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Wednesday, October 13, 2004
Interesting development in the new Economist poll
This week's Economist/You Gov poll has just come out and it contains more good news for John Kerry. The poll was conducted October 11-12, with 2128 respondents ("Registered to vote": 1878, "Will definitely vote": 1711), and the MoE is +/- 2%.
Here's by far the most interesting piece of polling I've seen this year:
Here's by far the most interesting piece of polling I've seen this year:
Have you seen the photograph showing the bulge under the back of George Bush's jacket during the TV debate last Friday?Here's the rest:
(Total, Def to vote)
A fold caused by the fall of his jacket 9% 10%
A radio receiver so that his team could
communicate with him during the debate 30% 29%
Something else 8% 8%
Don't know 53% 53%
AMONGST THOSE WHO SAY THEY HAD SEEN THE PHOTOGRAPH:
In the second television debate, last Friday, TV cameras showed a bulge under the back of President Bush’s jacket. Do you think this
bulge was caused by...
A fold caused by the fall of his jacket 18%
A radio receiver so that his team could
communicate with him during the debate 49%
Something else 13%
Don't know 20%
Suppose the election for President were being held TODAY. Who would you vote for? George W. Bush, the Republican; John F Kerry, the Democrat; Ralph Nader, an independent candidate, or someone else?It looks like Kerry might be moving back ahead... maybe...
Total; Def to vote (Last week, Two Weeks ago)
George Bush 44% (46, 46); 46% (47, 47)
John Kerry 46% (47, 45); 47% (47, 46)
Ralph Nader 1% (1, 2); 1% (1, 1)
Someone else 3% 3%
Would not vote 0% 0%
Don't know 5% 3%
As of now, what do you think you are most likely to end up doing on November 2?
(Total, Def to vote)
George W Bush 46% 47%
John F Kerry 48% 48%
Ralph Nader 1% 1%
Someone else 4% 3%
Not vote at all 1% 0%
In general, are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way things are going in the United States at this time?
(Total, Def to vote)
Satisfied 38% 41%
Dissatisfied 57% 56%
Don't know 5% 3%
Do you approve or disapprove of the way President George W. Bush is handling his job as president?
(Total, Def to vote)
Approve 43% 45%
Disapprove 52% 52%
Don't know 5% 3%
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