This week's Economist/You Gov poll has just come out and it contains a lot of good news for John Kerry. The poll was conducted September 13-15, with 2052 respondents ("Registered to vote": 1764, "Will definitely vote": 1608), and the MoE is +/- 2%.

Suppose the election for President were being held TODAY. Who would you vote for? George W. Bush, the Republican; John F Kerry, the Democrat; Ralph Nader, an independent candidate, or someone else?

Total; Def to vote (Last week, Two Weeks ago)
George Bush 46% (46, 44); 48% (47, 46)
John Kerry 45% (45, 45); 46% (46, 49)
Ralph Nader 1% (1, 2); 1% (1, 2)
Someone else 3% 3%
Would not vote 0% 0%
Don't know 4% 2%

As of now, what do you think you are most likely to end up doing on November 2?

(Total, Def to vote)
George W Bush 47% 49%
John F Kerry 46% 47%
Ralph Nader 2% 1%
Someone else 4% 3%
Not vote at all 2% 0%

In general, are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way things are going in the United States at this time?

(Total, Def to vote)
Satisfied 38% 42%
Dissatisfied 56% 55%
Don't know 6% 3%

Do you approve or disapprove of the way President George W. Bush is handling his job as president?

(Total, Def to vote)
Approve 43% 46%
Disapprove 52% 51%
Don't know 5% 3%

Which outcome would you most want to see from the next election?

(Total, Def to vote)
A Bush victory and Republicans controlling Congress 37% 42%
A Bush victory and Democrats controlling Congress 6% 5%
A Kerry victory and Democrats controlling Congress 38% 40%
A Kerry victory and Republicans controlling Congress 6% 6%
Don't Know 12% 6%

There has been essentially no movement in the polls in the last two weeks; each candidate gained one point in the polls. As a result, the Economist poll thus shows that not only is Bush not pulling away--as some polls might indicate--his lead is actually within the margin of error, so the race could essentially be considered a tie.

Although Bush is leading in this poll, he received a paltry bounce from the Republican National Convention; it was minimal at most, and in fact smaller than Kerry's bounce, according to the Economist's polling. The fact that there has been this small of a movement might in fact bode well for Kerry.