promenade. "I was near the club. There were about 20 people outside. Suddenly, there was an enormous explosion," said a witness, identified only as Tsahi.

There was no immediate claim of responsibility. However, militants in the Al Aqsa Martyrs' Brigades, a violent group with ties to Palestinian leader Mahmoud Abbas' Fatah movement, said the Lebanese guerrilla group Hezbollah was involved in the attack.
Link.

I sincerely hope this does not curtail the peace process, though I'm afraid it will. For now, our thoughts and prayers are with the victims and their families.

Largest Jewish Group to Support Stem-Cell Research

Forward's E.J. Kessler has the story about the support for stem-cell research by America's largest Jewish organization in this week's issue.

In a move that is likely to bring it into conflict with Catholic and Evangelical Christian groups, the largest Jewish organization in America is launching a push for pro-stem-cell-research legislation in state houses around the country.

Hadassah, the 300,000-member women's Zionist organization, is bringing hundreds of advocates to the capitals of 47 states this spring to agitate for legislation authorizing state funding for stem-cell research, which scientists hope will lead to cures for many chronic diseases, including Parkinson's and Alzheimer's.

Hadassah has identified 10 states — including Connecticut, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Missouri, Florida and Maryland — as the central focus of its effort. The organization will launch their new campaign with a March 1 trip to Albany, during which Hadassah members will make their case to New York lawmakers.

[...]

Hadassah's advocacy of stem-cell research is not incidental: The group supports the Hadassah Medical Center, located in Jerusalem, at which advanced stem-cell research is conducted.

"This goes to the core of Hadassah's mission because Hadassah is a world leader in stem-cell research at our hospital in Israel," Klein said. "We have a hundred-year history of advocating for health. Our position is not a partisan issue. It's about saving lives. As a Jewish women's organization, we want to make the point that religions aren't monolithic about this. There are plenty of religious voices on the side of stem-cell research."
It's good to see some religious groups realizing that there is morality behind finding cures to terrible diseases.

Campaign News

The Washington Post's Michael D. Shear reports on this major development out of Virginia.

Sen. H. Russell Potts Jr., a Republican from Winchester, plans to announce Friday morning that he is mounting an independent bid for governor but will not formally leave the party he says is gripped by conservative social issues and anti-tax rhetoric.

Potts, an irascible politician who has become a voice of the GOP moderates as chairman of the Senate's Education and Health Committee, has scheduled a news conference at the State Capitol to announce his decision.

He declined to comment publicly Thursday, but aides and colleagues said Potts has informed them that he is certain to run as an "independent Republican" in the 2005 campaign.

[...]

His entry will transform the Virginia governor's campaign into a three-way race between Potts and the two likely major-party candidates, former attorney general Jerry W. Kilgore (R) and Lt. Gov. Timothy M. Kaine (D).

Some political observers said Potts could hand the race to Kaine if enough voters see the Winchester senator as an alternative to Kilgore's conservative policies.
What's more, if enough moderate Republicans choose to forsake their party's gubernatorial candidate, they very well might consider not voting for the GOP candidate for US Senate, Sen. George Allen, as he possibly matches up against popular Governor Mark Warner.

The Houston Chronicle's Kristen Mack has some news out of Texas.

His friends have called him crazy.

But Chris Bell doesn't care. He's formed an exploratory committee for the 2006 governor's race anyway.

The Houston Democrat, defeated last year after a single term in the U.S. House, admits he has a lot of work ahead of him. Not only will he have to build his name recognition statewide, but he's also considering a run when no Democrat holds a statewide office.

Though Republicans call it wishful thinking, Democrats hope the state's growing Hispanic population will fuel a comeback by the party as soon as 2008 or perhaps by 2012.
Bell, of course, was defeated because of Tom DeLay's corrupt mid-census redistricting, perhaps allowing the conservative Democrat to run as an outsider in the race. Even more important is the bloody primary battle that should ensue in the GOP as Governor Rick Perry squares up with Senator Kay Bailey Hutchison. If either one emerges from the primary too battered, there is a chance Bell will be able to pick up the statehouse.

Another Descent in Political Discourse

A far right-wing group is comparing Sen. Howard Stephenson, R-Draper, to Osama bin Laden in a new flier that says: "Not all terrorists wear turbans."
-- Thomas Burr, The Salt Lake Tribune, "Attack compares senator to terrorist", February 25, 2005

60 Minutes to Carry "Bombshell Claims"

On Sunday night while the Oscars are roaring on another channel, CBS' 60 Minutes will air a shocking piece that could let the American people know why Watergate happened. The New York Post's Neil Graves has the story:

In new bombshell claims, a former Watergate investigator says the break-in was motivated by President Nixon's paranoia that the Democrats would find out that he had taken a $50,000 bribe from Howard Hughes.

Terry Lenzner, revealing fresh details after more than 30 years, told "60 Minutes" that Nixon was obsessed with finding out whether Democratic National Committee boss Larry O'Brien knew that the billionaire recluse had sent him a stash of cash.

The money — delivered in a bulging envelope — was spent on a putting green and a pool table at Nixon's Florida residence, investigators believe.

"I am absolutely certain it was a significant part of the president's thinking that [finding out what the Democrats knew had] to be done," Lenzner told correspondent Lesley Stahl in a broadcast to be aired Sunday.
I suppose this means I'll have to turn away from the Oscars for 15 minutes on Sunday...

Ridge Rewarded for Hocking Duct Tape

Then-Secretary of Homeland Defense created quite a stir two years ago when he told Americans to stock up on a number of supplies in case of a terrorist attack, including duct tape. Now, his salesman skills will be put to task once again. Cox News Service has the story:

The nation's former security chief, Tom Ridge, will champion duct tape once again -- this time as a director on Home Depot's board.

