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Tuesday, May 17, 2005

Bush Disapproval at an All-Time High

The Pew Research Center for the People & the Press has conducted a new roll on a wide range of political issues, most of which bode poorly for President Bush and his Congressional allies. Among the key numbers in the poll:

Perhaps the most important part of the poll:

These generally unfavorable views may have political ramifications for incumbents seeking reelection in 2006. While by more than two-to-one (49%-23%), more say they approve than disapprove of their own representative in the House, this is comparable to measures of satisfaction in the summer of 1993, a year before the historic midterm elections in 1994 in which the Democratic Party lost its majority in the House.
There is no indication that the widespread disapproval of Congress will actually lead to repercussions for Congressional Republicans -- especially in the House, where there simply are not enough competitive seats on either side of the aisle to make change likely -- the resemblence between the situation in Washington today and in the summer of 1993 is stunning.

While the American people as a whole clearly do not follow action inside the Beltway intently, they are quick to notice when one party begins to overreach -- as happened in 1993 and today. Again, it is much to soon to speculate about possible ramifications. However, it is safe to say that the next year and a half will see some of the most bitterness between the two parties in quite some time.
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