This week's Economist/You Gov poll has just come out and it contains a lot of good news for John Kerry. The poll was conducted September 20-22, with 2107 respondents ("Registered to vote": 1792, "Will definitely vote": 1660), and the MoE is +/- 2%.

Suppose the election for President were being held TODAY. Who would you vote for? George W. Bush, the Republican; John F Kerry, the Democrat; Ralph Nader, an independent candidate, or someone else?

Total; Def to vote (Last week, Two Weeks ago)
George Bush 45% (46, 46); 46% (48, 47)
John Kerry 46% (45, 45); 47% (46, 46)
Ralph Nader 1% (1, 1); 1% (1, 1)
Someone else 3% 2%
Would not vote 0% 0%
Don't know 5% 4%

As of now, what do you think you are most likely to end up doing on November 2?

(Total, Def to vote)
George W Bush 46% 48%
John F Kerry 47% 48%
Ralph Nader 1% 1%
Someone else 4% 3%
Not vote at all 2% 0%

In general, are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way things are going in the United States at this time?

(Total, Def to vote)
Satisfied 36% 40%
Dissatisfied 58% 57%
Don't know 5% 4%

Do you approve or disapprove of the way President George W. Bush is handling his job as president?

(Total, Def to vote)
Approve 42% 45%
Disapprove 53% 53%
Don't know 5% 3%

After there was essentially no movement in the polls in for two weeks, the results flipped this week from last as John Kerry now holds a small, but insignificant lead in the polls. As a result, the Economist poll thus shows that not only is Bush not pulling away--as some polls might indicate--he is actually trailing (though within the margin of error). Either way, this poll indicates a tie rather than a substantial Bush lead, which is found is some heavily skewed surveys (like the one from Gallup).

Additionally, as I wrote last week, Bush received a paltry bounce from the Republican National Convention; it was minimal at most, and in fact smaller than Kerry's bounce, according to the Economist's polling. The fact that there has been this small of a movement might in fact bode well for Kerry.