Atlanta-based Home Depot, the nation's largest home improvement retailer with 1,892 stores, appointed Ridge to its board yesterday, replacing Roger Penske, who steps down when his term expires in May.

Ridge, 59, former secretary of the Department of Homeland Security and governor of Pennsylvania, is expected to lend cachet to Home Depot's board just as the chain looks to China for growth.

[...]

Home Depot chief Bob Nardelli is a big supporter of -- and contributor to -- the Republican Party.
The revolving door swings quickly these days.

Oy

A roadside bomb killed three U.S. soldiers and wounded eight others north of Baghdad on Friday, the military said, while the government announced the capture of three figures associated with Iraq's bloody insurgency.

[...]

The attack, which occurred around midday in Tarmiyah, about 20 miles north of the capital, raised the U.S. military death toll in Iraq to at least 1,489, according to an Associated Press count since the war began in March 2003. On Thursday, the military said three U.S. soldiers were killed in separate attacks.
Link.

Thursday, February 24, 2005

Should SSA Officials Push for Privatization

The New York Times' Anne E. Kornblut reports, you decide.

James B. Lockhart III, the deputy commissioner at the Social Security Administration, said Thursday that he had appeared with four Republican members in recent days to provide information, not to endorse the diversion of some payroll taxes to personal accounts.

But several Democrats are objecting to Mr. Lockhart's role in an aggressive campaign to promote administration proposals for restructuring Social Security.

"The administration is running one of the most sophisticated grassroots lobbying strategies in history, and they are using federal employees and taxpayer dollars to do it," said Senator Frank R. Lautenberg, Democrat of New Jersey. "Social Security employees should be spending their time serving the needs of Social Security recipients, not advancing a political agenda."

Senator Charles E. Schumer, Democrat of New York, said the agency "is supposed to serve all the people and should not be giving the appearance that it is taking sides."

"It is absolutely inappropriate for officials from the Social Security Administration to hit the hustings in support of the president's plan," Mr. Schumer said in a statement.
It's a tough issue. On one hand, you have officials of an agency calling for their agency's privatization and on the other hand you have ethics. In Bush's Washington, which one will win out?

The Left Gets Its Act Together on Soc. Sec.

It has certainly taken long enough. With numerous corporate-funded conservative groups pledging to dump tens of millions of dollars in the effort to partially privatize Social Security, a group has finally arisen from the liberal wings to coordinate the defense of FDR's signature program. The Washington Post's Jeffrey H. Birnbaum has the scoop:

The battle lines in the coming war over Social Security have finally been drawn with the creation last week of a new umbrella group that will coordinate attacks on President Bush's drive to create personal investment accounts.

At the urging of Democratic leaders in Congress, a few political campaign veterans have formed Americans United to Protect Social Security. The nonprofit organization with close ties to organized labor plans to raise $25 million to $50 million to pressure lawmakers to vote against Bush's proposal.

[...]

About 200 organizations will coordinate their efforts through the new group. The Media Fund, which raised and spent millions of dollars on anti-Bush advertisements last year, is considering joining, according to one of its principals, Harold Ickes, a former deputy chief of staff to President Bill Clinton.

The largest single opponent of the president's plan, the seniors lobby AARP, will operate separately.
It looks like the left has finally figured out the gravity of the situation. The future of the Democratic party and, more importantly, the future of America is at stake, so $50 million dollars is quite insignificant in the long run.

A Poll!

It's not election season any more, so polling data is not plentiful. However, whenever we hear about a poll here at Basie!, we try and pass it along. National Journal's Poll Track (subscription required) passes on this latest poll from Zogby:

A Zogby survey conducted for the Democratic firm WhatsNext Communications shows [Hillary] Clinton with a big lead on the overall 2008 field -- both women and men. When asked who they would vote for if the Democratic primary were held today, 32 percent of respondents named the New York senator. (John Kerry came in second with 16 percent and former Vice President Al Gore earned 12 percent. Former vice-presidential candidate John Edwards -- who some think has already started campaigning for the ticket's top spot in 2008 -- got 9 percent of the vote.)
Also in the mix: Howard Dean at 7%, Bill Richardson with 5%, Wesley Clark and Evan Bayh with 3% apiece, and Russ Feingold at 1%. The race for the Democratic nomination is far from over and undoubtedly a name not polled will seemingly come out of nowhere to gain substantial support, perhaps even enough to win the race.

[Update 3:17 PM Pacific]: For the Clarkies in the audience, there is some good news from this poll. When asked "Who do you believe is the best Democrat to defeat a Republican nominee, like John McCain or Rudy Giuliani, in 2008?", Independents put Clark (12%) second to Clinton (24%).

Frist's "Nuclear Option" in Jeopardy

Perhaps Arlen Specter's victory this fall wasn't so bad for progressives (I certainly supported him over his Democratic rival). As CQ Today's Midday Update (free email service) reports, Specter appears to relish being a thorn in the side of the right as it tries to rid the Senate of filibusters.

Senate Judiciary Committee Chairman Arlen Specter said today that he will "exercise every last ounce of my energy" to strike a deal with Democrats on President Bush's judicial nominations. Majority Leader Bill Frist, R-Tenn., has threatened to execute a parliamentary move that has become known as the "nuclear option" to short-circuit Democratic filibusters of Bush's judicial picks. Frist would need the support of at least half the senators present and voting in one or more procedural votes. It is not clear Frist has the votes he needs. Specter, R-Pa., has avoided taking a public position on the "nuclear option," but he is clearly reluctant to see the Senate's tradition of minority rights eroded. "I think historically if you were to flash ahead 100 years from now, this controversy over judges would be miniscule. It would not be a major matter in the life of the country. But minority rights are," Specter said.
It's good to see that there are a few Republicans who remeber life in the minority and realize that although there would be short-term benefits to getting rid of the filibuster, the long-range problems would be immense. Kudos to Specter for standing up to his party on this issue.

