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Wednesday, April 20, 2005

College Students Vote

Who'd have ever known it? In fact, about seven in ten voted in 2004, and a quarter were active in the electorate. Harvard University's Institute of Politics takes a look at how these students voted and finds that they break down into four categories:

Traditional Liberals (43 percent of college students): This group voted overwhelmingly for Kerry in the last election (76 percent), believes in health insurance and Social Security guarantees, and firmly disagrees with the statement "homosexual relations between consenting adults are morally wrong." In addition, 86 percent believe the U.N. should take a leading role in solving international crises. This group saw the largest growth in the past year, growing from 32 percent of the population to 43 percent.

Traditional Conservatives (14 percent of college students): Eighty-one percent of this group voted for Bush in the last election, and they are the group most likely to support the war in Iraq. They support Social Security reform, and are very concerned about the moral direction of the country, strongly opposing homosexual relationships and abortion.

Religious Centrists (21 percent of college students): Religious centrists split in the 2004 election: 47 percent voted for Kerry, 47 percent voted for Bush. They, too, are concerned about the moral direction of the country, and are more supportive of religious influence. However, they also believe that health insurance is a right and support school choice.

Secular Centrists (18 percent of college students): This group voted for Bush by a 59 to 29 margin. They feel the country is headed in the right direction, and generally support the war in Iraq and would tolerate further casualties for continued progress. This group is 11 percent smaller than last year.
The voting trends of the "centrists" are particularly interesting. While it might be commonly believed that the religious centrists would trend to the GOP and the secular centrists would lean to the Dems, in fact, this was not the case.

The silver lining of the poll for the Dems: Traditional liberals "saw the largest growth in the past year, growing from 32 percent of the population to 43 percent." Perhaps there's hope after all.
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