President Bush has moved two points ahead of Democrat John Kerry (47%-45%), but the race for the White House has tightened among several key constituencies, according to a new Reuters/Zogby daily tracking poll. The poll results are reminiscent of the presidential race in 2000 during this period. The telephone poll of 1212 likely voters was conducted from Tuesday through Thursday (October 19-21, 2004). The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points.

Pollster John Zogby: “President Bush picked up another point today, but 48% has been the ceiling reached by either candidate in the last couple of weeks. I will obviously watch in the next couple of days to see if the president can break through. What’s of special interest today is that the candidates are pretty much tied among several key groups: Independents, Catholics, women, and military families. While Kerry leads by double-digits among 18-24 year olds, the President leads by double-digits among 25-34 year olds. It will be important for the President to keep making inroads among younger voters. Right now the candidates are nearly tied among voters over 65—another ominous sign for Kerry.

Posted by: Jonathan Singer / 8:13 AM | Basie! Home