SurveyUSA, which in my mind is probably the most accurate pollster in the nation (even if you've never heard of them before), has a host of new polls, each of which carries good news. Let's take a look:

Ohio

• In an election in Ohio today, 54 days to the vote, Republican incumbent George W Bush defeats John Kerry 50% TO 47% & Republican incumbent George Voinovich defeats Eric Fingerhut 53% TO 35%, according to SurveyUSA poll of 709 likely OH voters 9/6 TO 9/8.
  
  
• Bush up 20 IN Central OH, up 15 in Western OH, down 16 in Easterb OH. Bush up 12 among whites, down 66 among BLACKS. Bush up 16 in HHS earning > $80K/year. Kerry up 11 in HHS earning < $40K/YR. Indys break 5:4 for Bush. Moderates break 5:3 for Kerry.
  
  
• 22% of those who vote for Kerry split ticket & cross-over to Voinovich. Voinovich up 31 in rural OH, up 20 in suburban OH, up 8 in urban OH. Indys go 2:1 for Voinovich. Moderates tie. Fingerhut up 6 among pro-Choice voters, up 39 among liberals.

As the margin of error on this poll is +/- 3.8%, it could be considered a tie. Although Voinovich has a significant lead, Fingerhut--once a US Congressman--has been steadily, if slowly, slicing away and the Senator's lead.

North Carolina

• In an election in NC today, George W Bush captures NC's 15 electoral votes, but Semocrats keep the Statehouse & keep the U.S. Senate seat being vacated by John Edwards, according to SurveyUSA poll of 587 likely voters conducted 9/6 - 9/8.
  
  
• Today, Bush defeats Kerry 50% to 46%. In identical poll 7/27, before DNC, Bush led by 7. On 8/16 Bush led by 6. Today by 4. Bush up 2:1 with whites, down 18:1 with blacks.
  
  
• Bush up 11 with males, tied with females. West & central NC go Bush. East goes Kerry.
  
  
• Mike Easley had led Patrick Ballantine on 8/16, after GOP primary, by 7, today by 15.
  
  
• Erskine Bowles had led Richard Burr by 8, now by 10. 19% of Bush voters split-ticket.

With the margin of error of +/- 4.2%, this race can also be considered a tie. Additionally, it's increasingly looking like Bowles will have an easier time with Burr than he did with Elizabeth Dole two years ago (this is one Southern Democratic seat the party can hold), and Governor Easley looks to be coasting towards reelection.

California

• In an election in CA today, John Kerry defeats George W Bush 52% to 42%, capturing CA's 55 electoral votes, & incumbent U.S. Senator Barbara Boxer defeats Bill Jones 53% to 35%, according to SurveyUSA poll of 598 likely CA voters conducted 9/6 - 9/8.
  
  
• Bush & Kerry tie among males & whites. Kerry's lead comes from females & minority voters. Bush up 17 pts in Central Valley, up 5 pts in Inland Empire. Kerry up 17 pts in greater Los Angeles, up 32 pts in the Bay Area. Kerry up 5 among independents.
  
  
• 13% of those who vote for GOP Bush peel-off & vote for Democrat Boxer. Boxer up by 3 pts among men, up by 31 pts among women. Boxer up 2 pts among whites, up big among blacks, hispanics & asians. Jones leads in Central Valley, trails elsewhere.

This is good news as the last SUSA poll in the state had the margin much slimmer (the link is no longer on the site, but you can see it in Electoral-Vote.com's California graph). No one really thought CA would be close, but it's still nice to see confirmation that it won't.