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Wednesday, October 20, 2004

The race is still tied

Reuters/Zogby poll has this to say:

President Bush and Democratic rival Senator John Kerry remain tied for a third day as the race for the White House heads into its final two weeks, with each candidate garnering 46% of the vote, according to a new Reuters/Zogby daily tracking poll. The telephone poll of 1213 likely voters was conducted from Sunday through Tuesday (October 17-19, 2004). The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points.

[...]

Pollster John Zogby: “It's still neck and neck, folks, and targeting is intense. With Bush and Kerry now tied among seniors, small wonder that Kerry is pushing hard on social security. Recall that in 2000 when Gore faced the same dilemma, he closed out the race winning seniors pressing the social security button. Bush’s lead among armed forces’ families is strong—maybe Sinclair hears the call to reinforce. Similarly, Kerry’s growing young voter appeal can only be helped by the ‘draft.’ Two new items to note: Among newly registered voters Kerry leads 52% to 38%; among those who have already voted, Bush leads 50% to 48%. These two groups bear watching.”
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