New Link in the Blogroll

I just wanted to let you know about a new link in the blogroll: Voices of Reason. It's a nice site and you should consider checking it out.

Talon News is Down for the Count

The conservative website GOPUSA has shut down its "news" division today in the wake of the Jeff Gannon/J.D. Guckert scandal. Here's the story, according to Editor & Publisher.

First it lost "Jeff Gannon" as its White House correspondent. Then it scrubbed all of his articles from its site. Now Talon News is going dark.

The Web site, closely linked to Texas Republican activist Bobby Eberle and his GOPUSA.com, posted a message on its home page today announcing that Talon was going offline for, as it said, a "top-to-bottom" review.

James Guckert, better known by his pen name Jeff Gannon, got press credentials for two years at the White House under his alias, first under the auspices of GOPUSA, then Talon News. He has since been linked to male escorts sites and has refused to deny working as a prostitute, most recently on this morning's NBC "Today" show.
For an excellent take on the subject, check out Bill Maher's meme on Guckert.

Oy

A man wearing a police uniform drove a car bomb inside the main police compound in Saddam Hussein's hometown north of Baghdad on Thursday, setting off a massive explosion that killed 15 police and wounded 22, officials and witnesses said.

At least four other police were killed in separate attacks across the country, including another suicide car bomb assault on a police convoy in Iskandariyah, 30 miles south of the capital.

In the capital, gunmen opened fire on a bakery in eastern Baghdad, killing two people and wounding a third, police said.
Link.

Bush's Troubles with Bipartisanship

One of the real problems with being the most partisan President in decades is that after a time, members of the other side no longer trusts you, and are thus unwilling to help you destroy their party. Such is the case for George W. Bush as he seeks to privatize Social Security, as USA Today's Andrea Stone notes:

The debate over changing Social Security can be a mind-numbing actuarial exercise, with calculations and projections that reach into the trillions of dollars and unfold over decades. But for President Bush, the most important number right now might be one.

That's how many Democrats he needs - and still lacks - to claim that his plan is bipartisan.

"This can't be done without Democrats," says Norm Ornstein, a congressional scholar at the American Enterprise Institute, a conservative think tank here. "They need the political cover of both parties."

[...]

But some moderates who have voted at times with the president, such as Sen. Mary Landrieu of Louisiana, may be wary of crossing party lines again. Landrieu was one of nine Senate Democrats to vote for Bush's 10-year, $1.35 trillion tax cut in 2001. The next year, Republicans spent millions - unsuccessfully - to oust her.
Bush must have thought he was an extremely shrewd politician when he wooed Landrieu throughout 2001 and early 2002 before stabbing her in the back during the general election. Maybe such a blindly partisan move won't help him in the long run, though...

Quote of the Day

"[He's] not some wild-eyed, left-wing nut."

-- Senate Minority Leader Harry Reid (D-NV) defending new DNC Chair Howard Dean
Link.

Pennsylvania Politics Report

There's quite a bit of political news out of Pennsylvania this morning, new major pieces of which come from the aptly-dubbed PoliticsPA.com. First, a new Demcoratic poll shows uber-conservative Senator Rick Santorum in a bucket of trouble in his bid for reelection.

Barbara Hafer and conducted by Fairbank, Maslin, Maullin & Associates shows the Republican-turned-Democrat former Treasurer Barbara Hafer tied 44- 44 with Senator Rick Santorum in a hypothetical matchup. The poll shows Santorum losing to Treasuer Bobby Casey Jr. 40-47.
[more on the poll here]

In other news from the Keystone state, PoliticsPA.com reports that Hall of Fame wide receiver Lynn Swann has set up an "exploratory committee" to look into a possible run at the Republican gubernatorial nomination. Says Swann,

Over the course of the next several months, I will begin to have a conversation with the people of Pennsylvania regarding a potential campaign. I will spend time introducing myself to communities across the Commonwealth, and listening to the people of Pennsylvania. As I consider my personal decision regarding the upcoming gubernatorial race, we will also explore the potential political and financial support for my candidacy. With the support of friends and family, I have authorized the formation of "Team 88" to help accomplish these goals.
As I've said before, it's about time for parties to stop nominating celebrities for office just because of their name recognition. Perhaps Swann could be an effective Governor some day, but with no previous experience save for catching a football for the Pittsburgh Steelers, maybe he should aim a little lower first: a state Senate seat, for instance.

Wednesday, February 23, 2005

The Washington Hollywood Connection

This time, it's going in the other direction. US News and World Report's Washington Whispers column passes on this entertainment news:

Usually Hollywood borrows from Washington for on-screen drama, but now studios and stars are using cutthroat political campaign strategies to win the Oscar. The latest twist: Washington-trained campaign strategists have been hired for the battle for best actress. Insiders say they're involved in a vicious whispering, E-mail, and rumor campaign to help--or sink--Hilary Swank, star of Warner Bros.' Million Dollar Baby, and Annette Bening, star of Sony's Being Julia. It's so hot, said one consultant, that the attacks could lead to a surprise winner.
Is there a point at which the politicization of America goes too far? If the answer is yes, is this that point?

Progressive Groups Join Soc. Sec. Fight

The battle for the future of Social Security is perhaps the most important political moment in a generation. With business interests pledging to dump tens of millions of unrestricted dollars into the campaign to privatize the program, it's about time progressive groups got active. The New York Times' Sheryl Gay Stolberg and Richard W. Stevenson has the story:

The public relations war over President Bush's Social Security plan escalated on Wednesday, as a liberal advocacy group attacked the Republican chairman of the House Social Security subcommittee, and conservative groups fought among themselves over strategy.

