There is some great news out of Oklahoma as Democrat Brad Carson continues to surge in the wake of Tom Coburn's unraveling. A new poll from Wilson Research Strategies indicates that Representative Carson has picked up a substantial lead for the first time this year. The poll mirrors an internal poll taken for the Carson campaign.

Over the past three weeks, Carson has increased his support by a whopping 8 points while Coburn's numbers have diminished by 3. Here is the trend:

September 28: Carson 44, Coburn 39
September 21: Carson 41, Coburn 40
September 14: Carson 39, Coburn 37
September 7: Carson 36, Coburn 42

The poll of 500 likely voters taken from September 24 – 26 has a margin of error of +/- 4.4%, so Carson's 5% lead is significant.

Michael Baker writes up the survey in "Carson takes lead over Coburn in poll" in today's issue of the Oklahoman thusly:

Monday's poll is the first time that the Claremore Democrat's advantage has been greater than the margin of error in any polls commissioned by The Oklahoman or NEWS9.

[...]

Just last month, Coburn, of Muskogee, had a 9-point lead over Carson in a poll conducted by the Virginia-based company.

This is great news, and it increasingly appears as though Oklahoma will turn out to be a Democratic takeover come November.