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Thursday, October 28, 2004

Kerry pulling away in the new Economist poll

This week's Economist/You Gov poll has just come out and it continuews to have more good news for John Kerry. The poll was conducted October 25-27, with 3171 respondents ("Registered to vote": 2815, "Will definitely vote": 2588), and the MoE is +/- 2%.

Suppose the election for President were being held TODAY. Who would you vote for? George W. Bush, the Republican; John F Kerry, the Democrat; Ralph Nader, an independent candidate, or someone else?

Total; Def to vote (Last week, Two Weeks ago)
George Bush 45% (46, 46); 45% (47, 47)
John Kerry 49% (48, 47); 50% (48, 47)
Ralph Nader 1% (1, 1); 1% (1, 1)
Someone else 2% 2%
Would not vote 0% 0%
Don't know 3% 2%

As of now, what do you think you are most likely to end up doing on November 2?

(Total, Def to vote)
George W Bush 45% 46%
John F Kerry 50% 51%
Ralph Nader 1% 1%
Someone else 3% 3%
Not vote at all 1% 0%

In general, are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way things are going in the United States at this time?

(Total, Def to vote)
Satisfied 37% 39%
Dissatisfied 59% 58%
Don't know 5% 3%

Do you approve or disapprove of the way President George W. Bush is handling his job as president?

(Total, Def to vote)
Approve 42% 44%
Disapprove 54% 54%
Don't know 4% 2%
Kerry's surge continues this week as his lead among registered voters moves from 2 points to four points and his lead among definite voters from 1 point to five points. Note Kerry is at 50 among definite voters.

Word has it that The Economist is endorsing Kerry this week after endorsing Bush four years ago, so I'll confirm that as soon as possible. The good times keep rolling.
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