The advocacy group, Campaign for America's Future, accused the subcommittee chairman, Representative Jim McCrery of Louisiana, of conflict of interest, saying he had accepted nearly $200,000 in contributions over four years from securities firms and commercial banks that could benefit from Mr. Bush's plan to let workers invest in retirement accounts.

On Thursday, the group will begin running newspaper advertisements against Mr. McCrery under the headline "Who Does This Man Work For?" in his hometown, Shreveport. In addition, it is using the Internet to raise money for television advertisements.
Unless the left understands that this is not just a battle for the future of America but also the future of progressivism itself, it's going to be a tough fight. This is a good start, though.

Blogging on the Hill

New York Times technology reporter Brian Wingfield has an extremely interesting article in Thursday's issue on the new big thing in Congress: blogging.

The nonprofit Congressional Management Foundation, which helps educate Congress on running its business, says at least four members - Mr. Pence; Representatives Mark Kirk, Republican of Illinois, and Katherine Harris, Republican of Florida; and Senator Patrick J. Leahy, Democrat of Vermont - have taken up the task on a continuing basis. (Others have used temporary blogs to document trips, said Brad Fitch, the foundation's deputy director.)

The Congressional bloggers praise the power, popularity and potential of blogging, citing it as one of the most frequently visited parts of their Congressional Web sites.

"It shows your constituents that you're going to be updating your Web site regularly, and the next time they log on, they will see something new," Mr. Kirk said.

While popular political blogs like Wonkette, MyDD and Daily Kos serve as an alternative to traditional news sources and allow their authors to purvey commentary, Congressional blogs are extremely tame. In many cases, staff members - not the legislators themselves - post entries, and they rarely link to other blogs, as most blogs do.

[...]

At this stage, he added, members of Congress are primarily experimenting with blogs as a creative means to reach voters, not as a way to attract the attention of the blogosphere - the bloggers' realm, which can sometimes be an incubator of ideas and news. "The Hill has yet to really reach that level of sophistication" with the Internet, he said, but "there are people that do get it."
Blogging can be great for the American Democracy, even if it's now in it's infancy on the Hill. The more interaction the American people can have with their representatives, the more responsive Congress will be to the will of the American people.

Senate Dems Hit Back Even Harder

Last night we passed on the story that the Senate Democrats would be taking their case for protecting Social Security to the American people. Today, we find out that the Dems won't just be pushing their side of the story, they'll be hammering the Republicans who support privatization. Taegan Goddard has this story from the subscription only Roll Call:

"Senate Democratic leaders will target two Republican leaders seeking re-election in 2006 by visiting their states in a two-day blitz next week that’s designed to drum up opposition to President Bush’s effort to overhaul Social Security," Roll Call reports.

"Specifically, Democrats will single out Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum (R) and Arizona Sen. Jon Kyl (R) for seconding Bush’s contention that the system is in “crisis” — a notion Democrats roundly dispute."

"Democrats say they plan to mount vigorous challenges to both GOP Senators in 2006, in a bid to wrest control of the Senate from Republican hands."
With the Democrats sitting high in Arizona and polls showing Santorum in danger of losing his seat, this looks to be an extremely shrewd move by the Dems. Nice work.

Fun Times at Basie!

We've just received our 50,000th hit here at Basie! since July 1, 2004 from just over 37,000 unique visitors. I know this isn't much compared to DailyKos' 100 million visitors, but I'm still very much appreciative of all of your support for this site.

If you have any suggestions -- what should be covered, who else should be interviewed, links that should be put up, etc. -- please let me know in the comment section of this thread. Alternatively, feel free to email me any ideas or tips. I really cannot do this without you, the reader.

Once again, thank you for visiting Basie! If you'd like to show your support for the site, consider making your Amazon purchases through my Amazon link.

Infighting in the Texas GOP

It's always amuzing to see the Republicans duke it out in an intraparty struggle for power. CQ Today's Midday Update (free email service) passes on this story out of Texas.

Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison and Gov. Rick Perry are continuing to trade "subtle and not so subtle digs" against each other as they position themselves for the 2006 Texas gubernatorial race, according to the Dallas Morning News. Hutchison was scheduled to speak at the Harris County GOP's annual dinner on Tuesday night, but hours before she took the podium, Perry released a list of endorsements from Houston-area Republican leaders. "If it sounded like the dinner's guest roster, it was no accident," reports the paper. Even county GOP chairman Jared Woodfill -- the master of ceremonies for the program -- was on the list. Hutchison has not made her candidacy official, and she did not speak directly about Perry at the dinner. But she has established a campaign team that by all counts would be overkill if she is planning to return to the Senate, the paper reports.
[Original story here]

The Democrats have had a lot of trouble in Texas ever since George W. Bush defeated Governor Ann Richards in 1994. If the (expected) primary battle between Perry and Hutchison becomes to heated, a conservative/moderate Democrat like Chris Bell or Martin Frost might be able to pick up either the governorship or the Senate seat.

Quote of the Day

"Then why did he go to the New York Times? ... he should have gone on 'This Week with George Stephanopoulos,' then he would have been sure no one would ever see them."

-- Jay Leno, on Doug Wead's claim he didn't want to make the Bush tapes public.
Link.

Schwarzenegger Now Viewed as a Politician

Once Arnold Schwarzenegger began acting like a fiercely partisan Republican, it was only time until his constituents began to view him that way. The San Francisco Chronicle's Carla Marinucci has the scoop on the latest poll out of California that does not bode too well for the Governor.

Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger's job approval ratings -- though still high -- have deflated markedly among state voters, who now see him as partisan and more tied to special interests, a new Field Poll shows.

The poll shows that 55 percent of the state's voters approve today of the job Republican Schwarzenegger is doing -- compared to 35 percent who disapprove and 11 percent who hold no opinion.

But that is a 10 percentage point drop from just six months ago, when 65 percent of the voters saw him positively and only 22 percent viewed his job performance negatively.

"Schwarzenegger's readings are coming down from the stratosphere,'' said Field Poll Director Mark DiCamillo. "It's almost like he's coming down to earth, where most politicians reside.''

In another important measure of public mood, the poll also shows that a majority of registered voters -- 53 percent -- believe the state is headed in the wrong direction, with 35 percent saying California is heading in the right direction. That is a significant increase from September, when 46 percent said the state was on the right track and just 38 percent said the wrong track.
Perhaps Californians will begin to regain their senses and realize that although Schwarzenegger portrays himself as an uncorruptible citizen, he is a politician first and foremost. 2006 might not be as easy for the Governor as most had previously expected.

Tuesday, February 22, 2005

Gingrich Making a Presidential Run?

So far the former House Speaker has tried to remain mum about his intentions for 2008, but that didn't stop The Hill's Patrick O’Connor and Bob Cusack from reporting on Newt's imminent ventures into early primary states.

Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich (R-Ga.) will be making trips to New Hampshire and Iowa this spring, but not necessarily to launch a presidential campaign.

Gingrich, who is promoting his new book, Winning the Future, told reporters yesterday at a breakfast sponsored by The Christian Science Monitor that he will travel to the presidential primary battlegrounds to ensure that his conservative ideals remain relevant in the 2008 presidential campaign.

Asked if he will ever run for elected office again, Gingrich said, “It strikes me as implausible,” adding that he would not rule anything out.
There are very few conservatives the Democrats would rather see getting the GOP nomination in 2008 than Newt Gingrich. Although some in the Washington cognoscenti might believe a moderate like Rudy Giuliani or a maverick like John McCain have a shot at becoming the Republican standard bearer, in all likelihood an uber-conservative will get the nod. Perhaps Newt's chances aren't quite as bad as some might think...

Senator Katherine Harris?

Could it happen? The Hill's Peter Savodnik explains that although the former Florida Secretary of State who ensured George Bush's 2000 victory at any and all costs has the inside track for the GOP Senatorial nomination, winning won't be quite as easy.

A new Florida poll is prompting fresh speculation that Rep. Katherine Harris (R-Fla.) will challenge Sen. Bill Nelson (D) next year.

In the survey, conducted Feb. 16-20 by the GOP firm Strategic Vision, Harris garnered 38 percent of Republican voters. Trailing the second-term congresswoman were state Attorney General Charlie Crist, with 19 percent, and state Chief Financial Officer Tom Gallagher, with 13 percent.

The poll also showed Harris beating other well-known politicians in the race for the GOP Senate nomination, including former Rep. Bill McCollum, who has run unsuccessfully for the Senate twice; Reps. Mark Foley and Dave Weldon; and Lt. Gov. Toni Jennings.

[...]

In a general-election match-up, Nelson easily defeated Harris, with 46 percent backing the Democrat, 39 the Republican and 15 undecided.
Harris is only at 39% in a Republican poll? She will certainly gain the support of the ultra-right for delivering Bush the White House but it looks like most Floridians have not forgiven her for disenfranchising her. This seat is a little safer for the Dems now.

Reid to Sen. Dems: Take the Offensive

The Democrats appear to have the votes in the Senate to block Bush's attempts at privatizing Social Security, but that's not stopping them from taking their case to the American people. The National Journal has the story:

Senate Democrats hope to use this week to block President Bush's Social Security public relations campaign, countering state visits by Bush, Cabinet members and congressional Republicans with a series of town hall meetings, roundtables and "real people press conferences," Democratic sources said. According to Senate aides, Minority Leader Harry Reid asked each member of the Senate Democratic Caucus to hold at least one event during this week's Presidents' Day recess focusing on Democratic charges that Bush's Social Security plan would reduce benefits and increase the national debt. In a memo sent to all 45 Democratic senators' press secretaries late last week, Reid aide Jim Manley warned staff that, "With the administration aggressively making their case to the American people through presidential visits and Cabinet secretary travel, it is important that we do our best to drive our message into the states when we can."

Manley outlined the types of events Senate Democrats could host, ranging from a traditional news conference to rolling out the party's "debt calculator" to the "real people press conference." At those, members of various age groups would be held up "to illustrate the serious questions -- benefit cuts in particular -- raised by the president's privatization proposal." Manley also provides talking points that mirror the recent shift in Democratic rhetoric away from denouncing Bush's argument that Social Security is facing a "crisis" to a willingness to "strengthen" the program.
Reid has done a fantastic job since taking over the reins of the Senate Democrats from Tom Daschle. With the distinct possibility that the Dems can pick up a Senate seat in Virginia of all places, maybe Reid has a shot -- however small -- at becoming Majority Leader...

Interview with Vice President Walter Mondale

This afternoon I had the unique honor of interviewing former United States Vice President Walter Mondale from his office in Minnesota via telephone.

Mondale became Attorney General of Minnesota in 1960 before being appointed to the Senate in 1964 to fulfill the term of Hubert H. Humphrey, who had been elected Vice President. Mondale was reelected twice to the Senate, where he served as Chairman of the Select Committee on Equal Education Opportunity. In 1976, Jimmy Carter selected him as his running mate, and Mondale served as Vice President from 1977-1981. The Democrats nominated him in 1984 to run against Ronald Reagan, and though he was ultimately unsuccessful, his selection of Geraldine Ferraro as his running mate broke ground for women across the country. Since then, he has practiced law in Minnesota and held such distinguished offices as Ambassador to Japan.



