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Saturday, October 30, 2004
Polls, polls, poll
American Research Group (October 28 through 30, 2004)
The key thing to notice here is that Bush is not at 50%. Even Newsweek's RV poll, which is heavily skewed towards the Republicans, Bush is only at 48%. Bush might be leading in some of these polls, but even with OBL, 48% is no place for a sitting President to feel safe.
1,500 Registered Voters; MoE of +/- 2.5%Washington Post (October 26 through 29, 2004)
Bush 48%1,258 Likely Voters; MoE of +/- 2.8%
Kerry 49%
Bush 48%
Kerry 49%
2,832 Registered Voters with leaners; MoE of +/- 3%TIPP (October 26 through 29, 2004)
Bush 47%2,347 Likely Voters with leaners; MoE of +/- 3%
Kerry 48%
Bush 49%
Kerry 48%
979 Likely Voters; MoE of +/- 3.5%Fox News (October 28 through 29, 2004)
Bush 45%
Kerry 44%
1400 Registered Voters; MoE of +/- 3%
Bush 46%1200 Likely Voters; MoE of +/- 3%
Kerry 46%
Bush 47%
Kerry 45%
The key thing to notice here is that Bush is not at 50%. Even Newsweek's RV poll, which is heavily skewed towards the Republicans, Bush is only at 48%. Bush might be leading in some of these polls, but even with OBL, 48% is no place for a sitting President to feel safe.
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