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Friday, September 09, 2005

Campaign 2005: The NYC Dem Primary

Former Bronx Borough President Freddy Ferrer had been leading the race for the Democratic nomination throughout the race, but Congressman Anthony Weiner is coming on strong late in the game (the primary is on Tuesday) according to the newest Marist poll.

Congressman Anthony Weiner has surged ahead of Council Speaker Gifford Miller and Manhattan Borough President C. Virginia Fields to take sole possession of second place in next Tuesday’s Democratic primary. Although former Bronx Borough President Fernando Ferrer still leads the field, he has not gained much ground towards the 40% needed to avoid a runoff. Among registered voters, Fernando Ferrer receives 34% compared with 27% for Anthony Weiner. Gifford Miller follows with 14%, and C. Virginia Fields has 13%. 12% of registered Democrats remain undecided.

[...]

Among Democrats who are likely to vote on primary day, the contest becomes a statistical tossup. Mr. Ferrer has the support of 32% of likely Democratic voters, and Mr. Weiner receives 30%. Manhattan Borough President Fields and Council Speaker Miller lag with 15% and 13%, respectively. 10% of likely Democratic voters are undecided. When undecided likely Democratic voters who lean towards a candidate are included in the results, Fernando Ferrer receives 33%, Anthony Weiner has 31%, C. Virginia Fields has 17%, and Gifford Miller receives 14%. Only 5% of likely Democratic voters remain undecided.
Mayor Michael Bloomberg, a longtime Democrat before becoming a Republican around the time of his 2001 mayoral bid, will be a formidable opponent for any Democrat. That said, its interesting to see at least one Democrat -- Weiner -- getting a little momentum.
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