Jonathan Singer: You were part of a generation of Democrats in the Senate -- including other people like Frank Church, George McGovern, Birch Bayh, Gaylord Nelson -- who helped enact a large body of progressive legislation that makes America great today. But now, the President and the Republicans are trying to overturn much of your work. How do the Democrats regain that momentum?

Walter Mondale: It is true that the agenda of the Bush administration and of many in the Congress is a radical assault on the legacy of Roosevelt and the Lyndon Johnson Great Society years and many of the fundamental reforms that were put in place in the period that I served in the Senate and the White House. But I must say I don't know what the Democrats do to regain momentum.

We got through the last election. The President won, albeit by a minor edge, but he did win. We dropped four or five seats in the Senate and we're now in a position where [it's] not even clear that we're going to be successful in blocking legislation through Rule 22.

Certain people have to rethink this thing, and realize what's happening to them and to their lives, and more importantly to their children and their opportunities for mobility and progress. I don't think that's happened yet. I hope it will. Until it does, I'm afraid we're going to have a deeply divided nation. At least as of now, the Democrats will be blanked out of the South, out of the Mountain states and out of a good deal of the Midwest, which means that it's going to be very hard to get the Senate back. Now this can change quickly, but talking right now, I don't have an answer to your question.

Singer: Speaking of Rule 22, during your service as Vice President in the late 70s, you issued a number of parliamentary rulings that affected the rules surrounding the filibuster. Given this experience, what are your feelings towards Senate Majority Leader Frist's consideration of the so-called "Nuclear Option," ridding the Senate of judicial filibusters?

Mondale: I'm very much opposed to it and I don't believe it's very good law.

My view is that the Senate can shape its own rules, and the Rule 22 now requires that 60 percent of the -- 60 votes in the Senate are required to impose cloture, and I think where nominations are concerned it may be a little higher (I'm a little vague on that right now). But I think if we ever went to majority rule it would really undermine the capacity of the Senate [to] advise and consent, and I think the people who voted for it would see that the Senate as a unique institution in the world would rapidly diminish in stature.

The Constitution talks about "advise and consent." A President doesn't appoint judges, he nominates judges. The President only has half the action. The other half [of the] action is the independent discretion of the Senate. If it was just a case of majority rule, they'd be able to jam all the stuff through without the traditional ability of the Senate to ventilate these issues. So I'm very much opposed to it.

A long time ago when I was Vice President I once ruled that a majority could change the rules. I changed my mind while I was in the Senate and a few years ago gave a speech at the Senate Leadership Conference saying that I believe majority rule would undermine the Senate in a profound way. So I'm very much opposed to it.

Singer: Now speaking of your term as Vice President, John Nance Garner famously said the Vice Presidency is -- we'll say it as -- "not worth a warm bucket of spit*." You're widely credited with reshaping the office and gaining real clout in the White House. As subsequent Vice Presidents have taken more and more power in the government, culminating in the central role of Dick Cheney in this administration, do you feel the balance of power needs to begin moving in the other direction? Do Vice Presidents hold too much power today?

Mondale: I believe that we did change the Vice Presidency, principally Jimmy Carter. We did what we call "executive-ized" it. Before then, the Vice President was both in the Executive and Legislative branches, but wanted by neither. Under Carter, the Vice President moved into the White House and became a principal aide with the President. I think that's been a very useful, important institutional change in American government.

What I'm worried about now is that under Cheney, a very important line I think has been breached. In other words, I don't consider that there are two Presidents. I don't think there should be a President and a Prime Minister. I think only the President should have Presidential executive authority. And what I'm worried about is that this Vice President has set up, in effect, his only National Security Council. He feels free to go anywhere -- including into the CIA and so on -- and directly press government officials to respond to his views. I'm afraid that the necessity of these agencies and these key officials in providing the President with their own honest advice may be compromised and undermined by this, what I consider to be, excessive use of the Vice [Presidency].

I think the Vice President should never, ever put himself in the position within the administration to appear to be speaking for the President unless he actually has been authorized to do so by the President. Otherwise, I think there's a tendency if he's not careful, that he will chill or intimidate the open advice given to him by key leaders in the administration. And from what I hear, that's going on now.

Singer: Now moving on to your run for the President in 1984, a central part of your platform was reducing the immense Reagan deficit. With a burgeoning deficit today that is set to explode in the years after Bush's term is completed -- in 2009, it could reach into the 500-700 billion range -- is there any possibility of restoring fiscal balance.

Mondale: I think it's a very, very serious problem. We have unprecedented deficits now, and with these massive tax cuts and these other out year commitments -- and the President has been very careful to let the good news arrive during his time and pay for it after he's gone -- that the rising deficits could have really catastrophic consequences for our economy. I noticed today that the dollar is dropping, the market has taken a big hit -- and part of it is that the price of oil has gone up -- but the big story is the South Koreans started selling American dollars and buying European currency. I think there's an increasing shakiness in confidence in the American dollar, which is essential to America's strength.

So I think we've got to do something about these deficits. I would take back those big tax cuts for the wealthy. I would restore what we used to have, a pay-go system where anything you want to do in the budget, you've got to pay for if it costs money, so you have the discipline at the time you do something popular that involves trying to keep the budget in good balance.

In my opinion -- and I worked hard for the Budget Act and I was on the Budget Committee and I did some work on this from the White House -- in my opinion, the use of the budget making process by this administration is becoming increasingly cynical. The Budget doesn't really tell you what the administration knows. It didn't include the cost of what they call the Supplemental for the War in Iraq. It doesn't include the cost of amending the Alternative Minimum Tax that costs in the hundreds of billions of dollars. Lots of things in that Budget that mislead and undermine an honest discussion of the Budget. So we need honest budgeting and we need a much stronger Congress that uses its Congressional Budget Committees and offices to hit back harder than they're doing now.

It can happen. You know it was just three years ago when we were running a $300 billion -- four years ago -- a $300 billion surplus. So this is a self-inflicted and irresponsible action that's undermining the strength of our country.

Singer: Well you certainly have a wealth of experience in dealing with this and I know your party turned to you three years ago, two and a half year ago, to be its standard bearer after the death of Paul Wellstone. But The Washington Post's Michael Leahy wrote an article this weekend on the treatment given to former presidential nominees, focusing on George McGovern. Do you feel that people like McGovern, Bob Dole, Michael Dukakis and yourself receive the appreciation and respect from their parties that they -- that you -- deserve?

Mondale: I think it's just fine. You know, those of us who run are just American citizens who happen to be nominated to run for an office. Some of us get elected, some of us don't. But I think it's a very healthy thing in America to remember that all of us are just citizens. We're not entitled to anything extra.

Having said that, I think people like George McGovern, with their wonderful public careers, in his case, a wonderful war hero record and all that he's done for our country and the world, I think he deserves respect for that, and not just because he happened to be a nominee. I wouldn't think that's worth much.

Singer: Speaking of the nominee, John Kerry, this year's nominee, lost the election quite narrowly, and the Democrats, as you said, lost quite a few seats in the Senate, but the House was about even, especially when you consider what happened in Texas with the redistricting. How do you read the results of the November election? Was it as much of a blowout or a mandate as the Republicans have made it seem?

Mondale: I thought it was a marginal, but disastrous election for us. Marginal because it wasn't won by much. In fact in the House the number of seats in the House only reflected the games that were played in Texas; if it hadn't been redistricted between censuses, we would have exactly the same number of Congressmen we had last time. Nevertheless, that four or five seats we lost in the Senate, four or five we've lost in the House, plus the election of the election -- the President this time won, unlike the last one -- I think has given them momentum and ability to shape things that is disastrous.

Singer: Now looking ahead to 2006, the chances of retaking the Senate are perhaps slim, but they're very much contingent on keeping the close seats that are held now. Your Senator Mark Dayton recently announced he will not seek another term, and a number of leading Minnesota Democrats, including Al Franken and yourself, have declined to take a run. Any feelings on who might pick up the nomination? Will the Democrats even be able to hold the seat?

Mondale: There's a long list of them, and it's getting longer as we talk. I'd just as soon not get into particular names, but there's ten or fifteen out there that are thinking about it. I think we've got a pretty good chance of holding the seat. The Democrats simply must hold it. Minnesota is, I think, by a narrow margin, but by a palpable margin, still a Democratic state. And I think if we get a good nominee, and I think we will, we'll win, but I'd just as soon not get into names right now.

Singer: Just one last question about Minnesota politics, then I'll let you go. Minnesota has long been a breeding ground for national politicians from both parties, such as Harold Stassen, Warren Burger, Hubert Humphrey and of course yourself. What do you think of the next generation of Minnesotans? Are they fit to carry the mantle that you--

Mondale: Yeah. I think we've got some good leadership coming up. We elected a lot of new members of the state legislature, we've got good leadership in the state Senate, we've got people like Amy Klobuchar, the County Attorney, Betty McCollum, the Congresswoman from St. Paul. I don't want to get into names, because it gets me in a trap here, but we've got several gifted, impressive young public leaders coming up.

Singer: That's good to hear. Again, I can't tell you how much of an honor it is to speak with you. Thank you so much for taking the time and have a wonderful day.

Mondale: I'm very glad to do it and I wish you the best.

Vice President Mondale Interview to Ensue

I just finished speaking with Walter Mondale, Vice President under Jimmy Carter, for an interview that will appear here at Basie! within the next few hours. Make sure to check in because it's was an interesting conversation with a truly remarkable man.

Is Santorum Moving to the Center?

Is this a move to boost his chances at reelection (he's already trailing in the polls)? Or is this just a ploy? Most likely, the latter is the case. CQ Today's Midday Update (free email service) has the scoop:

Sen. Rick Santorum said today he plans to introduce a bill next week to increase the minimum wage by $1.10 over the next two years. "My sense is this is probably a good time [to increase the wage] with the economy growing the way it has," Santorum, R-Pa., said during a question and answer session at a forum on Social Security at Drexel University in Philadelphia. Republicans last year blocked Democratic attempts to increase the minimum wage, which has remained at $5.15 an hour since 1997, to $7 an hour over two years. Santorum's proposal is similar to an alternative Republican plan discussed last Congress to raise the minimum wage to a lesser amount -- Democratic aides put the figure at $6.25. But that Republican alternative was never offered as stand-alone legislation or as an amendment.
What a surprise. The only reason why Santorum is offering up this raise in the minimum wage is because the Democrats are offering up a real raise in the minimum wage.

President Bush's Hard Line on Terrorism

The National Jewish Democratic Council passes on this extremely disturbing news about the President's "cooperation" with the Saudis on "anti-terrorism" measures.

President Bush earlier this month dispatched top White House official Frances Fragos Townsend to head an official U.S. delegation attending an "anti-terrorism" conference in Saudi Arabia -- a conference that aired vile anti-Semitic and anti-Zionist canards. Saudi Cleric Aed Al-Qarni noted at the conference that "The first to kill and use terrorism in the world were the Jews," according to a translation by the Middle East Media Research Institute (MEMRI); the cleric went on to describe September 11th as "an American terror attack."

According to White House press secretary Scott McClellan, President Bush spoke with Saudi Crown Prince Abdallah on February 14th and "complimented the Crown Prince on last week's successful counter-terrorism conference in Saudi Arabia."

In addition to the American delegation led by Townsend, who serves as President Bush's Homeland Security Advisor with the rank of Assistant to the President, the conference included participation from nations including Iran, Syria and Sudan -- all state sponsors of terrorism, according to the Department of State. Senator Frank Lautenberg (NJ) first warned President Bush to avoid the conference in a February 4th letter to Bush.

Throughout and surrounding the conference, various Saudi clerics noted that "Jews and the Christians are Allah's enemies," and that Jihad -- including attacks by insurgents in Iraq -- is appropriate. In a poem read before Saudi Defense Minister Prince Sultan, it was noted that Osama bin Laden "was sent by the Jews."
Link.

Is this the type of anti-terrorism effort we want?

Bonus Quote of the Day

"It perpetuates this myth that every Filipino is eating it [...] But they're not."

Hawaii State Rep. Alex Sonson, on a bill to "ban the slaughter of dogs and cats for food"
Link.

Quote of the Day

It's a little old...

"I think I know what Bush meant when he said he had a 'mandate.'"

-- Bill Maher, on gay escort Jeff Gannon/J.D. Guckert being allowed in the White House as a reporter
Link.

Bush Still Below 50% Approval

Pollster John Zogby has the newest poll:

Americans are split down the middle on President Bush's job performance, with 49% approving his conduct of office and 50% disapproving, despite doubts about his handling of the Iraq war, a new Zogby International survey finds. The same survey found a slight jump in the percentage that believe the nation is on the wrong track, with 48% choosing that option and 46% saying the nation is heading the right direction. The poll of 921 likely voters was conducted nationwide from February 14 through 17, 2005 and has a margin of error of +/-3.3 percentage points.

The survey also found that while a slight majority (52%) support the war in Iraq, nearly three-in-five (57%) likely voters rate President Bush's handling of that war negatively.

"The President's approval ratings have been on a plateau since the election—the nation remains evenly-split on his performance in office," said pollster John Zogby. "What is interesting, though, is the growing majority of Americans who do not believe President Bush—and his administration—have properly conducted the war in Iraq. And remember, this poll comes just two weeks after elections that were viewed positively."
At 49%, this President does not have the clout to bully concerned Republicans -- and centrist Democrats -- into supporting the privatization of Social Security. The situation could quickly change, but for now, he simply does not have enough support from the American people to dominate Congress.

Ashcroft Crusade Against Oregon Continues

It took a promised filibuster by Ron Wyden to stop John Ashcroft's first crusade against Oregon's doctor-assisted suicide law. Once the Missouri Republican became Attorney General, he went to the activist courts to try to overturn the will of Oregon's citizens. Not to be outdone by his predecesor, Alberto Gonzalez has continued the fight, and today the Supreme Court has agreed to hear the case. The AP's Hope Yen reports:

The Supreme Court said Tuesday it will hear a challenge to the nation's only assisted suicide law, taking up the Bush administration's appeal to stop doctors from helping terminally ill patients die more quickly.

Justices will review a lower court ruling that said the U.S. government cannot sanction or hold doctors criminally liable for prescribing overdoses under Oregon's voter-approved Death with Dignity Act. Since 1998, more than 170 people — most with cancer — have used the law to end their lives.

Arguments will be heard in the court's next term, beginning in October.

Former Attorney General John Ashcroft filed the appeal last November, on the day his resignation was announced by the White House. He argued that physician-assisted suicide is not a "legitimate medical purpose" and that doctors take an oath to heal patients, not help them die.

Oregon lawyers counter that regulation of doctors generally has been the sole responsibility of states. The U.S. attorney general has no authority under the federal Controlled Substances Act to punish doctors because Congress intended the law only to prevent illegal drug trafficking, they say.

A panel of the San Francisco-based 9th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals sided with Oregon last May.

"The attorney general's unilateral attempt to regulate general medical practices historically entrusted to state lawmakers interferes with the democratic debate about physician-assisted suicide," wrote Judge Richard Tallman in the 2-1 opinion.
Whatever happened to the right's infatuation with states' rights?

Oy

A powerful earthquake shook central Iran on Tuesday, destroying villages, cutting power to the area, killing at least 175 people and injuring more than 330, state-run television reported.

TV footage showed a village in Kerman province almost flattened by the 6.4-magnitude earthquake, with few mud-built walls standing. Residents were shown digging frantically amid collapsed slabs of concrete and piles of dirt in a bid to find buried friends and relatives.

"All hospitals in Zarand are filled to capacity with the injured. Hospitals in the town cannot receive any more of the injured," the broadcast said, showing images of elderly women and men lying on beds with various injuries.
Link.

Monday, February 21, 2005

"Guerrilla Warfare" Against Social Security

What, exactly, are the Republicans trying to do to Social Security? The same thing they've been attempting for more than a quarter century: destroy it. The Washington Post's business guru Jeffrey H. Birnbaum writes this key graf in the major front page article dealing with the history of the right wing attack on FDR's signature program.

In the fall of 1983, Cato made clear that it was preparing for a protracted fight. It published a paper by Heritage Foundation scholars Stuart M. Butler and Peter Germanis that called for "guerrilla warfare against both the current Social Security system and the coalition that supports it." They compared the drive to Nikolai Lenin's effort to undermine capitalism: "Lenin well knew to be a successful revolutionary one must also be patient and consistently plan for real reform." [emphasis added]
Check out this entire well-written piece to get an idea of the scope of the ideological war the right has been waging against Social Security. It's striking. They apparently will stop at nothing to destroy the program, and the sooner the American people realize this is Bush's real goal in privatization, the better off they'll be.


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